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St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL Round 21 Tips - Saints set to extend winning run over Roos

Adam Cusworth

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Last updated: Thu 31 Jul 2025 15:41

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Adam Cusworth 31 Jul 2025

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St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 21 AFL game
The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 1:40 PM (AEST)
Can St Kilda back up their miracle comeback with another win?
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet

St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL Round 21 Tips

St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos, Round 21 2025 - Expert Prediction

St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos, Round 21 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends
St Kilda Saints Team News
St Kilda Saints Team List
North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News
North Melbourne Kangaroos Team List
St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2025 Round 21 FAQ’s

St Kilda will build on last week’s thrilling comeback win as they face a struggling North Melbourne side at Marvel Stadium.

The Saints pulled off one of the greatest comebacks ever with a nine goal to nil final term to defeat Melbourne by six-points. Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera sealed the deal with two goals in the last minute, including the winner after the siren.

Ross Lyon’s side sit in 14th spot on the ladder with six wins, while North Melbourne are 17th with four victories and a draw. They come off a 101 point loss to Geelong.

Both sides have had a rough patch of late but with key contributors like Wanganeen-Milera and Jack Sinclair continue to shine, and with North conceding 125 points per game across their last five outings, the Saints’ can feast on opportunities.

While the Saints have been inconsistent at Marvel this season, North’s leaky defence and lack of scoring power make them hard to back them here. St Kilda’s polish around the ball will be the difference. Take the Saints in the 1-39 point range, while the total points over looks to be in play.

St Kilda have won the past five matches between the two sides. Four of those have been by under the 39.5 point margin
10 of the Saints past 11 matches have been decided by 39.5 points or less
In the past five rounds, the two sides have featured in games that have gone over the total points on four occasions each
The Kangaroos have conceded a whopping 125 points per game in their past five matches

Head to Head

St Kilda have won the past five matches between the two sides. Four of those have been by under the 39.5 point margin, including the Round 8 encounter (38 points) last season, which was the last time they met.

Jack Sinclair has averaged 29 disposals from his past four matches against North Melbourne, while Jack Steele has averaged 25 from his past three. Harry Sheezel has averaged 27 from his past three for North Melbourne.

St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	4-1	4-1

St Kilda were winners last weekend but have lost nine of their past 11 matches. 10 of those matches were decided by 39.5 points or less. St Kilda have won two of their past nine at Marvel Stadium and are 4-7 at the venue this season.

Over the past five rounds, they have been able to match sides in terms of winning the footy, ranking in the top half for disposals and clearances but a lack of pressure has led to them ranking 14th for both inside 50s and fewest inside 50s conceded.

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera was the match-winner last weekend with 34 disposals and four goals. He has been the standout player this season and has had 30+ disposals in five of his past seven matches. Jack Sinclair has hit the 30+ in his past two matches.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
9-10	13-6	4-9	2-4

St Kilda Saints Team News

Lance Collard will miss for St Kilda with a foot injury. Tobie Travaglia, Paddy Dow and Liam Henry have some solid VFL form and will be considered. Jack Carroll, Dougal Howard and Mattaes Phillipou are nearing a return from their respective injuries.

St Kilda Saints Team List

B: A.Tauru, C.Wilkie, A.Caminiti

HB: L.Stocker, N.Wanganeen-Milera, J.Sinclair

C: M.Windhager, J.Macrae, A.Hastie

HF: B.Hill, M.Hall, J.Higgins

F: M.Owens, M.Wood, C.Sharman

R: R.Marshall, H.Clark, J.Steele (c)

I/C (FROM): Z.Jones, L.Collard, T.Travaglia, R.Byrnes, A.Schoenmaker, H.Garcia, H.Boxshall, M.Heath

North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
0-5	2-3	4-1

North Melbourne have lost their past five matches, with those coming at an average margin of 60 points. Two of those were against sides in the bottom half of the ladder, resulting in a 36 point loss to Sydney and 31 to Melbourne. The Kangaroos have a win-loss record of 4-6 against sides in the bottom half of the ladder in 2025.

The Kangaroos have conceded a whopping 125 points per game in their past five matches and do need to recruit some lockdown defenders at season's end. At the other end, their leading goalkicker, Nick Larkey, has missed the past three matches with a knee injury.

They could only manage seven goals against Geelong with Cam Zurhaar booting three and Paul Curtis kicking two. Zurhaar has kicked eight from his past four matches.

Colby McKercher had 32 disposals against Geelong and has hit the 30+ in three of his past five, while he had 29 in another. Luke Parker had 31 against Geelong, while Harry Sheezel had 27. Sheezel has had 25+ in six of his past eight.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
11-8	9-10	3-7	1-7

North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News

No injuries for North Melbourne out of the Geelong match. Nick Larkey is edging closer to a return. Tristan Xerri still has a week to serve on a suspension.

North Melbourne Kangaroos Team List

B: C.Comben, T.Pink, G.Logue

HB: R.Hardeman, C.Daniel, F.O’Sullivan

C: D.Stephens, L.Davies-Uniacke, Z.Duursma

HF: P.Curtis, N.Larkey (c), C.McKercher

F: L.Parker, J.Darling, C.Zurhaar

R: B.Teakle, H.Sheezel, G.Wardlaw

I/C (FROM): W.Dawson, G.Payne, T.Powell, W.Phillips, C.Harvey, J.Konstanty, Z.Banch, R.Hansen Jr

IN: N.Larkey, G.Wardlaw, G.Payne, W.Phillips, C.Harvey

OUT: J.Simpkin (Injured), F.Maley (Omitted)

St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2025 Round 21 FAQ’s

How to watch St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2025 Round 21?

You can watch the St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2025 Round 21 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2025 Round 21?

To buy tickets to the St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2025 Round 21 game check the AFL website or the official St Kilda Saints site.

Verdict

St Kilda Saints v North Melbourne Kangaroos

St Kilda to win in a high scoring contest

St Kilda 1-39

Winning Margin 1-39

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