Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows AFL Round 7 Tips - Another tight one at the Gabba

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Fri 24 Apr 2026 08:27

Jeremy Darke 24 Apr 2026

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The game will be played at Gabba on Sunday, 26th April, with the bounce at 3:15 PM (AEST)
Adelaide expected to cover +20.5 in closely predicted match.
High scoring game anticipated, over 187.5 points in play.
Logan Morris to score 2+ goals for Brisbane Lions.

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows AFL Round 7 Tips

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows, Round 7 2026 - Expert Prediction

Adelaide to keep it close again looks the play, with this matchup consistently producing tight margins regardless of ladder position or form.

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows, Round 7 2026 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head Stats
Brisbane Lions Form Analysis
Adelaide Crows Form Analysis
Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows Team List & News
Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2026 Round 7 FAQ’s

The recent head-to-head trend is impossible to ignore, with the last five meetings between these sides all decided by 17 points or less, including two wins each and a draw.

That makes Adelaide +20.5 a strong starting point, particularly given how competitive both teams have been this season. Brisbane are coming off a narrow two-point loss to Melbourne in a high-quality contest, while Adelaide showed real resilience in their one-point win over St Kilda, fighting back from a deficit and executing late under pressure.

Both sides bring scoring power, which leans this game towards a higher total. Brisbane are averaging just under 100 points across their last five, while Adelaide are pushing close to 90 , and neither defence has been completely reliable. With plenty of attacking weapons and moments of defensive vulnerability, the over 187.5 is well in play.

Logan Morris also stands out as a strong prop, with 11 goals across his last five games, making 2+ goals a logical addition if Brisbane generate consistent forward entries.

Neither team has won by over 17 points in the last 5 matches between Brisbane and Adelaide.
Adelaide have covered the +20.5 points in 11 of their last 12 visits to the Gabba against Brisbane.
4 of 6 Brisbane matches and the last 2 Adelaide matches have gone over the game total.
Logan Morris has kicked 11 goals in his last 5 games.

Head to Head Stats

Adelaide got up against Brisbane 68–63 in Round 13 last season with the Lions wasteful kicking (8.15) to the Crows (10.8).

The pair have traded blows in their last 5 matches with both teams winning two-a-piece while playing out a 90-point draw in 2024.

The last 5 matches between Brisbane and Adelaide have been decided by 17 points or less.

Brisbane Lions Form Analysis

Brisbane’s season sits evenly poised at 3–3, but their form suggests they remain one of the more dangerous sides in the competition. A narrow two-point loss to Melbourne in Round 6 was a high-quality contest where they matched it with a top side but let the Demons go on a 5-goal run in the third that they simply couldn’t get back.. The Lions showed their scoring power again, putting up 102 points, but defensive lapses at key moments proved costly.

Across their last five, Brisbane are averaging just under 100 points while conceding in the low 80s , highlighting a strong balance between attack and defence. They dominate in key metrics like disposals, marks and clearances, giving them a consistent platform to control games.

However, their relatively low tackle numbers suggest they can be vulnerable when momentum swings. At their best, Brisbane control territory and punish teams on the scoreboard, but maintaining that intensity for four quarters remains the challenge.

Adelaide Crows Form Analysis

Adelaide have worked their way back to a 3–3 record and are building confidence after a gritty one-point win over St Kilda. That performance showcased their resilience, fighting back from an early deficit before holding their nerve late, with Taylor Walker’s five-goal performance proving decisive. It was a strong response in a high-pressure game and highlighted their ability to stay in contests.

The Crows are averaging around 88 points across their last five while conceding mid-80s , indicating they are competitive in most games without fully dominating. Their strength lies in contested work and tackling pressure, where they hold a clear edge, but they can be exposed by teams that move the ball quickly and control possession.

Adelaide’s inconsistency remains a factor, particularly against stronger midfields, but their ability to grind out wins keeps them firmly in the mix.

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows Team List & News

Brisbane Lions Team News

Noah Answerth and Jarrod Berry are both out injured, with Darcy Fort back and Conor McKenna among the inclusions.

Adelaide Crows Team News

Jordan Dawson is back in the squad, while Alex Neal-Bullen is the only confirmed out.

Brisbane Lions	POS	Adelaide Crows
K. Coleman, H. Andrews, R. Lester	B	J. Worrell, J. Butts, H. Bond
D. Wilmot, J. Fletcher, T. Gallop	HB	R. Laird, N. Murray, W. Milera
H. McCluggage, W. Ashcroft, Z. Bailey	C	I. Cumming, J. Dawson, B. Cook
C. Cameron, O. Allen, L. Ashcroft	HF	I. Rankine, R. Thilthorpe, J. Rachele
S. Draper, C. Rayner, L. McCarthy	F	F. Maley, T. Walker, B. Keays
D. Fort, J. Dunkley, L. Neale	FOLL	L. McAndrew, S. Berry, J. Peatling
K. Lohmann, L. Morris, Z. Zakostelsky, C. McKenna, J. Tunstill, S. Brain, B. Reville, D. Joyce	I/C	Z. Taylor, B. Dowling, J. Borlase, C. Edwards, M. Michalanney, T. Murray, L. Nankervis, L. Pedlar

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2026 Round 7 FAQ’s

How to watch Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2026 Round 7?

You can watch the Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2026 Round 7 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2026 Round 7?

To buy tickets to the Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2026 Round 7 game check the AFL website or the official Brisbane Lions site.

Verdict

Brisbane Lions v Adelaide Crows

Adelaide will cover as 20.5-point underdogs in a high-scoring matchup that has over 187.5 points. Logan Morris will kick at least 2 goals for Brisbane.