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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights NRL Round 19 Tips - Knights To Edge Reshuffled Souths

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: Thu 09 Jul 2026 08:41

The expert prediction for NRL 2026 Round 19 favors the Newcastle Knights for a narrow 1-12 point win over the South Sydney Rabbitohs at Accor Stadium. Souths are facing severe lineup disruption, while the Knights enjoy form stability and key Origin players in their squad. Punters are advised to back Newcastle to exceed 22.5 team points, and Greg Marzhew in both the anytime and first tryscorer markets—he has a strong record against the Rabbitohs. The Knights have won their last four matches against South Sydney, who are struggling against upper-table opponents.

Ryan Tucker 3 hours ago
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  • Kick off is at 2:00 PM (AEST) on Sunday, 12th July at Accor Stadium
  • Newcastle Knights predicted to win by 1-12 points.
  • Knights tipped to score over 22.5 team points.
  • Greg Marzhew backed for first and anytime tryscorer.
South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights
South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights, Round 19 2026 - Expert Prediction


Newcastle 1-12 is the best play at Accor Stadium, with the Knights also backed to clear 22.5 team points and Greg Marzhew backed in both tryscorer markets.

The market is giving South Sydney plenty of respect here, and even the numbers can make a case for the Rabbitohs. The issue is that this Souths side looks badly disrupted. Cody Walker is suspended, Matt Dufty comes in at fullback, Jayden Sullivan starts at five-eighth and Tallis Duncan shifts into the centres.

That is a lot of movement against a Newcastle team sitting fourth and playing with far more stability. Kalyn Ponga and Bradman Best have both been named to back up after Origin, while Fletcher Sharpe moves back to five-eighth and Dylan Brown continues to steer the side.

The Knights have won their last four games against South Sydney, but the 1-12 margin looks the better angle than a big margin. Newcastle's last five games have included four wins by six points or fewer, and this has the feel of another game they edge rather than run away with.

Marzhew is the tryscorer play. He has not scored in his last four games, but he crossed three times against South Sydney in Round 9 and has scored seven tries in his last five games against the Rabbitohs.

Take Newcastle 1-12, Knights over 22.5 team total, and Greg Marzhew in both the anytime and first tryscorer markets.

  • Newcastle have won their last four games against South Sydney.
  • South Sydney have a major spine and backline reshuffle.
  • Newcastle have scored 21.0 points per game across their last five, but their attack has more upside with Ponga and Best named.
  • Greg Marzhew scored three tries against South Sydney earlier this season.

Rabbitohs Atk RankKnights Def RankStatKnights Atk Rank
Rabbitohs Def Rank
38Points77
713Run Mts107
18Linebreaks73
76Compl %141

Head to Head Stats


Newcastle have won four of the last five meetings between these clubs, including a 42-38 win earlier this season. South Sydney's only win in that stretch came back in 2022, and the Knights have repeatedly found ways to trouble the Rabbitohs' edge defence.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Form Analysis


South Sydney have averaged 25.2 points scored and 22.4 conceded across their last five, but those numbers do not fully capture the disruption in this week's team list. Walker's suspension forces a new halves combination, Dufty comes in at fullback and Duncan moves into the centres.

There is still attacking talent here, but the Rabbitohs are being asked to fit a lot of pieces together against a top-four opponent. They have also lost five of their last six games against top-eight opposition, which makes the market respect difficult to trust.

Newcastle Knights Form Analysis


Newcastle have won four of their last five games and continue to find ways to close tight contests. They have averaged 21.0 points scored and 18.4 conceded in that run, but the team list looks stronger if Ponga and Best back up as named.

The Knights are not blowing teams away, which is why the 1-12 margin appeals. Their attack still has enough strike to clear 22.5, especially with Marzhew, Dominic Young, Ponga and Best all capable of creating points from limited chances.

South Sydney Rabbitohs v Newcastle Knights Team News & Team Lists


Team News and Lists are in our dedicated Round 19 Team List Article.

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2026 Round 19 FAQ’s

How to livestream South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2026 Round 19?

You can livestream the South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2026 Round 19 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2026 Round 19?

To buy tickets to the South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2026 Round 19 game check the NRL website or the official South Sydney Rabbitohs site.

Verdict

Take Newcastle 1-12, Knights over 22.5 team total, and Greg Marzhew in both the anytime and first tryscorer markets.
Best Bet1: Newcastle 1-12 Winning Margin $3.25 at Teambet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Knights over 22.5 Team Total $1.87 at picklebet - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Greg Marzhew Anytime Tryscorer $1.83 at Neds - 1 Unit
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Newcastle 1-12
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