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Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos 2025 NRL Grand Final Tips - Melbourne lift the Proven-Summons Trophy in 2025

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Fri 03 Oct 2025 07:37

Jeremy Darke 03 Oct 2025

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Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos expert predictions for Sunday’s 2025 NRL Grand Final
Kick off is at 7:30 PM (AEDT) at Accor Stadium
The Storm have won 12 of their last 14 encounters with Brisbane since 2019.
Jahrome Hughes is tipped as x-factor, likely to score a try and boost Storm's attack past 21.5 points.

Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos 2025 NRL Grand Final Tips

Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos, 2025 NRL Grand Final - Expert Prediction & Cheat Sheet

Melbourne Storm head into the 2025 NRL Grand Final as favourites and will lift the Proven-Summons Trophy after their heart-breaking loss to Penrith in 2024.

Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos, 2025 NRL Grand Final - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Melbourne Storm Form Analysis
Melbourne Storm Team News
Melbourne Storm Team List (Predicted)
Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis
Brisbane Broncos Team News
Brisbane Broncos Team List (Predicted)
Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos 2025 NRL Grand Final FAQ’s

Storm vs Broncos NRL Grand Final Cheat Sheet

Full-transparency, this game is going to be a cracker and you are pulling a leg if you are going into this match full of confidence backing either side. BUT, the Storm are going to win this one. The 2025 NRL Grand Final will be a spectacle and it will be the team that takes their chances on the day that will win this one and could very easily have a different result if the match was played the day after.

Check out the First and Anytime Tryscorer Picks as well as Clive Churchill Medal Preview.

We follow stats and trends here and have faith in them and that is why I am leaning towards Melbourne to get the win. The Storm have a 12-2 record against Brisbane since the 2019 season with one of those losses the last round of this year when Jahrome Hughes was injured.

Melbourne have their full spine intact and the lot of them (Munster, Hughes, Grant and Papenhuyzen) are game breakers in my eyes that have proven themselves on the big stage in Finals or Origin.

Jahrome Hughes is the ultimate x-factor for me. The Storm are 14-4 with him in the side this season and they are much more dangerous in attack when he is running and kicking close to the line. The Storm average 15 points more in attack when Hughes is in the lineup, a phenomenal stat that cannot be overlooked.

I’m taking the Storm to win and to score over their 21.5-point team total and last year’s Dally M player of the year to score a try against Brisbane, who he has habit of crossing the line against.

Melbourne have won 12 of the last 14 matches against Brisbane since 2019
Melbourne have scored 22 points or more in all 12 of their victories over Brisbane since 2019.
Melbourne averaged 32.27 points in games that Jahrome Hughes played and finished in 2025.
Jahrome Hughes has scored 12 tries in 13 games against Brisbane in his career.

Head to Head

The Storm have a dominant record heading into this battle against Brisbane winning 12 of the last 14 games.

Brisbane did win the latest contest 30-14 in the final round of the home and away season, the match where Jahrome Hughes lasted 25 minutes after breaking his wrist. Reece Walsh ran wild with 2 tries and a try assist.

Melbourne Storm Form Analysis

Boy, Melbourne are dangerous when their spine is intact and it was Jahrome Hughes, Cameron Munster, Harry Grant and Ryan Papenhuyzen who did a lot of the damage that saw them control the contest in their 22-14 victory over the Sharks on Friday night.

While giving credit for the victory over the Sharks, Stefano Utoikamanu has to get a huge mention here as well with the prop changing the game physically and putting it into the Storm’s favour with 127 run metres from 15 hitups and 24 bone-crunching tackles.

Munster and Hughes running the ball is the scariest sight for any opposition and the Sharks had no answer for it. With Harry Grant getting quick ball out of dummy half the Cronulla line was under fire all night and struggled to get set.

The Storm were clinical, completing well and played for a full 80mins which is something that Craig Bellamy has been asking from his men all season. Good for them they found it one week out from the Grand Final.

Melbourne Storm Team News

Melbourne have named an unchanged side to that that took down the Cronulla Sharks in the Preliminary Final.

Jahrome Hughes looked untroubled from his broken wrist with Ryan Papenhuyzen also coming out of the match against Cronulla unscathed after returning from concussion protocols.

Melbourne Storm Team List

1. Ryan Papenhuyzen

2. Will Warbrick

3. Jack Howarth

4. Nick Meaney

5. Xavier Coates

6. Cameron Munster

7. Jahrome Hughes

8. Stefano Utoikamanu

9. Harry Grant

10. Josh King

11. Shawn Blore

12. Eli Katoa

13. Trent Loiero

Interchange

14. Tyran Wishart

15. Ativalu Lisati

16. Tui Kamakimica

17. Alec MacDonald

Reserves

18. Grant Anderson
19. Bronson Garlick
20. Joe Chan
21. Jonah Pezet
22. Sua Faalogo

Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis

So Brisbane did the impossible and ended the Premiership dynasty of the Penrith Panthers on Sunday coming back from 14 points down at the half to get the win 16-14.

The most impressive part of the Broncos victory was their goal line defence coming under constant barrage from the Panthers who had 44 tackles inside the Brisbane 20m, keeping them scoreless in the second half with 24 tackles inside 20m in the second half.

Brisbane were put heavily on the back foot in the first half with just 43% possession and 36% of the territory but when things evened out they took their chances with Staggs, Willison and Mariner scoring tries.

The return of Adam Reynolds was a success and as the game moved along the influence of Reece Walsh (1 linebreak, 1 linebreak assist, 1 try assist, 154 run metres) became more prevalent, with the Broncos fullback creating the game winning try for his winger.

Brisbane Broncos Team News

Patrick Carrigan will take his place at lock moving Tyson Smoothy to the bench with the unlucky exclusion of Ben Talty from the starting 17.

Maguire will start start Ezra Mam in the 14 jersey with the combination of Adam Reynolds and Ben Hunt in the halves being a success in the Prelim.

Brisbane Broncos Team List

1. Reece Walsh

2. Josiah Karapani

3. Kotoni Staggs

4. Gehamat Shibasaki

5. Deine Mariner

6. Ben Hunt

7. Adam Reynolds

8. Corey Jensen

9. Cory Paix

10. Payne Haas

11. Brendan Piakura

12. Jordan Riki

13. Patrick Carrigan

Interchange

14. Ezra Mam

15. Kobe Hetherington

16. Xavier Willison

17. Tyson Smoothy

Reserves

18. Jesse Arthars
19. Jack Gosiewski
20. Ben Talty
21. Selwyn Cobbo
22. Jock Madden

Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos 2025 NRL Grand Final FAQ’s

How to watch Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos 2025 NRL Grand Final?

You can watch the Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos 2025 NRL Grand Final game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos 2025 NRL Grand Final?

To buy tickets to the Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos 2025 NRL Grand Final game check the NRL website or the official Melbourne Storm site.

Verdict

Melbourne Storm v Brisbane Broncos NRL Grand Final

Jahrome Hughes will score a try adding to a team total for the Storm that will exceed 21.5 points as they go on and win the NRL Grand Final.

Melbourne Storm

Money Line

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Melbourne Over 21.5

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