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Penrith Panthers vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL Tips - Penrith to win but more confidence in the over

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Wed. 23 Apr. 2025 14:13

Jeremy Darke 23 Apr. 2025

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Penrith Panthers vs Manly Sea Eagles expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 8 NRL game
Kick off is at 7:35 PM (AEDT) at CommBank Stadium
Game predicted to exceed 46.5 points due to both teams' weak defence.
Casey McLean expected to score his fourth in a row for the Panthers.

Jez like the Panthers a little and the over a lot.

Penrith Panthers vs Manly Sea Eagles, Round 8 2025 - Expert Prediction

Is it time to get back on the Panthers train, well yes, but not with any real confidence. Penrith are predicted to get the win this week and cover if you take the margin under a converted try.

Penrith Panthers vs Manly Sea Eagles, Round 8 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Penrith Panthers Team News
Penrith Panthers Team List
Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Manly Sea Eagles Team News
Manly Sea Eagles Team List
Penrith Panthers vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL 2025 Round 8 FAQ’s

We have all been burnt by the Panthers this year and as a matter of fact you have probably also lost a couple of pennies on Manly after their disastrous 0-3 run without Tom Trbojevic in the side.

The Panthers finally got a win and come into this game with a little confidence back, but so will the Sea Eagles with Turbo returning, which is why this one is one of the more difficult matches to tip this round.

Looking at the trends between these two teams and how they have both been performing defensively this season the over 46.5 game total is presenting itself as the most confident bet of this game.

The Over and the pick of Casey McLean to score is where most of the units will go with the Penrith centre scoring 5 tries in his last 6 games and looks to be the hungriest of the outside backs for the Panthers.

Manly have lost their last 3 matches at Commbank Stadium.
3 of the last 4 matches between Penrith and Manly have resulted in a 50+ game total.
Both Penrith (11th) and Manly (12th) are giving up over 5 linebreaks to their opponents per game.
Casey McLean has scored in his last 3 games for Penrith.

Head to Head

Manly and Penrith split the wins in 2024 with the Sea Eagles getting up 32-18, in Round 5, at 4 Pines Park and the Panthers returning the favour 32-22, in Round 14.

Penrith have a 8-1 head to head lead since the 2019 season.

Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	2-3	2-3

Penrith finally got things sorted last week, getting a 40-12 win over the Sydney Roosters.

Penrith looked like their old selves again, especially in the second half where they iced the game with 4 tries on the back of 63% territory and completing 19 of 20 sets, along with over 300 more run metres than the Roosters.

The above stats were common for the Panthers over the last 5 seasons but it was the first half of football that they have gotten completely right all seasons. The question now is, can they keep it rolling and get back to their clinical ways?

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
3-4	4-3	1-4	1-1

Penrith Panthers Team News

Luke Sommerton slots in at hooker with Mitch Kenny being suspended for two weeks for his tackle on Nat Butcher last week.

Luke Garner will miss this week in concussion protocol, while Izak Tago comes back into the side after a short spell in the reserves.

Maverick Geyer joins the bench for his first appearance of the season.

Penrith Panthers Team List

1. Dylan Edwards

2. Paul Alamoti

3. Izack Tago

4. Casey McLean

5. Tom Jenkins

6. Blaize Talagi

7. Nathan Cleary

8. Moses Leota

9. Luke Sommerton

10. Liam Henry

11. Scott Sorensen

12. Liam Martin

13. Isaah Yeo

Interchange

14. Brad Schneider

15. Isaiah Papali'i

16. Lindsay Smith

17. Mavrik Geyer

Reserves

18. Daine Laurie

19. Luron Patea

20. Asu Kepaoa

21. Matthew Eisenhuth

22. Jack Cole

Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	1-4	3-2

Manly have lost three on the trot after a disappointing second consecutive loss at 4 Pines Park, going down to the Dragons 20-18. Despite having the majority of the field position and possession, the Sea Eagles attack looked flat, losing the linebreak count 6-2 and only running for 30 more metres in the match despite having much more of the ball.

It is no surprise that with Tom Trbojevic out of the side, Manly have failed to get a win. The Sea Eagles have had more tackles inside their opposition 20m than their opponent in all three matches, but without Turbo in attack creating or running decoy, they have become very predictable and easy to read.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
2-5	5-2	0-2	3-2

Manly Sea Eagles Team News

The scary phrase ‘Tom Trbojevic returns early from injury,’ is the highlight for Manly’s team list this week as they pray to god that their fullback is not under-done.

Lehi Hopoate returns to the wing and Tommy Talau starts on the bench. Tof Sipley will be on the sidelines for a while after being suspended for a hip-drop tackle. Josh Aloiai comes back into the side after being a late withdrawal last week.

Jake Trbojevic will miss the match with concussion, with Jazz Tevega coming in at lock and Jake Simpkin starting at hooker.

Manly Sea Eagles Team List

1. Tom Trbojevic

2. Jason Saab

3. Tolu Koula

4. Reuben Garrick

5. Lehi Hopoate

6. Luke Brooks

7. Daly Cherry-Evans

8. Josh Aloiai

9. Jake Simpkin

10. Siosiua Taukeiaho

11. Haumole Olakau’atu

12. Ben Trbojevic

13. Jazz Tevaga

Interchange

14. Tommy Talau

15. Corey Waddell

16. Ethan Bullemor

17. Nathan Brown

Reserves

18. Gordon Chan Kum Tong

19. Clayton Faulalo

20. Jake Arthur

21. Michael Chee Kam

22. Caleb Navale

Penrith Panthers vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL 2025 Round 8 FAQ’s

How to watch Penrith Panthers vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL 2025 Round 8?

You can watch the Penrith Panthers vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL 2025 Round 8 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Penrith Panthers vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL 2025 Round 8?

To buy tickets to the Penrith Panthers vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL 2025 Round 8 game check the NRL website or the official Penrith Panthers site.

Verdict

Penrith Panthers v Manly Sea Eagles

Penrith will get home in a game that should present a lot of tries and go over the game total of 46.5 points. Casey McLean is making a name for himself in 2025 and will cross for a try.

Penrith Panthers

Money Line

$1.57 - 2 Units

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Casey McLean

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$2.35 - 1 Unit

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