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Hawthorn Hawks vs GWS Giants AFL Tips - Hawks to make a statement with win over GWS

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Fri 28 Mar 2025 10:19

Ryan Tucker 28 Mar 2025

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Hawthorn Hawks vs GWS Giants expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 3 AFL game
The game will be played at UTAS Stadium, with the bounce at 7:35 PM (AEST)
Experts predict a tight matchup with the Hawks favored to win by 1-39 points.
Hawthorn Hawks are unbeaten at home, with Jai Newcombe expected to be influential.
GWS Giants struggle in scoring opportunities but may see Jesse Hogan return.

Tips and predictions for Hawthorn vs GWS.

Hawthorn Hawks vs GWS Giants, Round 3 2025 - Expert Prediction

Another tight matchup is expected between the Hawks and Giants with Hawthorn tipped to take the victory at home and continue their unbeaten run to start the season.

Hawthorn Hawks vs GWS Giants, Round 3 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Hawthorn Hawks Team News
Hawthorn Hawks Team List
GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
GWS Giants Team News
GWS Giants Team List
Hawthorn Hawks vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 3 FAQ’s

The biggest margin of victory over the last two years between these teams has been 13 points and of the four games played, two of them have finished with just a 2 point margin. The squads are evenly matched with each side having guys on the field that can break a game open.

The success of these teams comes with how good they are at moving the ball efficiently down the field and their defensive efforts. Both teams rank in the top 5 for opposition contested possessions meaning their opponents rarely get easy ball movement.

The Giants haven’t scored a bunch of points so far this year but they have also been missing their Coleman Medallist full forward in Jesse Hogan who is likely to return this weekend.

My expectation is that it will be a tight contest with extra weight given to shutting down the run in the middle on defence, and trying to break open the run with ball in hand. The team who can execute best will win but it will go down to the wire.

Take the Hawks to win by 1-39 as the trends suggest. The Under is the play on the Game Total and Jai Newcombe will see a lot of ball in the middle of the park.

8 of the last 9 games between these teams have finished with a 1-39 win margin.
The Hawks have won 6 straight at UTAS and 12 of their last 15 including last season against the Giants.
GWS have allowed the 8th most Inside 50’s on average so far this season.
Jai Newcombe has had 30+ disposals in 2 of his last 5 games against GWS and had 32 last week against Carlton.

Head to Head

Since the beginning of the 2019 season the head to head record stands at 5-4 to the Giants who have also taken 4 of the last 5 meetings. The two matchups last season were split with the home team winning on both occasions.

The Under has hit in the Game Total in 5 straight games and 7 of the last 9 while the winning margin has stayed between 1-39 in all but one of the previous 9 matchups.

Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-0	3-0	2-1

The Hawks continued their unbeaten run to start 2025 last weekend taking a 20 point win over the Blues with accuracy in front of goal being the determining factor. Both teams had 20 scoring shots on the night but it was the Hawks who converted their chances into goals more often kicking 12.8 to Carlton’s 8.12.

Mabior Chol was the most dominant forward on the field finishing with three goals on the night while Jai Newcombe continued his stellar start to the season with 32 disposals and 1 minor score to go with his 9 clearances.

Hawthorn looked a little sloppy in the second quarter but conditions weren’t great, they then picked back up in the third taking control of the game with efficient ball movement through the middle which was their signature all through last season.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
3-0	2-1	3-0	0-0

Hawthorn Hawks Team News

Connor Macdonald will miss a couple weeks with a syndesmosis injury with James Blanck on a similar timeline with his knee.

Sam Butler, Calsher Dear and Mitch Lewis all have TBC on their estimated return times with James Worpel likely to come back after the bye.

Hawthorn Hawks Team List

B: T.Barrass, B.Hardwick, J.Sicily - C

HB: C.Jiath, J.Impey, M.D’Ambrosio

C: K.Amon, J.Ward, J.Battle

HF: C.Mackenzie, N.Watson, C.Nash

F: F.Maginness, M.Chol, W.Day

FOLL: L.Meek, J.Newcombe, D.Moore

I/C: J.Weddle, J.Gunston, H.Morrison, J.Ginnivan, L.Breust

EMG: S.Mitchell, J.Serong, H.Hustwaite

In: L.Breust

Out: C.Macdonald (Injured)

GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-0	1-1	0-2

The Giants had their early round bye last weekend after participating in Opening Round. Their most recent matchup in Round 1 was a 3 point win over the Dees 77-74 at the MCG with the team only securing the victory with less than a minute remaining on the clock.

GWS allowed their opponents to dominate the hitouts 51-26 but the clearances on the ground were more in the favour of the Orange winning 48-36 and totally dominating at stoppages 36-24.

Tom Green was electric in his first game of the season racking up 35 touches with Lachie Whitfield and Finn Callaghan both going over 30 themselves. With Jesse Hogan still missing from the team it was Toby Greene and Stephen Coniglio that scored 3 majors each.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
1-1	0-2	1-0	1-0

GWS Giants Team News

The Hawks could be bolstered by the return of some big names this weekend. Jesse Hogan and Jake Stringer will be tested prior to teams being named. Kieren Briggs will also be available after progressing through concussion protocols.

Joe Fonti, Toby McMullin, Jake Riccardi and Harvey Thomas will all be available following the completion of their suspension following post-season antics last year.

Ollie Hannaford will be out for up to two months with a wrist injury.

GWS Giants Team List

B: C.Idun, S.Taylor, H.Himmelberg

HB: L.Whitfield, J.Buckley, L.Ash

C: F.Callaghan, J.Kelly, S.Coniglio

HF: T.Greene - C, J.Stringer, B.Daniels

F: D.Jones, J.Hogan, A.Cadman

FOLL: K.Briggs, T.Bedford, T.Green

I/C: X.O’Halloran, L.Keeffe, C.Stone, C.Ward, J.Wehr

EMG: J.Leake, C.Angove, L.Aleer

In: J.Stringer, J.Hogan, K.Briggs

Out: C.Brown (Omitted), M.Gruzewski (Omitted), J.Leake (Omitted)

Hawthorn Hawks vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 3 FAQ’s

How to watch Hawthorn Hawks vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 3?

You can watch the Hawthorn Hawks vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 3 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Hawthorn Hawks vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 3?

To buy tickets to the Hawthorn Hawks vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 3 game check the AFL website or the official Hawthorn Hawks site.

Verdict

Hawthorn v Greater Western Sydney

Take the Hawks to win by 1-39 as the trends suggest. The Under is the play on the Game Total and Jai Newcombe will see a lot of ball in the middle of the park.

Hawthorn 1-39

Winning Margin

$2.05 - 3 Units

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Under 166.5

Game Total

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J Newcombe 30+

Disposals

$3.00 - 1 Unit

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