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Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - In-form Alexandrova can trouble top seed in Doha

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Mon 10 Feb 2025 23:14

Aryna Sabalenka, the current World No. 1, faces Ekaterina Alexandrova in the Qatar Open. Fresh from a painful loss at the Australian Open, Sabalenka will look to regain her winning form against Alexandrova, who has won her last five matches and recently claimed the Linz title. Alexandrova has beaten Sabalenka three times and is poised for another tight contest. The betting tip favors over 19.5 total games, with Sabalenka narrowly claiming victory in three sets.

Andrew Hendrie 10 Feb 2025
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  • Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova predictions for Tuesday's R2 Doha match
  • Alexandrova has beaten Sabalenka three times before & took a set off her last year at the US Open
  • Sabalenka is playing her first match since the Australian Open final
  • The match is scheduled to start around 3.30am AEDT on Wednesday February 12
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Aryna Sabalenka Doha
Aryna Sabalenka (Photo by Getty Images)


Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Tips, Prediction & Live Stream


World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka returns to action at the Qatar Open in Doha on Tuesday night when she comes up against recently-crowned Linz champion Ekaterina Alexandrova in a tough opener.

  • Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
  • Head To Head
  • Aryna Sabalenka Form
  • Ekaterina Alexandrova Form
  • Live Stream
Sabalenka suffered a heartbreaking loss in the Australian Open final last month as she went for a historic three-peat down under and it remains to be seen how that defeat will affect her going forward in 2025. What I do know is that Alexandrova is a tricky first match back for the top seed - the Russian is coming off a title in Linz earlier this month and has beaten Sabalenka three times before, while she also took a set off her at the US Open last year. All things considered, Alexandrova would fancy her chances of troubling Sabalenka again in Doha, so I'm backing Over 19.5 total games, with the World No. 1 edging it in three.

Head To Head


As mentioned, Alexandrova has enjoyed success in this matchup in the past, but Sabalenka still leads 4-3, prevailing in three sets in their most-recent encounter at the 2024 US Open.

Aryna Sabalenka Form


Sabalenka established herself as the undisputed World No. 1 during the back-half of 2024, winning titles at the US Open, Cincinnati and Wuhan.

The Belarusian started 2025 with a bang, winning her 18th career title at the Brisbane International before turning her attention to Melbourne.

It was looking like another dominant run at the Australian Open, but Sabalenka ran into a red-hot Madison Keys in the final. Still, all that separated the pair was a loose final game in the title match, which saw Keys prevail 7-5 in the decider.

Sabalenka has a 7-2 record in Doha, winning the title on her debut at the event five years ago.

Ekaterina Alexandrova Form


Alexandrova always runs hot and cold and right now, the Russian is hot.

It was a disappointing Australian swing for Alexandrova - she registered a 1-3 record, suffering an opening round loss at the Australian Open to Emma Raducanu.

However, Alexandrova bounced back strongly, defeating the likes of Karolina Muchova and Dayana Yastremska to secure the title indoors in Linz, while she didn't have to wait long to avenge her AO loss to Raducanu, defeating the Brit 6-3 7-5 to launch her Doha campaign earlier this week.

That means Alexandrova brings a five-match winning streak into this highly-anticipated Doha showdown with the World No. 1.

Live Stream


Watch and bet on Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova live tennis from Doha.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > WTA Doha with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Sabalenka is playing her first match since her heartbreaking AO final defeat to Keys, so there's a good chance she won't be at her best.

Alexandrova meanwhile is in blistering form, bringing a five-match winning streak into this clash after her title triumph in Linz. The Russian also owns three victories over Sabalenka and took a set off her at the US Open last year.

With this in mind, backing Over 19.5 total games as the best bet, with Sabalenka finding a way to win in three.

Best Bet1: Over 19.5 Total Games $1.83 at betr - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Sabalenka 2-1 Set Betting $4.10 at betr - 1 Unit
Over 19.5
Total Games
$1.83 - 2 Units
The GOAT.
Ahead of the Game.

Join Australia's newest online bookmaker with code BETSAU and enjoy exciting new ways to bet. The app is among the fastest in the market. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

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Sabalenka 2-1
Set Betting
$4.10 - 1 Unit
The GOAT.
Ahead of the Game.

Join Australia's newest online bookmaker with code BETSAU and enjoy exciting new ways to bet. The app is among the fastest in the market. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

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Betting Slip | 11 Feb 2025

Aryna Sabalenka v Ekaterina Alexandrova