North QLD Cowboys vs Dolphins NRL Round 14 Tips & Tryscorer Picks - Dolphins Defence Travels

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Tue 02 Jun 2026 10:26

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Kick off is at 5:30 PM (AEST) on Saturday, 6th June at Queensland Country Bank Stadium
Dolphins favoured to win with strong defensive record (14.8 pts allowed last 5 games).
Cowboys have failed to score over 24.5 in last 2 vs Dolphins, under 24.5 recommended.
Top prop: Jamayne Isaako 12+ points; Dolphins -3.5 is main handicap bet.

North QLD Cowboys vs Dolphins

North Queensland Cowboys vs Dolphins, Round 14 2026 - Expert Prediction

The Dolphins are the play as the away favourite, but the sharper angle is North Queensland staying Under 24.5 points against a defence that has tightened right up.

North Queensland Cowboys vs Dolphins, Round 14 2026 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head Stats
North Queensland Cowboys Form Analysis
Dolphins Form Analysis
North QLD Cowboys vs Dolphins Team List & Team News
North QLD Cowboys vs Dolphins NRL 2026 Round 14 FAQ’s

North Queensland can score at home, but this is a very different Dolphins defensive profile to earlier in the season. The Dolphins have allowed only 14.8 points per game across their last 5, and that run included games against the Warriors, Storm, Souths and Raiders.

The Cowboys have also failed to clear this number in 2 straight games against the Dolphins. North Queensland were held to 24 in the last meeting and just 4 in the previous game in Townsville, which matters when this team total sits at 24.5.

The North Queensland Cowboys get Reuben Cotter back and are at home, but the Dolphins are bringing a stronger backline and a 4-game winning streak into this. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow, Jamayne Isaako, Herbie Farnworth, Selwyn Cobbo, Kodi Nikorima and Isaiya Katoa gives them strike everywhere.

The Dolphins -3.5 also fits the way 2026 has played. Away favourites have covered at 56.3% this season, which is one of the biggest shifts in the market and a trend we covered in our NRL 2026 betting statistics and trends analysis.

Jamayne Isaako 12+ points is the cleanest prop. He is the shortest-priced tryscorer, the Dolphins team total is set at 28.5 and, as the goalkicker, a 4-try Dolphins performance gives him multiple paths to 12.

Take North Queensland Under 24.5 Team Total and Dolphins -3.5. Jamayne Isaako 12+ points and a Same Game Multi of Dolphins outright and Jack Bostock 2+ tries are the player prop plays.

The Dolphins have allowed only 14.8 points per game across their last 5.
North Queensland have not cleared 24.5 points in their last 2 games against the Dolphins.
The Dolphins have won their last 3 games against the Cowboys.
Jamayne Isaako has scored 9 tries in his last 6 games against North Queensland.

Head to Head Stats

The Dolphins have won the last 3 games against the Cowboys, including a 58-4 win in Townsville last season and a 43-24 win later in 2025. The Cowboys can still create points at home, but recent head-to-head scoring points toward the Dolphins having the right matchup.

Cowboys Atk Rank	Dolphins Def Rank	Stat	Dolphins Atk Rank	Cowboys Def Rank
9	4	Points	8	7
2	9	Run Mts	3	11
2	9	Linebreaks	9	13
13	10	Compl %	14	11

North Queensland Cowboys Form Analysis

The Cowboys return home after a flat loss in Canberra and will be desperate to respond. They have scored 106 points across their last 3 home games, so the team total Under is not without risk.

The reason to take it is the opponent. North Queensland have averaged 23.6 points across their last 5 and now face a Dolphins team that has been restricting far better attacking sides to low numbers.

Reuben Cotter returning is a boost and Soni Luke is good to go after a knee issue. Tom Mikaele has also been named despite leaving the field with a knee injury last week, which keeps North Queensland closer to full strength through the middle.

Dolphins Form Analysis

The Dolphins are fresh off the bye and riding a 4-game winning streak. They have averaged 33.5 points during that run, but the more impressive number is what they have been doing without the ball.

Across their last 5 games they have allowed just 14.8 points per game, and that stretch included a tough run of attacking opponents. That defensive base makes the Cowboys Under 24.5 the best bet on the card.

Isaako is the obvious player-points look. He is named on the wing, he kicks goals, and he has scored 9 tries in his last 6 games against the Cowboys. If the Dolphins get near their 28.5 team total, Isaako has every chance to land 12+.

North QLD Cowboys vs Dolphins Team List & Team News

Team News and Lists are in our dedicated Round 14 Team List Article.

North QLD Cowboys vs Dolphins NRL 2026 Round 14 FAQ’s

How to livestream North QLD Cowboys vs Dolphins NRL 2026 Round 14?

You can livestream the North QLD Cowboys vs Dolphins NRL 2026 Round 14 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to North QLD Cowboys vs Dolphins NRL 2026 Round 14?

To buy tickets to the North QLD Cowboys vs Dolphins NRL 2026 Round 14 game check the NRL website or the official North QLD Cowboys site.

Verdict

North QLD Cowboys v Dolphins

Take North Queensland Under 24.5 Team Total and Dolphins -3.5. Jamayne Isaako 12+ points and a Same Game Multi of Dolphins outright and Jack Bostock 2+ tries are the player prop plays.

Cowboys Under 24.5

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