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Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos NRL Round 10 Tips & Prediction - Manly to get back to winning ways

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Thu 07 May 2026 11:22

Andrew Hendrie 07 May 2026

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Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos predictions for Saturday's NRL R10 game
Broncos decimated by injuries & winless at 4 Pines since 2010
Manly remain in top form with four wins from last five & pushing Penrith last week
Haumole Olakau'atu scored a double vs Broncos last year & tipped for another try
The game is scheduled for kick off at 7.35pm AEST on Saturday May 9

Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos

Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos NRL Round 10 Tips & Prediction

The Sea Eagles are tipped to return to the winners circle against a depleted Broncos team that haven't tasted victory at 4 Pines Park in 16 years when the two sides conclude Super Saturday action.

Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos NRL Round 10 Tips & Prediction
Sea Eagles vs Broncos Stats & Trends
Sea Eagles vs Broncos Head To Head
Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis
Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis
Sea Eagles vs Broncos Team News

FozBall is real (for now) and Manly continued their superb resurgence last week, pushing Penrith all the way in a narrow 18-16 defeat. The Sea Eagles had a great chance for the upset as the Panthers were reduced to 12 men late in the second half, but they couldn't find the necessary control and game management to put themselves in a position to attack. Joey Walsh had some standout moments and is a tremendous prospect, but you've got to wonder if Jamal Fogarty was steering the side around at halfback if things would have turned out differently.

Fogarty returns from injury for this clash and I think Manly are primed for a big win at 4 Pines.

I'm a little concerned about Brisbane here. Firstly, their casualty ward continues to burst at the seams, with Adam Reynolds, Kotoni Staggs and Deine Mariner all missing after last week's defeat to the Roosters.

The Broncos have used up a LOT of energy over the last month - they had that memorable one-point win over the Tigers, defeated the Dogs with a second-string side and were bashed pillar to post by the Roosters last week, but still almost managed to overturn a 30-point deficit before going down 38-24. I wouldn't be surprised if the Broncos turned up flat as a pancake for this one.

I'm going to take Manly to win and for some extra value by a 13+ margin. Give me Haumole Olakau'atu running at the suspect Broncos' left-edge of Ezra Mam and Gehamat Shibasaki for a try.

Sea Eagles vs Broncos Stats & Trends

Sea Eagles have won four of their last five games
Sea Eagles have kept their opponents to 18 points or less in their five games since Foran took over
Three of Sea Eagles' last four wins have been by 13+ margins
Two of Broncos' four defeats in 2026 have been by 13+ margins, while they also leaked 40 points vs Eels
Sea Eagles beat Broncos 34-6 at 4 Pines last season
Broncos haven't won at 4 Pines since 2010
Haumole Olakau'atu has scored three tries this season & scored a double vs Broncos at 4 Pines last year

Sea Eagles vs Broncos Head To Head

Broncos have won three of the last four meetings, but haven't won at 4 Pines since 2010, with Manly coming away dominant 34-6 winners at the venue last year.

Year	Winner	Score	Venue
2025	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	34–6	4 Pines Park
2024	Brisbane Broncos	13–12	Suncorp Stadium
2023	Brisbane Broncos	32–6	Suncorp Stadium
2022	Brisbane Broncos	38–0	Suncorp Stadium
2021	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	50–6	Suncorp Stadium

Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis

It's been a remarkable turnaround for Manly since Kieran Foran took over from Anthony Seibold.

Foran has clearly got the respect of the locker room and you can tell the extra effort the players are putting in for him - most notably in defence, with the Sea Eagles not conceding more than 18 points in the five games since Foran has taken charge.

After wins over the Dolphins, Dragons, Cowboys and Eels, many believed Manly would be brought crashing back down to earth against the Panthers last week.

That wasn't the case, with Manly producing another brilliant showing, narrowly going down by two points. Lehi Hopoate has scored a try in every game since Foran took over.

Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis

Given the circumstances, it's been an impressive season so far for the Broncos - but how long can they keep it up with so many injuries?

Michael Maguire revved up his side for against-the-odds wins over the Tigers and Bulldogs with a heavily decimated side, but couldn't do it for a third time last week against the Roosters.

Brisbane were up for the game, but were just battered by a rampaging Roosters forward pack, swiftly going down 30-0.

Reece Walsh, as he does, inspired a brilliant comeback as the Broncos looked to be rolling over the top of the Chooks late with 24 unanswered points, but a brain snap from Kotoni Staggs handed momentum back and sees him suspended for this clash.

Sea Eagles vs Broncos Team News

Jamal Fogarty returns for Manly at halfback, pushing Joey Walsh back to the bench. Ethan Bullemor comes into the starting side for Kobe Hetherington.

Tom Duffy starts at halfback for Brisbane in place of Adam Reynolds, while Antonio Verhoeven gets a start on the wing and Jesse Arthars moves to centre for the suspended Staggs. Deine Mariner is also out for an extended period after his shocking compartment syndrome injury sustained last week. Preston Riki returns from suspension.

Manly Sea Eagles	Position	Brisbane Broncos
Tolutau Koula	1	Reece Walsh
Jason Saab	2	Josiah Karapani
Clayton Faulalo	3	Jesse Arthars
Reuben Garrick	4	Gehamat Shibasaki
Lehi Hopoate	5	Antonio Verhoeven
Luke Brooks	6	Ezra Mam
Jamal Fogarty	7	Thomas Duffy
Taniela Paseka	8	Ben Talty
Brandon Wakeham	9	Cory Paix
Ethan Bullemor	10	Jack Gosiewski
Haumole Olakau'atu	11	Xavier Willison
Ben Trbojevic	12	Jordan Riki
Jake Trbojevic	13	Patrick Carrigan
Jake Simpkin	14	Josh Rogers
Nathan Brown	15	Preston Riki
Jackson Shereb	16	Va'a Semu
Siosiua Taukeiaho	17	Aublix Tawha
Blake Wilson	18	Hayze Perham
Joey Walsh	19	Phillip Coates
Josh Feledy	20	Jaiyden Hunt
Zach Dockar-Clay	21	Ben Hunt
Simione Laiafi	22	Kane Bradley

Verdict

Manly Sea Eagles v Brisbane Broncos

Manly are backed to take advantage of a depleted Broncos side and continue their red-hot form in front of a packed 4 Pines crowd.

Sea Eagles Win

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