2026 China Open

Iga Swiatek vs Elise Mertens WTA Beijing Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Swiatek to advance in straights

Andrew Hendrie

Editor

Last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026 01:52

Andrew Hendrie 1 hour ago

Share this article

Iga Swiatek vs Elise Mertens predictions for Friday's WTA Beijing quarter-final
Swiatek on a good run of form, winning 16 of last 18 matches
Mertens always solid, but struggles vs top 10 with a 15-48 career record
The match is scheduled to start around 10.00pm AEDT on Friday October 9

Iga Swiatek v Elise Mertens Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > WTA Beijing. T&Cs apply. Watch and bet Starts in To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Note, under Australian law, Live Streaming is exempt from Parts 3 and 4 of the Broadcasting Services (Online Content Service Provider Rules) 2018.

Iga Swiatek vs Elise Mertens WTA Beijing Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

Iga Swiatek has won her two previous meetings with Elise Mertens in straight sets and a similar outcome is tipped for Friday night's China Open quarter-final in Beijing.

Iga Swiatek vs Elise Mertens WTA Beijing Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Swiatek vs Mertens Stats & Trends
Swiatek vs Mertens Head To Head
Iga Swiatek Form Analysis
Elise Mertens Form Analysis
Swiatek vs Mertens Live Stream

When Swiatek is in good form, this is the kind of opponent she eats up.

Mertens is as solid as they come, but she has a ceiling and tends to struggle against elite players.

The Belgian has a 15-48 record against top 10 opponents throughout her career, with two of those defeats coming against Swiatek in straight sets.

Additionally, Swiatek has a 35-8 record against players outside the top 10 this season and after a poor first half of the year, has rebounded to win 16 of her last 18 matches and three consecutive quarter-finals.

After disposing of Guadalajara champion Iva Jovic for the loss of just four games, Swiatek looks in the mood and I think she registers another statement victory to make a second China Open semi-final.

Swiatek vs Mertens Stats & Trends

Swiatek has a 16-2 record in her last 18 matches
Swiatek has a 35-8 record vs players outside the top 10 this year (27 in straight sets)
Swiatek has won 11 of her 12 China Open matches (nine in straight sets)
Swiatek has won her last three quarter-finals (two in straight sets)
Mertens has a 15-48 record vs top 10 players (13 of last 18 defeats in straight sets)
Mertens hasn't registered multiple top 10 wins in the same tournament since 2019

Swiatek vs Mertens Head To Head

Swiatek leads 2-0, winning both in straights.

Year	Winner	Event	Round	Surface	Score
2025	Iga Swiatek	Miami	Round of 32	Hard	7-6(2), 6-1
2024	Iga Swiatek	Stuttgart	Round of 16	Clay	6-3, 6-4

Iga Swiatek Form Analysis

2026 WTA Record: 39-14
WTA Beijing Record: 11-1
Current Ranking: No. 9
Career-High Ranking: No. 1 (2022)

Overall, it's been a challenging season for Swiatek - she didn't make it past the quarter-finals of any slam and as a result, is battling to secure a spot in the year-end WTA Finals.

A deep run at the China Open will help that cause and Swiatek will fancy her chances of converting this quarter-final run into a second title in Beijing.

While it's been a lean year by her relatively high standards, Swiatek has showcased an upturn in form over the last couple of months, winning 16 of her last 18 matches - including claiming the title in Toronto and reaching the semi-finals in Cincinnati..

Swiatek was on the brink of defeat against Donna Vekic in her second match in Beijing, but rallied to register a 4-6 7-6(0) 6-2 before easing past Iva Jovic 6-1 6-3, ending the American's six match winning run.

Elise Mertens Form Analysis

2026 WTA Record: 33-19
WTA Beijing Record: 6-6
Current Ranking: No. 19
Career-High Ranking: No. 12 (2018)

It wasn't a great start to the year for Mertens - indeed, she didn't make it past the R16 in any of her opening 12 tournaments.

However, the Belgian has recaptured some of her best tennis over the last few months, starting with a quarter-final run at Wimbledon - her first at a major since 2020.

Mertens backed it up with a runner-up showing in Monterrey and third round at the US Open - results which propelled her back into the top 20.

The 30-year-old didn't win a match in Singapore to launch the Asian swing, but has bounced back strongly in Beijing, beating Katie Volynets and Jelena Ostapenko in three sets before a clean 6-3 6-3 dispatch of third seed Coco Gauff, winning 10 of her last 11 points on serve.