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Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm NRL Round 17 Tips - Storm stun the crowd at 4-Pines

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Fri 26 Jun 2026 09:16

Jeremy Darke 26 Jun 2026

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Melbourne Storm tipped to defeat Manly Sea Eagles, even without Jahrome Hughes.
Expect a high-scoring match with both teams averaging strong points recently.
Recommended bet: Melbourne to win, over 46.5 points, Moses Leo anytime try scorer.
Kick off is at 7:30 PM (AEST) on Saturday, 27th June at 4 Pines Park

Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm NRL Round 17 Tips

Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm, Round 17 2026 - Expert Prediction

Melbourne's experience and attacking class should prove the difference despite the loss of Jahrome Hughes, with the Storm good value to upset Manly at 4 Pines Park.

Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm, Round 17 2026 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis
Melbourne Storm Form Analysis
Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm Team List & Team News
Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2026 Round 17 FAQ’s

This shapes as one of the matches of the round with both teams arriving in solid form, but Melbourne have built strong momentum over the past six weeks, winning five of their last six games while averaging almost 30 points per match across their last five outings.

Manly remain a dangerous side at home and defend their own turf well, however injuries have disrupted key positions this week. The absence of Reuben Garrick removes one of their best finishers and goal kickers, while Brandon Wakeham and Kobe Hetherington also leave gaps through the middle.

Melbourne lose Jahrome Hughes, but Harry Grant returns to the starting side and Cameron Munster remains capable of steering the attack. The Storm continue to generate elite yardage, averaging over 1,800 run metres per game, and their outside backs have consistently finished opportunities.

Expect points in this contest. Manly average 27 points per game at 4 Pines Park this season, while Melbourne have scored at least 30 points in three of their last five matches. Both sides possess enough attacking quality to push this total beyond the market.

Moses Leo has become one of Melbourne's most reliable finishers, crossing for six tries in his last five games. With Munster directing plenty of traffic down his edge, he shapes as an excellent anytime tryscorer play.

Melbourne have won five of their last six matches.
Manly-Warringah average 27 points per game at 4 Pines Park this season.
Melbourne have scored 30 or more points in three of their last five matches.
Moses Leo has scored six tries in his last five games.

Head to Head

Recent meetings have been evenly split, with Manly-Warringah winning three of the last five clashes. The Sea Eagles edged Melbourne 18-16 in Round 20 last season after the Storm claimed a convincing 48-24 victory earlier in 2025.

Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis

Manly-Warringah have won three of their last five matches and continue to build their success around defence, conceding just 16.6 points per game during that stretch.

They have kept opponents to 14 points or fewer in three of those five games while averaging 24.0 points themselves, showing they remain capable of grinding out tight victories as well as producing points when opportunities arise.

Their home form has been a major strength throughout 2026, averaging 27 points per game at 4 Pines Park while conceding only 18.

The Sea Eagles continue to generate strong field position through their kicking game, averaging 662 kick metres per match, and their attack remains dangerous with Tom Trbojevic returning alongside strike weapons Jason Saab and Haumole Olakau'atu.

Melbourne Storm Form Analysis

Melbourne have rediscovered their best football, winning four of their last five matches and becoming a contender again, while averaging 29.2 points scored and only 18.4 conceded.

They have posted scores of 42, 32 and 34 points across that run, highlighting the attacking consistency that has driven their climb back into finals contention.

The Storm continue to rank among the NRL's elite attacking sides, averaging more than 1,800 run metres per game while consistently creating repeat attacking opportunities through Harry Grant and Cameron Munster.

Even with Jahrome Hughes sidelined, Melbourne possess enough experience across the spine and strike out wide to maintain one of the competition's most potent attacks.

Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm Team List & Team News

Team News and Lists are in our dedicated Round 17 Team List Article.

Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2026 Round 17 FAQ’s

How to livestream Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2026 Round 17?

You can livestream the Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2026 Round 17 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2026 Round 17?

To buy tickets to the Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2026 Round 17 game check the NRL website or the official Manly Sea Eagles site.

Verdict

Manly Sea Eagles v Melbourne Storm

Melbourne Storm to win, Over 46.5 total points and Moses Leo anytime tryscorer.

Melbourne Storm

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