NRL Round 23 Margin Tips 2026: Best 1-12 and 13+ Predictions
NRL Round 23 is shaping up as a pivotal weekend for finals contenders, with several close games anticipated. The key tip is to expect tight contests among the Titans vs Cowboys, Warriors vs Panthers, and Roosters vs Bulldogs, all likely decided by 12 points or fewer. Meanwhile, teams like the Dolphins, Knights, and Sharks appear well-positioned for comfortable 13+ point victories. The article's model-based recommendations favor margin betting, highlighting specific winning margins for each match to guide punters on the best value plays.
- Several games forecast to be close, with teams tipped to win by 1-12 points.
- Dolphins, Knights, and Sharks predicted for 13+ point victories.
- Titans, Panthers, Roosters, Manly, and Rabbitohs are all slight margin picks.
Round 23 NRL 1-12 or 13+ Margins. (Photo by Bradley Kanaris/Getty Images)
NRL Round 23 Margin Tips: Best 1-12 and 13+ Predictions
Round 23 shapes as one of the biggest weekends of the NRL season, with several finals contenders facing season-defining clashes. Our model expects plenty of close contests, particularly between the Titans and Cowboys, Warriors and Panthers, and the Roosters and Bulldogs, while a handful of teams look well placed to record comfortable victories.
- NRL Round 23 Margin Tips: Best 1-12 and 13+ Predictions
- Gold Coast Titans vs North Queensland Cowboys
- New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers
- Sydney Roosters vs Canterbury Bulldogs
- Melbourne Storm vs Manly Sea Eagles
- Dolphins vs Brisbane Broncos
- South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Parramatta Eels
- Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders
- Cronulla Sharks vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Best Round 23 Margin Bets
Here are our best 1-12 and 13+ margin predictions for every Round 23 game.
Gold Coast Titans vs North Queensland Cowboys
Tip: Gold Coast Titans 1-12
Gold Coast Titans1-12 Winning MarginBET HERE
18+. T&Cs apply.
Our model makes the Titans slight favourites despite the market leaning towards North Queensland. Gold Coast have steadily improved over the past month, while the Cowboys are coming off an 82-point defeat and have conceded 112 points across their last two games. They should respond, but the Titans have enough at home to edge a close Queensland derby.
New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers
Tip: Penrith Panthers 1-12
Penrith Panthers1-12 Winning MarginBET HERE
The OnlyBets referral code is MAXBET. 18+. T&Cs apply.
This is the match of the round, with our model projecting less than a converted try between the teams. Penrith have won four of the last five meetings and enter after a dominant win over Canberra, while the Warriors remain one of the competition's best defensive sides. Expect another finals-quality contest decided late.
Sydney Roosters vs Canterbury Bulldogs
Tip: Sydney Roosters 1-12
Sydney Roosters1-12 Winning MarginBET HERE
The Neds.com.au code is BESTBETS. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. CHANCES ARE YOU'RE ABOUT TO LOSE. Set a deposit limit.
The Roosters have won five straight games and are averaging more than 34 points during that run, but Canterbury have rediscovered their defensive identity and have won five of their last six. Our model expects Sydney's class to prevail, although the Bulldogs should keep the margin inside 12 points.
Melbourne Storm vs Manly Sea Eagles
Tip: Manly Sea Eagles 1-12
Manly Sea Eagles1-12 Winning MarginBET HERE
18+. T&Cs apply
Melbourne continue to battle injuries across the spine, while Manly are getting their troops back. Our model narrowly favours the Sea Eagles, and with four of the last six meetings decided by 12 points or fewer, another tight contest looks likely.
Dolphins vs Brisbane Broncos
Tip: Dolphins 13+
Dolphins13+ Winning MarginBET HERE
18+ New UK+IRE Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply.
The Dolphins own one of the NRL's best attacking records, ranking inside the top six for points scored, while Brisbane have lost four of their last five games and are averaging less than 13 points during that stretch. If the Dolphins click early, they have the firepower to win comfortably.
South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Parramatta Eels
Tip: South Sydney Rabbitohs 1-12
South Sydney Rabbitohs1-12 Winning MarginBET HERE
The teambet.com.au code is BETS. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Chances are you’re about to lose.
South Sydney have won four of the last five meetings against Parramatta, including a 20-point victory earlier this season. Our model expects another close game, but the Rabbitohs' elite left-edge attack and strong recent record in this fixture give them the edge.
Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders
Tip: Newcastle Knights 13+
Newcastle Knights13+ Winning MarginBET HERE
The Betfocus.com.au code is BETS. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Chances are you’re about to lose.
Newcastle have quietly become one of the competition's most improved teams and continue to defend at a high level. They defeated Canberra by 20 points earlier this season, and with the Raiders conceding more than 21 points per game across their last five, the Knights can pull away if they control possession.
Cronulla Sharks vs St George Illawarra Dragons
Tip: Cronulla Sharks 13+
Cronulla Sharks13+ Winning MarginBET HERE
The dabble.com.au referral code is BETSAU. 18+. T&Cs apply.
The Sharks are the hottest team in the competition, winning five straight matches while averaging almost 39 points per game. They've beaten the Dragons in four of their last five meetings and scored 34 points in the reverse fixture earlier this year. Another convincing Cronulla victory looks the most likely outcome.
Best Round 23 Margin Bets
- Gold Coast Titans 1-12
- Penrith Panthers 1-12
- Sydney Roosters 1-12
- Manly Sea Eagles 1-12
- Dolphins 13+
- South Sydney Rabbitohs 1-12
- Newcastle Knights 13+
- Cronulla Sharks 13+
Top Betting Sites
Betting offers
Upcoming Events
03 August 2026
- Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar -
- Tennis
- Nikola Bartunkova vs Bianca Andreescu -
- Tennis
- Jack Draper vs Terence Atmane -
- Tennis
04 August 2026
- Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Martin Damm -
- Tennis
- Bairnsdale- August 4 -
- Horse Racing
- Quirindi - August 4 -
- Horse Racing
22 August 2026
- Winx Stakes -
- Horse Racing
Load More
