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Port Adelaide vs Adelaide Crows AFL Round 16 Tips - Crows Tipped In Showdown 60

Ryan Tucker

Editor

Last updated: Fri 26 Jun 2026 04:14

Ryan Tucker 26 Jun 2026

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Adelaide tipped to win by 1-39 points and score over 94.5.
Ben Keays likely for 2+ goals; Zak Butters for 30+ disposals.
Crows in strong form; Port struggling and missing key players.
The game will be played at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, 27th June, with the bounce at 7:35 PM (AEST)

Port Adelaide vs Adelaide Crows

Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows, Round 16 2026 - Expert Prediction

Adelaide to win 1-39, Crows over 94.5 team total, Ben Keays 2+ goals and Zak Butters 30+ Disposals are the four plays for Showdown 60 at Adelaide Oval.

Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows, Round 16 2026 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head Stats
Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis
Adelaide Crows Form Analysis
Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows Team List & News
Port Adelaide vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2026 Round 16 FAQ’s

The Footy Bets predictive model has Adelaide by 14.8 pts which makes the 1-39 range the right play rather than chasing the line. Four of the last five Showdowns have finished within that margin and Adelaide have won six of the last seven. Port Adelaide gave the Crows a genuine scare in Round 8 this season, going down by just one point in a thriller, and even a wounded, depleted Power side finds something extra for this game. Adelaide winning by a controlled margin is exactly how this rivalry plays out.

The Crows are flying high at the moment with six wins from their last seven games while averaging 94.8 pts over their last five. Port are allowing 90+ pts in three of their last five games and have lost six of their last seven. Adelaide dominate port in both Tackles and Disposals which tells you they will control the ball and the territory.

Keays at 2+ goals is backed by concrete head-to-head data. He has scored in six straight games against Port Adelaide with four of those six producing 2+ goals, including three goals in Round 8 this season. Port's defence has been decimated by injury giving Keays the space and opportunity to deliver again.

Butters at 30+ Disposals is the Power prop that makes complete sense. He has hit 30+ in six straight games against Adelaide including 30 in Round 8 this season. Even in losing efforts against the Crows he accumulates.

Take Adelaide to win 1-39, Crows over 94.5, Ben Keays 2+ goals and Zak Butters 30+ Disposals.

Four of the last five Showdowns have finished within the 1-39 margin including the Round 8 2026 thriller that went to the wire by one point.
Adelaide are averaging 99 pts per game in their nine wins this season and Port have allowed 90+ pts in three of their last five games.
Ben Keays has scored in six straight games against Port Adelaide with four of those producing 2+ goals.
Zak Butters has hit 30+ Disposals in six consecutive games against Adelaide, expect him to carry the Power's entire midfield load in a must-perform Showdown.

Head to Head Stats

Adelaide hold a 31-28 all-time lead in the Head to Head. The Crows have won six of the last seven Showdowns with the last five meetings going 1 pt, 98 pts, 5 pts, 22 pts and 30 pts, all within the 1-39 range bar the 98 pt blowout in 2025. Port's only recent win came in Round 23, 2024 by 22 pts.

Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis

Port Adelaide's season is in freefall. They led Collingwood at half-time last Saturday before an injury crisis in the third quarter ended the game. The Power didn't kick a goal in the second half and have now lost six of their last seven games.

Jason Horne-Francis was their best with 30 Disposals, 15 Contested Possessions and six Clearances when Zak Butters was tagged out of the game by Ed Allan. With Connor Rozee still sidelined and now three more key players in the injury ward, the Power are carrying a threadbare list into a Showdown they desperately need to win for pride and ladder position.

Adelaide Crows Form Analysis

Adelaide came from behind against Melbourne to win by 17 pts, with Josh Rachele booting three goals including the sealer after the siren and Riley Thilthorpe kicking the go-ahead goal late. Wayne Milera was outstanding with 27 Disposals and a goal, Rory Laird added 26 and Sam Berry continued a breakout season with 24 Disposals, seven Clearances and eight score involvements. Mark Keane returned from injury with nine Intercepts and 22 Disposals in a performance that gives the Crows another weapon heading into a critical stretch of the season.

At 9-5 and sitting fifth, the Crows are firmly in the top-four conversation. A Showdown win at home keeps the pressure on the sides above them.

Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows Team List & News

Port Adelaide: Josh Carr has made five changes, recalling Ollie Wines among several inclusions after dropping Todd Marshall, Harrison Ramm and Tom Cochrane.

Adelaide: Isaac Cumming and Josh Worrell return, replacing injured Wayne Milera and omitted Nick Murray.

Port Adelaide	POS	Adelaide Crows
L. Evans, B. Zerk-Thatcher, J. Lai	B	M. Keane, J. Borlase, M. Michalanney
D. Byrne-Jones, A. Aliir, L. Jones	HB	I. Cumming, J. Worrell, H. Hall-Kahan
J. Lukosius, J. Horne-Francis, J. Burgoyne	C	D. Curtin, J. Dawson, B. Cook
X. Bamert, M. Georgiades, J. Berry	HF	I. Rankine, R. Thilthorpe, J. Rachele
C. Durdin, J. Whitlock, J. Richards	F	Z. Taylor, T. Walker, A. Neal-Bullen
J. Sweet, Z. Butters, W. Drew	FOLL	L. McAndrew, S. Berry, J. Soligo
M. Zadow, J. Wehr, O. Wines, J. Mead, D. Visentini	I/C	D. Fogarty, B. Keays, J. Peatling, L. Nankervis, R. Laird

Port Adelaide vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2026 Round 16 FAQ’s

How to watch Port Adelaide vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2026 Round 16?

You can watch the Port Adelaide vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2026 Round 16 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Port Adelaide vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2026 Round 16?

To buy tickets to the Port Adelaide vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2026 Round 16 game check the AFL website or the official Port Adelaide site.

Verdict

Port Adelaide Power v Adelaide Crows

Take Adelaide to win 1-39, Crows over 94.5, Ben Keays 2+ goals and Zak Butters 30+ Disposals.

Adelaide 1-39

Winning Margin

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