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St Kilda Saints vs Geelong Cats Tips - Cats turn the sword on the wounded Saints

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Thu 20 Mar 2025 10:35

Jeremy Darke 20 Mar 2025

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St Kilda Saints vs Geelong Cats expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 2 AFL game
The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 7:35 PM (AEDT)
Injuries plague St Kilda, with 7 potential key players missing.
Bailey Smith and Oliver Henry expected to lead Geelong's charge.

Ryan delivers the top picks for the final game of AFL Saturday.

St Kilda Saints vs Geelong Cats, Round 2 2025 - Expert Prediction

The Cats will get an elusive win at Marvel Stadium against St Kilda when they beat the Saints by a 1-39 margin.

St Kilda Saints vs Geelong Cats, Round 2 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends
St Kilda Saints Team News
St Kilda Saints Team List
Geelong Cats Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Geelong Cats Team News
Geelong Cats Team List
St Kilda Saints vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 2 FAQ’s

The Saints have beaten the Cats in their last 3 games in Melbourne’s docklands, but that trend will be broken in 2025 as the Saints will once again limp into the contest potentially missing 7 first-choice players.

After Geelong’s 78-point win over Freo in Round 1 another big score could be on the cards, but the Cats are a different beast at GMHBA Stadium which gives weight to a lower margin when playing at Marvel.

Bailey Smith was electric in his debut for the Cats and it is clear that he is going to be pushing for the Brownlow in a superstar club. Smith will have his hands on the ball again against St Kilda, with the Saints giving up a monster amount of uncontested possessions to the Crows last week.

Oliver Henry signed an extension on his contract this week and will repay the organisation with another multi-goal game, after kicking 3 goals last week.

Geelong won their first 7 matches of the 2024 season.
St Kilda made 68 turnovers in their first match of the season, 13 more than Geelong.
St Kilda gave up 274 uncontested possessions to Adelaide, 38 more than any other team in the AFL.
Bailey Smith had 32 disposals in his return to the AFL in his debut for Geelong.

Head to Head

St Kilda and Geelong have traded blows over the last few season alternating wins since their second matchup in 2021, splitting the chocolates in 2022 and 2024 with a stand alone game going to St Kilda in 2023.

The home team has won the last six games between the pair and the winning margin has been 1-39 in 6 of the last 7.

Geelong took the first match in 2024 by 10 points and had the Saints by 33 points in the third quarter, however the pressure of locking in a top 4 finish in Round 23 got to them and they were upset by St Kilda by 18 points.

St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
0-1	0-1	1-0

St Kilda trailed from start to finish on their trip to Adelaide Oval to face the Crows, going down 135-72.

Injuries to seven of their starters against the Crows made it tough and to make matters worse, Adelaide kicked the first 5 goals of the match, putting the Saints on the back foot from the get-go.

New recruit Jack Macrae was the only real highlight for St Kilda in their 63-point loss with the former Western Bulldog claiming a game high 34 disposals in the match.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
0-1	1-0	0-0	0-1

St Kilda Saints Team News

Mitch Owens (shoulder) and Liam Henry (knee) will be late tests for the match against the Cats and will need to get through the week’s training and be assessed.

In worse news, forwards Max King (knee), Dan Butler (Achilles), and Cooper Sharman (thumb) will all miss Saturday’s game.

St Kilda Saints Team List

Team list yet to be released.

Geelong Cats Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-0	1-0	1-0

The Cats didn’t muck around making an early statement in 2025, crushing potential finals contenders the Fremantle Dockers 147-69.

New star recruit Bailey Smith was in the midst of it all in his first appearance for Geelong, piling up 32 disposals, 700 metres gained and a goal, all while coming back from an ACL injury that kept him out of action last season.

Patrick Dangerfield made an elite transition to the forward line, kicking two goals and even jumping into the ruck. His versatility and ability to link up field was a problem for Freo to contain.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
1-0	1-0	0-0	1-0

Geelong Cats Team News

Jake Kolodjashnij is still being managed conservatively, taking a cautious approach to his groin injury that will likely see him miss a couple more weeks.

Cam Guthrie (Achilles) and Tanner Bruhn (Finger) still have no timeline for their return to the squad and will be week-to-week.

Jacob Molier & Lenny Hofmann are dealing with hamstring issues and will return in a week or two.

Geelong Cats Team List

Team list yet to be released.

St Kilda Saints vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 2 FAQ’s

How to watch St Kilda Saints vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 2?

You can watch the St Kilda Saints vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 2 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to St Kilda Saints vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 2?

To buy tickets to the St Kilda Saints vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 2 game check the AFL website or the official St Kilda Saints site.

Verdict

St Kilda v Geelong

Geelong will get a 1-39 win against the Saints with Bailey Smith recording 25+ disposals and Oliver Henry kicking 2+ goals.

Geelong

1-39 Winning Margin

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Oliver Henry

2+ Goals

$1.87 - 3 Units

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Bailey Smith

25+ Disposals

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