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Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Kings NBL25 Tips - Hawks to send a message with sweep of the Kings
Listen
- Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Kings expert predictions for Friday’s Round 20 NBL matchup
- Tip-off is at 7:30 PM AEDT at WIN Entertainment Centre
- Illawarra Hawks aim to complete a season sweep against Sydney Kings.
- Sydney Kings' defense has been weak against top teams, allowing high scores.
- Tyler Harvey expected to lead scoring for the Hawks in this high-stakes game.
Ryan's top picks for Friday's NBL action.
Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Kings NBL25 Tips
Illawarra will complete a clean sweep of the Kings in their final matchup of the season.
The Hawks have wrapped up the minor premiership but will still likely play their full roster of players due to the big break in play that is expected prior to their semi final matchup. As we have seen in the three games played already this season, Illawarra have been unstoppable against the Kings reaching 96+ points in 2 of the 3 games played.
Sydney’s defence against top ranked teams has been woeful. They have allowed 94.3 pts per game to opponents ranked in the top 6 compared to their season average of 87.9 against all opponents.
My expectation is that the Kings will once again struggle defensively against a top ranked scoring opponent. I do expect Sydney to repeat or at least come close to their scoring performance from the most recent matchup with the Hawks and considering they are averaging 98.8 pts in their last 5 games, a high total here is not out of the question.
Take the Hawks to win and cover, high totals all around and Tyler Harvey to carry the bulk of the scoring.
- Illawarra have won all 3 matchups with the Kings so far this season.
- Sydney are 5-11 against current top 6 teams and allow 94.3 pts per game to those top ranked teams.
- The Hawks are the best scoring team in the league and have the fewest turnovers of anyone in the NBL.
- Tyler Harvey scored 20+ in 2 of 3 games against Sydney this season.
Head to Head
2024/25 Match Results
Dec 25th 24: Sydney 108-111 Illawarra
Nov 16th 24: Illawarra 86-79 Sydney
Sep 29th 24: Sydney 89-96 Illawarra
2023/24 Season Series
Teams drew 2-2
Offensive & Defensive Rankings
| ILL Off | Rank | Stat | Rank | SYD Def |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101.6 | 1 | PPG | 1 | 87.9 |
| 43.9 | 1 | RPG | 9 | 43.4 |
| 49.0% | 1 | FG% | 1 | 42.2% |
| 35.7% | 4 | 3P% | 2 | 33.0% |
| 9.6 | 1 | TOV | 1 | 12.7 |
| ILL Def | Rank | Stat | Rank | SYD Off |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.8 | 6 | PPG | 7 | 91.3 |
| 40 | 3 | RPG | 4 | 41.8 |
| 44.4% | 2 | FG% | 8 | 44.5% |
| 34.1% | 3 | 3P% | 9 | 34.3% |
| 12 | 4 | TOV | 5 | 11.1 |
Illawarra Hawks Form & Team News
The Hawks wrapped up the minor premiership with a win over the New Zealand Breakers on Wednesday 96-82. With Trey Kell III missing the game due to a niggling injury the scoring load was picked up by Tyler Harvey with 29pts 5 boards and 8 assists as well as Todd Blanchfield who contributed with 17 pts off the bench on 4 of 11 shooting from the field but a perfect 6-6 from the charity stripe.
The victory was the Hawks second in a row after their demolishment of the JackJumpers last weekend and also secured a 3-0 series sweep against the Breakers in NBL25. Despite keeping their opponent to just 82 points the Hawks gave up 50 of those points in the paint to a team missing the best player and scorer and their second best not playing in the second half.
If there are any negatives to say about the Illawarra season it is their penchant to allow teams to stay in games they are not worthy of being in. It is clear the agression and mongrel switches off once they have built a big lead and multiple times they have found themselves having to defend their lead late in the 4th quarter.
Statistically they are the best scoring team in the league averaging 101.6 pts per game on the season and shooting at 49% from the field. They commit the fewest turnovers at 9.6 per outing while also grabbing a league high 43.9 boards per night.
Sydney Kings Form & Team News
Sydney followed up their two wins in Round 17 with back to back losses in Rounds 18 and 19, both games at home. Sydney allowed their opponents to score 100+ points in the two losses, only the third time this season that teams have scored 100+ against Sydney in two straight games.
The Kings are 5-11 against current top 6 teams this season, their defensive average drops from 87.9 pts per game on the year against all opponents to 94.3 pts per game in the 16 games against top opponents.
On the scoring end their numbers increase ever so slightly but are generally consistent on the season. Jaylen Adams ranks at number 10 in scoring putting up 18.2 pts per game while Kouat Noi is 7th in scoring since Rd 15.
If Sydney win and Perth and SEM lose they have the opportunity to climb to 3rd in the standings but realistically will likely finish 4th or 5th.
Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Kings Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Kings start?
Tip-off between Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Kings is at 7:30 PM AEDT, Friday 7th February
What channel is Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Kings on?
You can watch Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Kings on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.
Verdict
Take the Hawks to win and cover, high totals all around and Tyler Harvey to carry the bulk of the scoring.
Illawarra -5.5
Line
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