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Jesse’s AFL Round 14 Tips 2026: Predictions & Margins for Every Match

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Tue 09 Jun 2026 13:51

Jeremy Darke 1 hour ago

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Jesse predicts Adelaide, Geelong, Melbourne, Sydney, Brisbane & GWS as round winners.
Several games tipped as upsets, notably Adelaide defeating the Bulldogs.
Finals implications high as teams scramble for ladder position.

Jesse from True Footy's Just the Tips for Round 14

AFL Round 14 Tips 2026: Jesse’s Predictions & Margins for Every Match

The AFL season is reaching the point where every result carries finals implications.

AFL Round 14 Tips 2026: Jesse’s Predictions & Margins for Every Match
Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Prediction
Geelong vs Gold Coast Prediction
Melbourne vs Essendon Prediction
North Melbourne vs West Coast Prediction
Port Adelaide vs Sydney Prediction
Richmond vs Brisbane Prediction
St Kilda vs GWS Giants Prediction

Round 14 features several top-eight battles, a fascinating QClash, and a handful of teams desperately trying to keep their seasons alive. With the bye rounds still affecting the ladder, the standings don't tell the full story, but this weekend could significantly reshape the finals race.

Here are Jesse’s tips and predicted margins for every AFL Round 14 game.

Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Prediction

The Bulldogs have quietly resurrected their season, stringing together narrow wins over Melbourne, Collingwood and Hawthorn to climb back into the finals mix.

Adelaide, however, have been one of the more impressive teams over the past month. Jordan Dawson is playing outstanding football and the Crows are finding ways to win despite injuries and suspension concerns. Even away from home, Adelaide look capable of causing an upset.

Jesse’s Tip: Adelaide Crows by 6 points

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Geelong vs Gold Coast Prediction

These sides met in Opening Round when Gold Coast produced one of the biggest wins of the season. A lot has changed since then.

Geelong have looked far more complete over the past two months, with Bailey Smith, Shaun Mannagh and Jeremy Cameron helping drive a dominant stretch of football. Gold Coast still have enormous talent through Christian Petracca, Matt Rowell and Noah Anderson, but their inconsistency remains a concern.

Jesse’s Tip: Geelong by 26 points

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Melbourne vs Essendon Prediction

Essendon stunned Melbourne earlier in the season, but it's difficult to see history repeating itself.

The Demons remain undefeated at the MCG this year and continue to play their best football on the game's biggest stage. Max Gawn and Kozzy Pickett are leading the way, while Essendon's injury crisis continues to deepen.

Jesse’s Tip: Melbourne Demons by 43 points

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North Melbourne vs West Coast Prediction

This matchup has become one of the more intriguing contests between two rebuilding clubs.

North Melbourne were smashed by Fremantle last week and will be desperate to respond. West Coast continue to improve and have won two of their last four, but the loss of Reuben Ginbey is significant. Despite admitting North are probably more likely to win, Jesse is backing his side.

Jesse’s Tip: West Coast Eagles by 12 points

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Port Adelaide vs Sydney Prediction

Port Adelaide continue to be one of the strangest teams in the competition. Their percentage suggests they're much better than their ladder position, but close losses have repeatedly cost them.

Sydney remain the competition benchmark, with Chad Warner, Isaac Heeney and Brodie Grundy driving one of the AFL's most ruthless teams. Port Adelaide usually match up well against the Swans, but Sydney's class should prevail.

Jesse’s Tip: Sydney Swans by 31 points

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Richmond vs Brisbane Prediction

Richmond have battled hard all season despite one of the competition's worst injury lists, but this remains a difficult assignment.

Brisbane finally showed signs of life with a strong QClash victory and now have no room for error if they want to rescue their premiership defence. Lachie Neale and Will Ashcroft should help the Lions continue their momentum.

Jesse’s Tip: Brisbane Lions by 40 points

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St Kilda vs GWS Giants Prediction

This is arguably the hardest game of the round to tip.

St Kilda have gradually improved despite a lengthy injury list and remain difficult to beat at Marvel Stadium. GWS, meanwhile, continue to alternate between brilliant and baffling performances, but their recent form has been difficult to ignore.

Jesse’s Tip: GWS Giants by 18 points