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Chiefs vs Blues Tips - Chiefs backed to secure narrow win in Super Rugby playoffs

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: Wed 04 Jun 2025 22:40

The Chiefs have been formidable at home this season, yet when they faced the Blues in Hamilton, it was only a narrow one-point victory. Although the Chiefs have won their last seven home games and dominate the Super Rugby table, the Blues, who won three of their last four games, are still a dangerous contender. Recently, they secured a playoff spot after a decisive victory over the Waratahs. Backing the Chiefs to win but with less than an 8.5 point margin seems prudent.

Ralph Staniforth 04 Jun 2025
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  • Chiefs won their last 7 home matches
  • Blues secured a playoff spot with a strong victory
  • Expect Chiefs to win but by less than 8.5 points
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Chiefs vs Blues Super Rugby
Chiefs have won their last 2 matches against the Blues.(Getty Images)

Chiefs vs Blues Tips


The Chiefs have been dominant at home this season but when they met the Blues in Hamilton, they could only manage a one-point win. I am backing the Chiefs to win but by less than 8.5 points.
  • Chiefs vs Blues Tips
  • Head to Head
  • Chiefs Form
  • Blues Form

  • Chiefs have won their last 7 home matches.
  • Chiefs have won 11 of their last 14 matches.
  • Chiefs have won their last 2 matches against the Blues.
  • Blues have won 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • Blues lost their last match away to the Chiefs by 1 point.

Head to Head


The Blues have won nine of their last 13 matches agianst the Chiefs. The last two went in the Chiefs favour.

Chiefs Form


The Chiefs topped the Super Rugby table this season, winning 11 of their 14 matches, losing just three. They ended on 51 points, two clear of the Crusaders thanks to their bonus point count.

All three of the Chiefs defeats in 2025 have come away from home which will give them a lot of confidence heading into the playoffs. Last week, the Chiefs thrashed the Highlanders 41-24 away from home in their final round robin fixture.

The Chiefs last defeat came against the Hurricanes on 3 May. Since then, they have won three in a row against the Crusaders, Moana and Highlanders. All three victories were comfortable, including a 78-point win over Moana.

Blues Form


The Blues just managed to sneak into the final playoff spot with a victory in the final round. They have not put up the best defence of their title this season, however, they are in the playoffs now and remain a dangerous side.

The Auckland outfit won three of their last four matches which allowed them to get into sixth. They beat the Western Force 40-19 at home, Fijian Drua 34-6 away before losing 27-21 to Moana.

Last week the Blues were clinical against the Waratahs, a rival team for the playoffs. The Blues cruised to a 46-6 victory.

Verdict

I am backing the Blues to get within 8.5 points of the Chiefs.

Best Bet1: Blues +8.5 Handicap $1.91 at Ladbrokes Australia - 3 Units
Blues +8.5
Handicap
$1.91 - 3 Units
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