2026 WTA Finals

Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva WTA Finals Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Sabalenka to edge blockbuster WTA Finals showdown

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Wed. 11 Nov. 2026 00:51

Andrew Hendrie 1 hour ago

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Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva predictions for Wednesday's WTA Finals match
Both players trending Over 22.5 games vs top 10 opponents in 2026
Sabalenka's winning record vs top 10 could prove the difference
The match is scheduled to start around 9.00am AEDT on Thursday November 12

Aryna Sabalenka v Mirra Andreeva Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > WTA Finals. T&Cs apply. Watch and bet Starts in To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Note, under Australian law, Live Streaming is exempt from Parts 3 and 4 of the Broadcasting Services (Online Content Service Provider Rules) 2018.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva WTA Finals Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

Over 22.5 games is the best bet for this marquee WTA Finals Group B clash, with Aryna Sabalenka tipped to sneak past Mirra Andreeva on Wednesday at Indian Wells.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva WTA Finals Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Sabalenka vs Andreeva Predictions & Best Bets
Sabalenka vs Andreeva Head To Head
Aryna Sabalenka Form Analysis
Mirra Andreeva Form Analysis
Sabalenka vs Andreeva Live Stream

Both players recorded opening wins in Group B and can go a long way to securing their semi-final spot with another victory here.

It's shaping as a tight contest, but Sabalenka is favoured due to her strong top 10 record for the year, along with winning four of the six previous meetings between the pair.

Sabalenka vs Andreeva Predictions & Best Bets

Bet	Odds	Reasoning
Over 22.5 Games	$1.90 @ Dabble	Sabalenka has seen 23+ games in eight of her 11 matches vs top 10 players in 2026, while Andreeva has seen 23+ games in five of her seven outings vs the top 10 this year
Sabalenka 2-1	$4.00 @ CrownBet	Andreeva has only managed to win two of those seven top 10 encounters this season, while she hasn't beaten a top two player since March 2025. Sabalenka has an impressive 8-3 record vs top 10 opponents this year, with two of those defeats coming vs Rybakina. Sabalenka is just the more reliable player, especially on hardcourt

Sabalenka vs Andreeva Head To Head

Sabalenka leads 4-2, but it was Andreeva who won their most-recent meeting at this very venue in the 2025 Indian Wells final.

Year	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2025	Indian Wells	Final	Hard	Mirra Andreeva	2–6, 6–4, 6–3
2025	Australian Open	Round of 16	Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	6–1, 6–2
2025	Brisbane	Semifinals	Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	6–3, 6–2
2024	Roland Garros	Quarterfinals	Clay	Mirra Andreeva	6–7(5–7), 6–4, 6–4
2024	Madrid	Quarterfinals	Clay	Aryna Sabalenka	6–1, 6–4
2023	Madrid	Round of 16	Clay	Aryna Sabalenka	6–3, 6–1

Aryna Sabalenka Form Analysis

2026 WTA Record: 48-11
WTA Finals Record: 13-9
Current Ranking: No. 2
Career-High Ranking: No. 1 (2023)

By her lofty standards, it's been a disappointing season for Sabalenka, who has surrendered the World No. 1 ranking and failed to capture a Grand Slam title.

The Belarusian arrives at the WTA Finals without a trophy from her last 10 tournaments, with her most recent triumphs coming at Indian Wells and Miami in March.

Sabalenka came agonisingly close to Grand Slam glory at the US Open, only to be denied by rival Rybakina in the final.

Her struggles continued throughout the Asian swing, where she failed to defeat a player ranked inside the world's top 90 across Beijing and Wuhan, suffering disappointing losses to Nikola Bartůňková and Ann Li.

Sabalenka was quite fortunate to come away with a straight sets win over Karolina Muchova in her WTA Finals opener. She was twice down a break in the first and failed to serve out the match at the first time of asking in the second before completing the 7-6(2) 7-5 triumph for her 13th win at the tournament - the equal-most of any player at the WTA Finals who hasn't won the trophy.

Mirra Andreeva Form Analysis

2026 WTA Record: 51-16
WTA Finals Record: 1-0
Current Ranking: No. 3
Career-High Ranking: No. 3 (Oct 2026)

Andreeva may have struggled against the world's elite at times this season, but there can be few complaints about a campaign that has delivered a maiden Grand Slam title and a career-high ranking of World No. 3 heading into her first WTA Finals appearance.

The 19-year-old enjoyed a remarkable clay-court swing, breaking through for her first major title at Roland Garros after lifting the trophy in Linz and reaching the final in Madrid. She went 22-3 overall on the dirt.

Andreeva carried that momentum into the second half of the season, progressing to the US Open quarter-finals before producing another impressive run at the China Open in Beijing, where she reached the final before falling to home favourite Qinwen Zheng.

It was a triumphant debut match at the WTA Finals, with Andreeva winning the final seven games of the match and winning 87% of first serve points in the opening set as she crushed Elina Svitolina 6-4 6-0 for just her second top 10 victory of 2026.