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St Kilda Saints vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL Tips - Hawks push for top four while Saints slide continues

Adam Cusworth

Editor

Last updated: Thu 03 Jul 2025 10:28

Adam Cusworth 03 Jul 2025

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St Kilda have dropped six of their past seven matches
Mabior Chol bagged a career-best five goals last round
Jarman Impey is averaging 25+ disposals in his past three games against the Saints
Hawthorn are 10-5 this season, while the Saints are 5-10

Adam's St Kilda Saints vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL Tips

St Kilda Saints vs Hawthorn Hawks, Round 17 2025 - Expert Prediction

St Kilda Saints vs Hawthorn Hawks, Round 17 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends
2025 Betting Trends
St Kilda Saints Team News
St Kilda Saints Team List
Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis & Betting Trends
2025 Betting Trends
Hawthorn Hawks Team News
Hawthorn Hawks Team List
St Kilda Saints vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 17 FAQ’s

Hawthorn can further solidify their top-four ambitions with a convincing performance against St Kilda at Marvel Stadium on Saturday night.

Following a rocky patch mid-season, the Hawks have regained their mojo and are back to playing the confident, aggressive footy that marked the end of their 2024 campaign. They’ve taken down finals aspirants Western Bulldogs and Adelaide recently and crushed North Melbourne by 85 points in Round 16. Hawthorn now sit 5th on the ladder with a 10-5 record.

St Kilda have tumbled to 15th, sitting at 5-10. They stayed competitive against Fremantle for most of last week’s match but conceded crucial late goals, falling short by 12 points.

The Saints have battled to maintain consistent scoreboard pressure and have dropped their last three games at Marvel.

Expect the Hawks to bring fierce heat around the contest and deliver quality supply to their forwards. Mabior Chol is in excellent form and is likely to feature on the scoreboard again. Jarman Impey shapes as a value play in the disposal market.

St Kilda have dropped six of their past seven matches
Mabior Chol bagged a career-best five goals last round
Jarman Impey is averaging 25+ disposals in his past three games against the Saints
Hawthorn are 10-5 this season, while the Saints are 5-10

Head to Head

In their most recent meeting back in Round 9 last year, Hawthorn edged out St Kilda by five points in Launceston. In 2023, they met twice at Marvel, splitting the results — a 10-point Hawks win and a 29-point Saints victory.

St Kilda’s Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera has averaged 29 disposals in his last three outings against Hawthorn. For the Hawks, Jai Newcombe, Jarman Impey, and James Sicily have each averaged over 25 touches. Dan Butler has slotted seven goals across his last three against the brown and gold.

St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	2-3	2-3

The Saints have won just once from their past seven outings, with five of those losses coming by under 40 points — including a 34-point defeat to Collingwood.

They've struggled to apply pressure inside 50, ranking 14th for entries in the last five rounds and averaging only 71 points per game in that stretch.

Scoring options remain an issue. Isaac Keeler was their only multiple goalkicker last week. Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera gathered 28 disposals and continues to be a standout, notching 25+ in all but one game this season — including three with 30+.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
6-9	9-6	3-6	2-4

St Kilda Saints Team News

No fresh injury concerns emerged from the Fremantle clash. The Saints’ injury list is relatively short, though Mattaes Phillipou is still at least a fortnight away. Hugh Boxshall and Zak Jones are pushing for selection following strong VFL showings.

St Kilda Saints Team List

B: I.Keeler, C.Wilkie, A.Tauru

HB: A.Hastie, N.Wanganeen-Milera, J.Sinclair

C: M.Wood, H.Garcia, M.Windhager

HF: J.Higgins, L.Henry, D.Wilson

F: A.Caminiti, C.Sharman, M.Owens

FOLL: R.Marshall, J.Macrae, J.Steele - C

I/C: B.Hill, L.Stocker, H.Clark, D.Butler, M.Hall

EMG: J.Webster, H.Boyd, H.Boxshall

In: - A.Hastie, B.Hill

Out: - J.Carroll (Omitted), T.Travaglia (Omitted)

Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	2-3	1-4

The Hawks are flying high with three consecutive wins, including big results against the Bulldogs and Adelaide before thumping North Melbourne by their biggest margin of the year.

They completely dominated key stats in Round 16 — disposals, inside 50s, clearances, and the scoreboard. Over the last five games, they sit 5th for total disposals. Karl Amon amassed 33 last week, with Jai Newcombe adding 27.

Up forward, Jack Gunston kicked a career-best seven majors, while Mabior Chol added five of his own. Gunston has kicked 12 goals over his past four matches, and Chol has slotted 10 in his last three.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
9-6	6-9	7-4	3-1

Hawthorn Hawks Team News

The Hawks have suffered a big blow with running defender, Josh Weddle, set for a lengthy stint on the sidelines with a back injury. Dylan Moore was subbed out in the third term last weekend but is expected to be available. Selection pressure is mounting with several stars ready to return — including James Sicily and James Worpel. Calsher Dear is in line for a recall after a standout VFL performance, while Mitchell Lewis made a successful return from injury at that level.

Hawthorn Hawks Team List

B: J.Battle, T.Barrass, K.Amon

HB: J.Impey, J.Sicily - C, C.Jiath

C: M.D’Ambrosio, J.Worpel, D.Moore

HF: B.Hardwick, J.Gunston, N.Watson

F: M.Ramsden, M.Chol, C.Macdonald

FOLL: L.Meek, J.Newcombe, J.Ward

I/C: H.Morrison, C.Mackenzie, C.Nash, J.Ginnivan, S.Mitchell

EMG: J.Scrimshaw, C.Dear, F.Maginness

In: - J.Sicily, J.Worpel

Out: - J.Weddle (Injured), S.Butler (Injured)

St Kilda Saints vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 17 FAQ’s

How to watch St Kilda Saints vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 17?

You can watch the St Kilda Saints vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 17 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to St Kilda Saints vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 17?

To buy tickets to the St Kilda Saints vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 17 game check the AFL website or the official St Kilda Saints site.

Verdict

St Kilda Saints v Hawthorn Hawks

Hawthorn to make it four wins in a row. Impey and Chol among the better players

Hawthorn -18.5

Handicap +18.5

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