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Buffalo Bills at Atlanta Falcons NFL Week 6 Tips & Predictions - Allen to dictate terms in Atlanta

Ryan Tucker

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Fact Checked by Jeremy Darke

Last updated: Thu 09 Oct 2025 11:59

Ryan Tucker 09 Oct 2025

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Buffalo Bills at Atlanta Falcons Expert NFL Tips for Week 6
Kick Off is at 10:15 AM AEDT at Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Buffalo Bills to rebound and win over Atlanta Falcons in Week 6.
Josh Allen expected to lead with multiple passing touchdowns.
Atlanta's strong rushing may challenge Buffalo's defense.

Buffalo Bills at Atlanta Falcons NFL Week 6 Tips & Predictions

Buffalo will rebound from their first loss of the season last weekend to take care of the Falcons in Atlanta on Tuesday (Australian time).

Buffalo Bills at Atlanta Falcons NFL Week 6 Tips & Predictions
Head to Head Record
All Time Record
Most Recent Matchup
Statistical Rankings
Buffalo Bills Form
Buffalo Bills Betting Trends
Atlanta Falcons Form
Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends
Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons Frequently Asked Questions

These teams don’t have a lot of history, the last time they met in 2022 both teams looked wildly different to today. Josh Allen completed just 11 of 26 passes throwing 3 INT for a 17 rating - and they still won by 14 points.

Atlanta are a much better team this time around and Penix Jr. has a bright future ahead of him. The ground game that the Falcons possess will be problematic for Buffalo, they have given up 100+ rush yards in 4 of 5 games this season including 238 to the Ravens in week 1.

The pass defence rankings look good for Atlanta but they haven’t played many good passing QB’s this season. Josh Allen has had a passer rating of 103+ in 4 of 5 games this year and will put a lot more pressure on the Falcons secondary.

Take the Bills to win, cover the line and go Over their Team total. Josh Allen will contribute with at least 2 passing TD’s while Bijan Robinson will likely go Over his Rushing number.

3 of 4 Bills wins this season have been by more than 4 pts.
Atlanta allow 21.5 pts per game to opponents, 15th in the league and have had a weak strength of schedule.
Josh Allen has had 2+ TD passes in 4 of 5 games this season.
Bijan Robinson is averaging 4.9 yards per attempt this year, Buffalo give up the 3rd most yards per attempt to opposing running backs at 5.6 per carry.

Head to Head Record

All Time Record

Atlanta Falcons lead all-time series 7-6.

Most Recent Matchup

Date	Result
Jan 2, 2022	ATL 15 @ BUF 29

Statistical Rankings

Stat	BUF	ATL
Points Scored/Game	30.6 (3rd)	19.0 (26th)
Points Allowed/Game	22.6 (18th)	21.5 (15th)
Pass Yds/Game	241 (7th)	226 (13th)
Rush Yds/Game	154 (2nd)	136 (6th)
Def. Pass Yds/Game	154 (2nd)	135 (1st)
Def. Rush Yds/Game	145 (28th)	109 (16th)

Buffalo Bills Form

Buffalo dropped their first game of the season last weekend in a 23-20 loss to New England, a bogey team that has beaten them in 4 straight matchups.

Josh Allen completed 22 of 31 pass attempts for 253 yards and 2 TD’s while giving up 1 INT and getting sacked once. He finished with a 103.3 rating while also adding 53 rush yards on 9 runs. James Cook was kept quiet, restricted to 3.2 YPC on 15 runs. The Bills remain the 3rd ranked scoring team and 2nd best Rush team in yards per game.

Defensively the pass rush got to Drake Maye 4 times but he still threw for 273 yards getting them into scoring position which the runners then completed. The Buffalo goal line defence was nowhere to be seen.

Buffalo Bills Betting Trends

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Away	Home
BUF	4-1-0	2-3-0	3-2-0	1-0-0	3-1-0

Atlanta Falcons Form

Atlanta had the bye last weekend but the week prior put on a solid score, taking care of the Washington Commanders 34-27. They are 2-2 on the season and sit 2nd in the NFC South.

Michael Penix had a 126 rating in the win over Washington, his best of the season so far with a 76.9% completion rate and 2 pass TD’s. Atlanta are the 6th ranked rush team with 136 yards per game led by Bijan Robinson who is averaging 78.5 yards per game.

Defensively the Falcons have the number 1 ranked pass defence, allowing 135 yards per game but have played any notable QB’s save for Baker Mayfield in week 1 who threw 159 yards.

Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Away	Home
ATL	2-2-0	2-2-0	1-3-0	1-1-0	1-1-0

Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons start?

Kickoff between Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons is at 10:15 AM AEDT, Tuesday

What channel is Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons on?

You can watch Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons on DAZN

Verdict

BUF Bills @ ATL Falcons

Take the Bills to win, cover the line and go Over their Team total. Josh Allen will contribute with at least 2 passing TD’s while Bijan Robinson will likely go Over his Rushing number.

Buffalo -4.5

Line

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