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Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons AFL Tips - Confident Crows to continue top four charge and cover the line against Melbourne

Adam Cusworth

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Last updated: Thu 03 Jul 2025 10:27

Adam Cusworth 03 Jul 2025

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Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 17 AFL game
The game will be played at Adelaide Oval, with the bounce at 3:20 PM (AEST)
Can the Crows keep the momentum in bid to land top four spot?
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet

Adam's Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons AFL Tips

Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons, Round 17 2025 - Expert Prediction

Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons, Round 17 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Adelaide Crows Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Adelaide Crows Team News
Adelaide Crows Team List
Melbourne Demons Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Melbourne Demons Team News
Melbourne Demons Team List
Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 17 FAQ’s

Adelaide will take another step towards a top four spot at season's end with a decisive win over Melbourne in Sunday AFL action.

The Crows have won four of their past five and continue to produce strong inside 50 and clearance numbers. They come off a 68-point win over Richmond in Round 16, sitting in 3rd spot in the ladder and among five sides on 10 wins.

Melbourne have lost four in succession. They were slow out of the blocks against the Gold Coast Suns last weekend, eventually going down by 19.

The Demons have struggled with accuracy and forward connection in that period. Meanwhile, the Crows have been well served by their skipper, Jordan Dawson, and can gain ascendancy in the midfield battle.

While Melbourne can trouble some of the better sides on their day, the Crows raft of scoring options up forward will be the difference.

Take the Crows to cover the line here. Jordan Dawson will be pivotal in the middle, while we can expect another solid showing fro Melbourne’s Christian Petracca. Josh Rachele looks good for multiple goals for the home side.

Adelaide have won four of their past five, including three by bit margins
Melbourne have lost four in a row
Josh Rachele has kicked 2+ goals in six of his past eight matches
Christian Petracca has averaged 28 disposals in his past four matches against Adelaide

Head to Head

Melbourne have taken out the past four matches between the two sides by an average margin of just under 20 points. They were 15-point winners the last time the two sides met, which was in Gather Round last season.

Christian Petracca has averaged 28 disposals in his past four against Adelaide, while Clayton Oliver has averaged 27 from his past three. Jordan Dawson has averaged 25 for the Crows from his past three. Bailey Fritsch has kicked 11 goals from his past three matches for the Demons.

Adelaide Crows Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	4-1	2-3

Adelaide have won four of their past five. Three of those were by big margins against West Coast (66 points), Sydney (90) and Richmond (68) while they were on either side of the ledger in tight matches against Brisbane and Hawthorn.

Despite coming up against some of the top sides in their past five matches, the Crows top the competition for inside 50s in that period, while they are 4th for clearances and 5th for scoring.

Riley Thilthorpe booted five against Richmond and is averaging 2+ goals per game this season. Josh Rachele has kicked 13 in his past five matches. He has hit the 2+ in six of his past eight.

Jordan Dawson and Rory Laird both picked over 25 disposals in the Richmond match. Dawson has had 20+ in 10 of his past 12 matches. Rory Laird has had 25+ in four of his past five.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
10-5	5-10	4-5	6-0

Adelaide Crows Team News

Adelaide have few players on the injury list and are a chance to go in unchanged this weekend. Chris Burgess booted seven goals in the SANFL last weekend but is among a host of players that will find it hard to squeeze in.

Adelaide Crows Team List

B: J.Worrell, J.Butts, R.Laird

HB: M.Hinge, M.Keane, W.Milera

C: I.Cumming, J.Dawson - C, D.Curtin

HF: B.Keays, R.Thilthorpe, M.Michalanney

F: J.Soligo, T.Walker, D.Fogarty

FOLL: R.O’Brien, I.Rankine, J.Peatling

I/C (FROM): Z.Taylor, J.Rachele, B.Smith, A.Neal-Bullen, L.Murphy, H.Bond, S.Berry, C.Burgess

In: - Z.Taylor, H.Bond, C.Burgess

Out: -

Melbourne Demons Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	3-2	3-2

Melbourne have lost their past four matches. They cost themselves with inaccuracy against St Kilda, Collingwood and Port Adelaide before the loss to the Gold Coast Suns last weekend.

The Demons have been a strong centre clearance side and rank 4th in this measure over the past five rounds, seizing the opportunities provided by Max Gawn. But around the ground there is a drop off in the clearance battle and they rank just 12th for inside 50s and 15th for scoring in that period.

Jake Melksham kicked five goals last weekend, while Kozzie Pickett (three) and Bailey Fritsch (two) chimed in. Pickett has kicked 18 from his past eight matches. Fritsch has kicked 2+ in his past three. Christian Petracca has had 25+ disposals in seven of his past nine matches. Clayton Oliver has had 25+ in two of his past three, missing out last weekend with 24.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
7-8	8-7	4-8	1-2

Melbourne Demons Team News

Melbourne’s Blake Howes and Harrison Petty will both miss with concussion. Charlie Spargo is edging closer to a return, while Jake Lever was solid in the VFL after being axed last weekend. Jack Billings put his hand up for selection with a three-goal and 25-disposal effort at the lower level.

Melbourne Demons Team List

B: J.Bowey, S.May, J.Lever

HB: J.McVee, D.Turner, C.Salem

C: X.Lindsay, C.Petracca, E.Langdon

HF: J.Viney, B.Fritsch, K.Chandler

F: J.Melksham, M.Jefferson, K.Pickett

FOLL: M.Gawn - C, C.Oliver, T.Sparrow

I/C (FROM): J.van Rooyen, K.Tholstrup, J.Billings, H.Langford, T.Rivers, T.McDonald, J.Adams, H.Sharp

In: - J.Lever, J.van Rooyen, J.Billings, T.McDonald, J.Adams

Out: - B.Howes (Injured), H.Petty (Injured)

Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 17 FAQ’s

How to watch Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 17?

You can watch the Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 17 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 17?

To buy tickets to the Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 17 game check the AFL website or the official Adelaide Crows site.

Verdict

Adelaide Crows v Melbourne Demons

Crows will have too much firepower. Dawson and Rachele amongst the action

Adelaide -25.5

Handicap -25.5

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