This preview has expired.

See all our latest betting tips or suggested betting sites

Wednesday 11
Thursday 12
Friday 13
Saturday 14
Sunday 15
Monday 16
Tuesday 17
Wednesday 18
Thursday 19
Friday 20
Saturday 21

Brownlow Medal Exotic Betting Tips 2026 – Top 5, Top 10, Top 20 & First Four

Adam Cusworth

Editor

Last updated: Wed. 16 Sep. 2026 10:42

Adam Cusworth 16 Sep. 2026

Share this article

Daicos dominates as favourite, look to exotics for value.
Cripps (Top 5), Jackson (Top 10), Oliver (Top 20) stand out.
First Four pick: Daicos, Bontempelli, Cripps, Newcombe ($201 odds).

Expired

Nick Daicos is a hot favourite to take out the Brownlow, while Patrick Cripps can poll well (Getty Images)

Nick Daicos' short price in the outright Brownlow Medal market means much of the betting interest in 2026 will come through the exotic markets.

Top 5, Top 10, Top 20 and First Four betting all offer alternative ways into the count, and we've picked out our best Brownlow exotic bets below.

Best Brownlow Medal Exotic Betting Tips
Brownlow Medal Top 5 Prediction – Patrick Cripps
Brownlow Medal Top 10 Prediction - Luke Jackson
Brownlow Medal Top 20 Prediction – Clayton Oliver
Brownlow Medal Best Value Bet: First Four – Daicos / Bontempelli / Cripps / Newcombe

Check out how the Brownlow Market moved in 2026, our 2026 Brownlow Medal Odds and winner preview or the Top Value Team Votes for Brownlow 2026.

Best Brownlow Medal Exotic Betting Tips

Market	Brownlow Tip	Odds
Top 5	Patrick Cripps	$1.68
Top 10	Luke Jackson	$14.00
Top 20	Clayton Oliver	$3.75
First Four	Daicos / Bontempelli / Cripps / Newcombe	$201

Odds from Dabble correct 2026-09-16

Brownlow Medal Top 5 Prediction – Patrick Cripps

Patrick Cripps looks one of the safer exotic plays on the night and $1.68 appeals for him to finish inside the Top 5.

The Carlton skipper has already established himself as one of the great Brownlow vote-getters of the modern era, winning the medal twice and producing a record-breaking 45-vote count in 2024.

His 2026 season again carries the statistical profile that umpires have traditionally rewarded averaging 14.4 contested possessions and 7.5 clearances per game while also kicking 16 goals. Those numbers put him right amongst the AFL's elite inside midfielders and closely resemble the profile of recent Brownlow winners.

There may be players with bigger disposal numbers, but Cripps' combination of contested ball, clearances, scoreboard involvement and proven umpire appeal makes him difficult to leave out of the leading handful.

Bet: Patrick Cripps Top 5 – $1.68

Brownlow Medal Top 10 Prediction - Luke Jackson

Luke Jackson singlehandedly won Fremantle multiple games this season, turning momentum with his hitouts and extreme athletic ability.

Jackson averaged 25.7 hitouts per game and ranked 3rd amongst all rucks with 18.7 Disposals per game. The Unicorn scored 27 goals, 2nd most of any ruckman in the AFL.

There are likely to be a bunch of players that post votes from Freo this season but Jackson was consistently one of the best and looking down the list, outperformed many of his peers higher up the odds rankings.

Bet: Luke Jackson Top 10 – $14

Brownlow Medal Top 20 Prediction – Clayton Oliver

Clayton Oliver is one of the more interesting outsiders in the exotic markets and $3.75 for a Top 20 finish looks worth a play.

Oliver may no longer carry the same Brownlow hype as he did during his peak Melbourne years, but his first season at GWS produced exactly the sort of inside numbers that have traditionally attracted votes.

He averaged 30.2 disposals, 14.9 contested possessions and 7.3 clearances from 23 matches. Of the leading midfielders in our statistical comparison, Oliver ranked No.1 for contested possessions per game and sat behind only Matt Rowell and Patrick Cripps for clearances.

The potential concern is vote competition in a GWS side containing Finn Callaghan, Toby Greene and several other players capable of producing standout games, while the Giants picked up just 10 wins for the season. However, Oliver's work around stoppages gives him a strong chance of outperforming market expectations.

Bet: Clayton Oliver Top 20 – $3.75

Brownlow Medal Best Value Bet: First Four – Daicos / Bontempelli / Cripps / Newcombe

The First Four market looks an ideal way to attack a Brownlow count where Nick Daicos appears to hold a clear advantage over the field.

Nick Daicos is impossible to leave out. His 34.7 disposals per game, 147 coaches votes and 26 goals give him an enormous number of high-end performances capable of producing maximum votes.

Marcus Bontempelli gets the second slot. He amassed 109 coaches votes, kicked 31 goals and averaged 26.6 disposals, 11.5 contested possessions and 5.9 clearances. His ability to dominate games both around stoppages and forward of centre remains a major advantage when votes are being handed out.

Patrick Cripps comes next. His disposal average may be below Daicos and several other leading contenders, but his 14.4 contested possessions and 7.5 clearances per game are much more closely aligned with the statistical profile of recent Brownlow winners. Add his remarkable polling history and he again looks capable of pushing towards 30 votes.

The value inclusion is Jai Newcombe.

Newcombe averaged 25.8 disposals but, more importantly, produced 12.8 contested possessions and 7.4 clearances per game, while collecting 74 coaches votes across the season.

Those clearance and contested-possession numbers put him in elite company and are exactly the type of statistics that have featured prominently in the seasons of recent Brownlow winners.

There will naturally be some competition for Hawthorn votes, but Newcombe's work at the coalface should make him difficult for the umpires to miss when he plays well.

Daicos is the obvious anchor, while Bontempelli and Cripps have long-established Brownlow credentials. Newcombe is the one who can add some real value to the combination.

Brownlow First Four: Nick Daicos / Marcus Bontempelli / Patrick Cripps / Jai Newcombe $201

Verdict

2026 Brownlow Medal

Patrick Cripps has been one of the best vote getters over the past 5 years, lock him in for Top 5.

Luke Jackson is at great odds to finish inside the Top 10 while we pick up Clayton Oliver for a Top 20 finish.

Daicos, Bontempelli, Cripps and Newcombe make up our First Four prediction.

Patrick Cripps

Top 5

$1.68 - 1 Unit

Download the dabble app

with referral code BETSAU

Download the dabble app, enter referral code BETSAU to enjoy Dabble, the betting app with a difference! Bet as normal with & also be part of Australia's betting community where you can follow punters and sports stars, copy their bets, have banter with your mates & watch Sky Racing channels. 18+. T&Cs apply. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at dabble

Luke Jackson

Top 10

$14.00 - 1 Unit

Download the dabble app

with referral code BETSAU

Bet at dabble

Clayton Oliver

Top 20

$2.60 - 1 Unit

Download the dabble app

with referral code BETSAU