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Jesse’s AFL Round 9 Tips 2026: Predictions & Margins for Every Match

Jesse Mclure

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Last updated: Tue 05 May 2026 09:03

Jesse Mclure 05 May 2026

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Jesse provides predictions & margins for every AFL Round 9 match.
Melbourne, GWS, and Adelaide tipped for big wins; Fremantle to edge Hawthorn.
Round 9 seen as pivotal for finals hopefuls and underperforming teams.

Jesse's AFL Round 9 Tips 2026 from True Footy.

AFL Round 9 Tips 2026: Jesse’s Predictions & Margins for Every Match

Round 9 shapes as one of the biggest rounds of the AFL season so far.

AFL Round 9 Tips 2026: Jesse’s Predictions & Margins for Every Match
Fremantle vs Hawthorn Prediction
Brisbane vs Carlton Prediction
Port Adelaide vs Western Bulldogs Prediction
North Melbourne vs Sydney Prediction
GWS Giants vs Essendon Prediction
Gold Coast vs St Kilda Prediction
Geelong vs Collingwood Prediction
Melbourne vs West Coast Prediction
Richmond vs Adelaide Prediction

Top-four contenders collide, finals hopefuls face danger games, and a few struggling sides are running out of time to turn things around. With form lines tightening and pressure building, this round could define the next phase of the season.

Here are Jesse’s tips and predicted margins for every AFL Round 9 game.

Fremantle vs Hawthorn Prediction

This is the game of the round between two genuine contenders. Fremantle’s ability to control games late, led by Caleb Serong and Hayden Young, has been a defining trait.

Hawthorn remain one of the most dangerous teams in the competition, with Jai Newcombe and Dylan Moore driving their ball movement, but their inefficiency last week is a concern. At home, Fremantle’s composure could be the difference.

Jesse’s Tip: Fremantle by 10 points

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Brisbane vs Carlton Prediction

Carlton continue to struggle to put together four-quarter performances, with Sam Walsh and Patrick Cripps often doing the heavy lifting early before the side fades.

Brisbane, led by Lachie Neale and Zac Bailey, are building strong form and are extremely difficult to beat at the Gabba. Their depth and consistency should take over as the game progresses.

Jesse’s Tip: Brisbane Lions by 41 points

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Port Adelaide vs Western Bulldogs Prediction

This is one of the hardest games to tip. Port Adelaide have lifted their level significantly, with Zak Butters and Jason Horne-Francis leading the charge.

The Bulldogs regain key pieces like Tim English, while Marcus Bontempelli continues to carry the midfield. On overall talent, the Bulldogs may just edge a tight contest.

Jesse’s Tip: Western Bulldogs by 4 points

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North Melbourne vs Sydney Prediction

North Melbourne have shown genuine improvement this season, with Luke Davies-Uniacke and their experienced additions driving stronger performances.

Sydney remain the benchmark of the competition, with Chad Warner and Errol Gulden leading an elite transition game. Even with North’s growth, Sydney’s class should prevail.

Jesse’s Tip: Sydney Swans by 18 points

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GWS Giants vs Essendon Prediction

GWS have been inconsistent but still possess strong ball movement and attacking potential through players like Brent Daniels and Toby Bedford.

Essendon’s defensive transition remains a concern, and against a team like GWS that can move the ball quickly, they could be exposed.

Jesse’s Tip: GWS Giants by 50 points

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Gold Coast vs St Kilda Prediction

Gold Coast have been uneven but still boast elite midfield talent through Christian Petracca, Matt Rowell and Noah Anderson.

St Kilda are building momentum, with Jack Sinclair and Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera providing drive, but the Darwin factor makes this a difficult trip. The Suns’ home advantage should be decisive.

Jesse’s Tip: Gold Coast Suns by 22 points

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Geelong vs Collingwood Prediction

Geelong’s best football remains elite, with Tom Stewart controlling defence and their forward line capable of scoring quickly.

Collingwood are improving, with Nick Daicos and Scott Pendlebury driving their structure, but Geelong’s firepower at key moments should prove the difference.

Jesse’s Tip: Geelong by 18 points

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Melbourne vs West Coast Prediction

Melbourne have been one of the most impressive teams this season, with Max Gawn, Kozzy Pickett and their fast ball movement creating scoring opportunities.

West Coast continue to struggle, particularly with injuries and defensive lapses. Melbourne’s ground-level speed and pressure could lead to a heavy result.

Jesse’s Tip: Melbourne Demons by 90 points

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Richmond vs Adelaide Prediction

Richmond showed strong character in their win last week, with Tim Taranto and Noah Balta leading from the front.

Adelaide, however, remain the more complete side, with Jordan Dawson and emerging players like Braden Cook contributing. At the MCG, the Crows should have too much class.

Jesse’s Tip: Adelaide Crows by 44 points

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