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New Zealand Warriors vs Parramatta Eels NRL Round 26 Tips - Eels shock the Warriors in Auckland

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Wed 27 Aug 2025 10:46

In Round 26 of the NRL 2025, the New Zealand Warriors face the Parramatta Eels, with much at stake for the Warriors' top-four hopes. Despite home ground advantage, the Warriors are at risk, given their recent form at GoMedia. The Eels, boosted by a strong wing duo in Josh Addo-Carr and Zac Lomax, have been improving defensively. Historical trends favor the Eels, particularly in head-to-head matchups. Expect a low-scoring game, potentially under the predicted 44.5 points, with a standout performance likely from Addo-Carr.

Jeremy Darke 27 Aug 2025
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  • New Zealand Warriors vs Parramatta Eels expert predictions for Friday’s Round 26 NRL game
  • Kick off is at 6:00 PM (AEST) at Go Media Stadium
  • Eels boast strong recent form and a potent wing duo.
  • Experts predict a low-scoring game, potentially below 44.5 points.
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New Zealand Warriors vs Parramatta Eels Round 26
New Zealand Warriors vs Parramatta Eels NRL Round 26 Tips

New Zealand Warriors vs Parramatta Eels, Round 26 2025 - Expert Prediction


New Zealand will put their top four hopes at risk in a tight match that could very well turn into a loss at GoMedia on Friday night. 
  • New Zealand Warriors vs Parramatta Eels, Round 26 2025 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • New Zealand Warriors Form Analysis
  • New Zealand Warriors Team News
  • New Zealand Warriors Team List
  • Parramatta Eels Form Analysis
  • Parramatta Eels Team News
  • Parramatta Eels Team List
  • New Zealand Warriors vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 26 FAQ’s

Warriors vs Eels Rd26 NRL Cheat Sheet
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The head-to-head trends are pointing very much in the Eels favour in this match and with the Warriors not as dominant on home soil this season, they are a huge risk as the favourite in this match with upset written all over it. 

The Eels are improving and have a deadly wing combination with Josh Addo-Carr returning to his best and Lomax on the other side. Besides their match against the Titans last week, the New Zealand attack has struggled to score points, while the Eels defence is surprisingly ranked 4th in points conceded over their last 5 matches averaging just 16.8 opposition points per game. 

Eels games are trending to the under and the Warriors are also a much better defensive side at home which says to me that the 44.5 point game total will not be reached in this match. 

As mentioned above, Josh Addo-Carr is the new electric Eels and his speed and finishing class will see him be a danger on the left and he will cross for a try. 

  • Parramatta have won 5 of their last 6 matches against the Eels
  • New Zealand have lost 4 of their last 6 games at GoMedia Stadium.
  • The last 5 Parramatta matches have gone Under the game total
  • The last 3 Warriors games at GoMedia have gone under the game total.
  • Josh Addo-Carr has scored in 4 of last 5 games for Parramatta Eels

Head to Head 


The Eels have the momentum against the Warriors, winning 5 of the last 6 contests. The most recent was a 30-20 victory at GoMedia in Round 22 last season. 

Parramatta have also won 2 of the last 3 in Auckland. 

New Zealand Warriors Form Analysis


The Warriors have been bullies against bottom 9 teams this season with an 11-2 record which includes their two consecutive wins against the Dragons and Titans over the last couple of weeks that have kept them in the top four. 

The 32-18 victory over likely wooden spooners the Gold Coast last week was New Zealand’s best performance in a while albeit against soft competition. Besides letting in an early 4-pointer, the Warriors controlled 64% of the territory and were able to take advantage of their 41 tackles inside the attacking 20m to put up 5 tries.

The Warriors will likely need to win both matches to stay in the top four. To do that they will need to replicate the point scoring efficiency they had against the Titans which was a vast improvement on the 15.5 points they averaged in the four matches prior to their victory over the Gold Coast.

New Zealand Warriors Team News


The Warriors are unchanged after their 14-point victory over the Titans with Andrew Webster showing faith in his side.

New Zealand Warriors Team List


1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad
2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak
3. Adam Pompey
4. Rocco Berry 
5. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck
6. Chanel Harris-Tavita 
7. Tanah Boyd 
8. James Fisher-Harris
9. Wayde Egan 
10. Demitric Vaimauga
11. Kurt Capewell 
12. Marata Niukore 
13. Erin Clark

Interchange
14. Te Maire Martin 
15. Eddie Ieremia-Toeava
16. Tanner Stowers-Smith
17. Leka Halasima 

Reserves
18. Taine Tuaupiki
20. Sam Healey 
21. Bunty Afoa 
22. Kalani Going
23. Edward Kosi

Parramatta Eels Form Analysis


The Eels avoided any chance of the Wooden Spoon by securing a 20-point victory over the Roosters last weekend. Parramatta took advantage of an early concussion to Sam Walker and put Sydney to the sword with 3 tries in each half. 

The Eels attack was clinical, taking advantage of a rare 62% of the territory, building constant pressure to attack the Roosters line. 

With Josh Addo-Carr getting back to his most dangerous on the left wing with 6 tries in 5 games and Zac Lomax arguably the best winger in the game, all being dictated by Mitch Moses in the halves, the Eels are proving to be a tough beat and are building momentum into 2026 with 3 wins from their last 6 matches.

Parramatta Eels Team News


The Eels had a blinder against the Roosters last week and Jason Ryles has stuck with the same lineup.

Parramatta Eels Team List


1. Isaiah Iongi
2. Zac Lomax
3. Will Penisini
4. Dylan Brown
5. Josh Addo-Carr
6. Joash Papali’i
7. Mitch Moses 
8. J’maine Hopgood
9. Ryley Smith
10. Junior Paulo
11. Kelma Tuilagi 
12. Jack Williams
13. Dylan Walker 

Interchange
14. Tallyn Da Silva
15. Matt Doorey  
16. Charlie Guymer 
17. Jordan Samrani 

Reserves
18. Sean Russell 
19. Dean Hawkins 
20. Dan Keir 
21. Toni Mataele
22. Joey Lussick

New Zealand Warriors vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 26 FAQ’s

How to watch New Zealand Warriors vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 26?

You can watch the New Zealand Warriors vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 26 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to New Zealand Warriors vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 26?

To buy tickets to the New Zealand Warriors vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 26 game check the NRL website or the official New Zealand Warriors site.

Verdict

Josh Addo-Carr will score as the Eels upset the Warriors in a match that will stay under the game total of 44.5 points.
Best Bet1: Parramatta Eels Money Line $2.40 at Pandabet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 44.5 Game Total $1.91 at betr - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Josh Addo-Carr Anytime Tryscorer $2.00 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Josh Addo-Carr First Tryscorer $10.00 at dabble - 1 Unit
Parramatta Eels
Money Line
$2.40 - 2 Units
Pandabet
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Bet at Pandabet
Under 44.5
Game Total
$1.91 - 3 Units
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Josh Addo-Carr
Anytime Tryscorer
$2.00 - 2 Units
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Josh Addo-Carr
First Tryscorer
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