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Brentford vs Chelsea Premier League Tips & Prediction - More goals and an away win for Chelsea

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026 01:01

Chelsea travel to Brentford for what is set to be another thrilling Premier League battle. Chelsea have been involved in high-scoring matches, registering both impressive goal tallies and defensive issues—with no clean sheet in 20 games. Joao Pedro and Morgan Rogers stand out as attacking threats for the Blues. Brentford are tough to beat but struggle to turn draws into wins. The main recommendation is backing both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, with Chelsea tipped to secure the win as Pedro and Rogers shine.

Andrew Hendrie 2 hours ago
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  • Brentford vs Chelsea predictions for Friday's Premier League game
  • Chelsea's games have featured the most goals to start the season (19 in total)
  • Pedro & Rogers have combined for 10 goal involvements to start the season
  • The game is scheduled for kick off at 5.00am AEST on Saturday September 19
Brentford Chelsea

Chelsea are the Premier League's resident entertainers and another high-scoring affair is predicted for Friday night's showdown at Brentford, with Joao Pedro and Morgan Rogers tipped for more goal involvements.

No team has seen more goals than Chelsea across the opening four games of the Premier League season, with the Blues scoring 10 and conceding nine. Without a clean sheet in 20 consecutive EPL outings, Chelsea's defence is seriously vulnerable - but Xabi Alonso has got his attack humming, led by the lethal front three of Pedro, Rogers and Cole Palmer.

Pedro already has six goal contributions in the league this season, while Rogers has scored or assisted in each of his last five EPL appearances. Pedro is a slight doubt after being withdrawn from the Brazil squad to face Australia next week, but Alonso has stated there's a chance he still plays.

Brentford remain unbeaten to start the season - but they've drawn 10 of their last 14 Premier League games dating back to last season and lack that killer instinct to finish teams off under Keith Andrews.

The Bees haven't beaten Chelsea at home since 1938 and I think the Blues will have too much firepower in this one.

Both teams to score & Over 2.5 goals is the main play, with Chelsea coming away with an away win and Pedro/Rogers getting amongst the goals.
  • Chelsea haves seen BTTS & Over 2.5 goals in all four EPL games this season
  • Chelsea have scored 10 & conceded nine goals in the EPL this season
  • Chelsea have conceded 1+ goal in their last 20 EPL games
  • Brentford have seen BTTS land in their last five games in all comps
  • Brentford have only won two of their last 14 EPL games
  • Brentford are winless at home vs Chelsea since 1938
  • Joao Pedro has three goals & three assists in four EPL games this season
  • Morgan Rogers has four goals & two assists in his last five EPL games

Brentford vs Chelsea Head To Head

Chelsea lead the overall H2H 12-7, with six draws.

Each of the last four meetings at Brentford's Community Stadium have ended in a draw.

Brentford Form Analysis

It was a thunderous start to the season from Brentford as they thumped Tottenham 3-0, with marquee summer signing Mamadou Sangare playing a starring role.

However, the Bees have since drawn their last three games against Leeds, Sunderland and Bournemouth.

That means Brentford have incredibly drawn 10 of their last 14 Premier League dating back to last season.

Keith Andrews' side haven't had any problems in the EFL Cup, thrashing Birmingham 6-1 and beating Reading 2-1 to advance into the fourth round.

Brentford Team News

Kevin Schade has three goals this season (including a brace last weekend vs Bournemouth) and also found the back of the net in last season's 2-2 draw with Chelsea - he'll be a key figure again for the Bees here.

Joshua Dasilva (thigh), Antoni Milambo (knee), Nathan Collins (calf), Sepp van den Berg (groin) and Kafe Furo are all sidelined for this one.

Brentford Possible Starting XI (4-2-3-1): Caoimhin Kelleher; Michael Kayode, Jannik Schuster, Kristoffer Ajer, Keane Lewis-Potter; Mamadou Sangare, Vitaly Janelt; Dango Ouattara, Mikkel Damsgaard, Kevin Schade; Igor Thiago

Chelsea Form Analysis

Chelsea remain a work in progress under Alonso, but you can't say they've been boring to open the season.

A total of 19 goals have been scored across Chelsea's opening four games, with the Blues' only defeat coming away to reigning champions Arsenal, which followed entertaining 3-2 and 4-3 victories over Fulham and Brighton respectively.

But that does mean Chelsea come into this clash winless in their last two EPL outings after last weekend's 2-2 draw at home to surprise packets Hull.

Morgan Rogers opened the scoring before Hull went ahead with two goals inside six minutes. Joao Pedro managed to equalise midway through the second half as both teams shared the spoils.

Chelsea Team News

As mentioned, Pedro has been withdrawn from the Brazilian squad travelling to Australia next week, but there's still a good chance he starts this one alongside his front three partners Rogers and Palmer.

That front three have combined for 14 goal involvements across the opening four games.

Moises Caicedo (calf), Marco Palestra (fitness), Emmanuel Emegha (fitness) and Jordan Henderson (wrist) are all looking to recover from respective knocks in time for kick off.

Chelsea Possible Starting XI (3-4-2-1): Emiliano Martinez; Levi Colwill, Maxence Lacroix, Wesley Fofana; Pedro Neto, Romeo Lavia, Reece James, Jorrel Hato; Cole Palmer, Morgan Rogers; Joao Pedro

Verdict

Chelsea are backed for the win in another high-scoring affair, with Pedro & Rogers tipped for more goal involvements.

Best Bet2: Chelsea Win H2H $2.40 at Betraven (bets500) - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Morgan Rogers To Score Or Assist $2.25 at Neds (BLACKBOOK) - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Joao Pedro To Score Or Assist $2.05 at Ladbrokes Australia - 1 Unit
Best Bet1: Yes & Over 2.5 BTTS & Total Goals $1.65 at dabble (BETSAU) - 3 Units
Chelsea Win
H2H
$2.40 - 2 Units

Bet at Betraven (bets500)
Morgan Rogers
To Score Or Assist
$2.25 - 1 Unit

Bet at Neds (BLACKBOOK)
Joao Pedro
To Score Or Assist
$2.05 - 1 Unit

Bet at Ladbrokes Australia
Yes & Over 2.5
BTTS & Total Goals
$1.65 - 3 Units

Bet at dabble (BETSAU)

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Betting Slip | 18 Sep 2026

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