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Canberra Raiders vs Melbourne Storm NRL Round 7 Tips - Storm to Snap Streak

Ryan Tucker

Editor

Last updated: Tue 14 Apr 2026 21:23

Ryan Tucker 14 Apr 2026

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Melbourne Storm are predicted to break their 4-game losing streak against Canberra.
Take Storm to win and cover short -1.5 line; the Game Total to go Under.
Nick Meaney likely to score; Melbourne’s experience favored to edge out Raiders.
Kick off is at 6:00 PM (AEST) on Friday, 17th April at GIO Stadium

Canberra Raiders vs Melbourne Storm

Canberra Raiders vs Melbourne Storm, Round 7 2026 - Expert Prediction

Melbourne have not lost 5 straight games since 2012 and it is not going to happen here as they are tipped to break their losing streak and claim a close win over the Raiders.

Canberra Raiders vs Melbourne Storm, Round 7 2026 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Canberra Raiders Form Analysis
Melbourne Storm Form Analysis
Canberra Raiders vs Melbourne Storm Team List & Team News
Canberra Raiders vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2026 Round 7 FAQ’s

Both of these teams have had a horrid start to the 2026 season. Melbourne have made finals in 15 straight years and in 22 of the last 23 seasons, even in the asterisk year they won 14 games which would have had them 5th on the ladder. They are the embodiment of consistent footy and repeated success but are 2-4 on a 4 game losing streak.

Canberra have been patchy at best over the past 10 years but have held a winning record and play a tough brand of football under Ricky Stuart which always keeps them in games. It does feel though that all of the close wins they had last season are regressing to losses so far this year.

The way these two teams match up give signals on how the game might play out. Canberra are allowing an average of 1825 Run Metres to their opponent this season and last week allowed 8 Linebreaks. They are getting worse as the season goes at completing their sets which is a significant marker of a losing team.

Melbourne haven’t been much better defensively, they are also giving up a bunch of Run Metres to opponents but a large portion have come in their blowout losses once the game was already over. Important to factor into the equation.

There is a lot on the line for the team that finishes this game 2-5. Melbourne have shown through the years they are better equipped to handle these situations and on paper they have the more experienced spine to get them through.

Take the Storm to win and cover the short -1.5 line. The Game Total to go Under 48.5 and Nick Meaney to cross for a four pointer and as first tryscorer.

Melbourne have won by an average of 17 pts across their last 7 victories vs Canberra.
The Under has hit in just 46% of games so far this season, the average over the past 7 seasons is 50/50.
Nick Meaney has scored a try in 2 of his last 4 games vs Raiders
Canberra have allowed 3 tries to right side centre/wings over their last 2 games.

Head to Head

Canberra won the lone matchup last season 20-18 at Magic Round but Melbourne have won 7 of the 10 games prior including the most recent match at GIO Stadium back in 2021.

Canberra average just 14 pts against Melbourne during the 11 regular season game span dating back to the start of 2019. They have failed to exceed 20pts in 8 straight matchups.

3 of the last 4 games have gone Under the Game Total and despite not winning straight up, Canberra hold a 7-4 ATS record over the same span of games.

Raiders Atk Rank	Storm Def Rank	Stat	Storm Atk Rank	Raiders Def Rank
16	10	Points	6	16
11	5	Run Mts	15	12
12	16	Linebreaks	1	8
14	6	Compl %	1	17

Canberra Raiders Form Analysis

The Raiders have had one of the most dramatic falls to start 2026 but they were able to salvage a high scoring contest last week against South Sydney, sneaking away victorious 36-34 after leading 24-4 at the half time break.

They sit 15th on the ladder with 2 wins and 4 losses and a -67 pt differential, a stark contrast to the standings last season where they finished as minor premiers.

Kaeo Weekes was electric last weekend against the Bunnies scoring 2 tries as well as having 1 Linebreak, 5 Tackle Busts and having a hand in multiple tries.

Melbourne Storm Form Analysis

Melbourne are in unfamiliar territory staring down the barrel of a 5th straight defeat and languishing in 13th spot on the ladder. The current 4 game losing streak equals a similar stretch in 2022 from the Storm, the only other time in the past 7 seasons of footy that it has happened.

They are struggling defensively and have allowed the 4th most points of any team in the league over the first 6 rounds. Their usual confidence is nowhere to be found and the ability to fight back from a deficit also seems to be missing.

There is no doubt that this team will rebound at some stage, they could go on a 15 game win streak and compete for the minor premiership, but right now that goal is very far away.

Canberra Raiders vs Melbourne Storm Team List & Team News

Team News and Lists are in our dedicated Round 7 Team List Article.

Canberra Raiders vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2026 Round 7 FAQ’s

How to livestream Canberra Raiders vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2026 Round 7?

You can livestream the Canberra Raiders vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2026 Round 7 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Canberra Raiders vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2026 Round 7?

To buy tickets to the Canberra Raiders vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2026 Round 7 game check the NRL website or the official Canberra Raiders site.

Verdict

Canberra Raiders v Melbourne Storm

Take the Storm to win and cover the short -1.5 line. The Game Total to go Under 48.5 and Nick Meaney to cross for a four pointer and as first tryscorer.

Melbourne -1.5

Line

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