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St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL Round 21 Tips - Saints set to extend winning run over Roos
In AFL 2025 Round 21, St Kilda Saints, riding high from a stellar comeback win, face the North Melbourne Kangaroos at Marvel Stadium. With St Kilda's key players in top form and the Kangaroos displaying a porous defense, the Saints appear poised to seize this opportunity. Currently holding 14th place with six wins, they've shown inconsistencies at Marvel but aim to capitalize against the Kangaroos' challenges. The prediction leans towards a high-scoring game, with St Kilda likely to secure victory within a 1-39 point range.
- St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 21 AFL game
- The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 1:40 PM (AEST)
- Can St Kilda back up their miracle comeback with another win?
- Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL Round 21 Tips
St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos, Round 21 2025 - Expert Prediction
- St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos, Round 21 2025 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- St Kilda Saints Team News
- St Kilda Saints Team List
- North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News
- North Melbourne Kangaroos Team List
- St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2025 Round 21 FAQ’s
St Kilda will build on last week’s thrilling comeback win as they face a struggling North Melbourne side at Marvel Stadium.
The Saints pulled off one of the greatest comebacks ever with a nine goal to nil final term to defeat Melbourne by six-points. Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera sealed the deal with two goals in the last minute, including the winner after the siren.
Ross Lyon’s side sit in 14th spot on the ladder with six wins, while North Melbourne are 17th with four victories and a draw. They come off a 101 point loss to Geelong.
Both sides have had a rough patch of late but with key contributors like Wanganeen-Milera and Jack Sinclair continue to shine, and with North conceding 125 points per game across their last five outings, the Saints’ can feast on opportunities.
While the Saints have been inconsistent at Marvel this season, North’s leaky defence and lack of scoring power make them hard to back them here. St Kilda’s polish around the ball will be the difference. Take the Saints in the 1-39 point range, while the total points over looks to be in play.
- St Kilda have won the past five matches between the two sides. Four of those have been by under the 39.5 point margin
- 10 of the Saints past 11 matches have been decided by 39.5 points or less
- In the past five rounds, the two sides have featured in games that have gone over the total points on four occasions each
- The Kangaroos have conceded a whopping 125 points per game in their past five matches
Head to Head
St Kilda have won the past five matches between the two sides. Four of those have been by under the 39.5 point margin, including the Round 8 encounter (38 points) last season, which was the last time they met.
Jack Sinclair has averaged 29 disposals from his past four matches against North Melbourne, while Jack Steele has averaged 25 from his past three. Harry Sheezel has averaged 27 from his past three for North Melbourne.
St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
St Kilda were winners last weekend but have lost nine of their past 11 matches. 10 of those matches were decided by 39.5 points or less. St Kilda have won two of their past nine at Marvel Stadium and are 4-7 at the venue this season.
Over the past five rounds, they have been able to match sides in terms of winning the footy, ranking in the top half for disposals and clearances but a lack of pressure has led to them ranking 14th for both inside 50s and fewest inside 50s conceded.
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera was the match-winner last weekend with 34 disposals and four goals. He has been the standout player this season and has had 30+ disposals in five of his past seven matches. Jack Sinclair has hit the 30+ in his past two matches.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9-10 | 13-6 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
St Kilda Saints Team News
Lance Collard will miss for St Kilda with a foot injury. Tobie Travaglia, Paddy Dow and Liam Henry have some solid VFL form and will be considered. Jack Carroll, Dougal Howard and Mattaes Phillipou are nearing a return from their respective injuries.
St Kilda Saints Team List
B: A.Tauru, C.Wilkie, A.Caminiti
HB: L.Stocker, N.Wanganeen-Milera, J.Sinclair
C: M.Windhager, J.Macrae, A.Hastie
HF: B.Hill, M.Hall, J.Higgins
F: M.Owens, M.Wood, C.Sharman
R: R.Marshall, H.Clark, J.Steele (c)
I/C (FROM): Z.Jones, L.Collard, T.Travaglia, R.Byrnes, A.Schoenmaker, H.Garcia, H.Boxshall, M.Heath
North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 0-5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
North Melbourne have lost their past five matches, with those coming at an average margin of 60 points. Two of those were against sides in the bottom half of the ladder, resulting in a 36 point loss to Sydney and 31 to Melbourne. The Kangaroos have a win-loss record of 4-6 against sides in the bottom half of the ladder in 2025.
The Kangaroos have conceded a whopping 125 points per game in their past five matches and do need to recruit some lockdown defenders at season's end. At the other end, their leading goalkicker, Nick Larkey, has missed the past three matches with a knee injury.
They could only manage seven goals against Geelong with Cam Zurhaar booting three and Paul Curtis kicking two. Zurhaar has kicked eight from his past four matches.
Colby McKercher had 32 disposals against Geelong and has hit the 30+ in three of his past five, while he had 29 in another. Luke Parker had 31 against Geelong, while Harry Sheezel had 27. Sheezel has had 25+ in six of his past eight.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11-8 | 9-10 | 3-7 | 1-7 |
North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News
No injuries for North Melbourne out of the Geelong match. Nick Larkey is edging closer to a return. Tristan Xerri still has a week to serve on a suspension.
North Melbourne Kangaroos Team List
B: C.Comben, T.Pink, G.Logue
HB: R.Hardeman, C.Daniel, F.O’Sullivan
C: D.Stephens, L.Davies-Uniacke, Z.Duursma
HF: P.Curtis, N.Larkey (c), C.McKercher
F: L.Parker, J.Darling, C.Zurhaar
R: B.Teakle, H.Sheezel, G.Wardlaw
I/C (FROM): W.Dawson, G.Payne, T.Powell, W.Phillips, C.Harvey, J.Konstanty, Z.Banch, R.Hansen Jr
IN: N.Larkey, G.Wardlaw, G.Payne, W.Phillips, C.Harvey
OUT: J.Simpkin (Injured), F.Maley (Omitted)
St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2025 Round 21 FAQ’s
How to watch St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2025 Round 21?
You can watch the St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2025 Round 21 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2025 Round 21?
To buy tickets to the St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2025 Round 21 game check the AFL website or the official St Kilda Saints site.
Verdict
St Kilda to win in a high scoring contest
St Kilda 1-39
Winning Margin 1-39
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