Germany vs Paraguay World Cup Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Germany to progress into R16
Germany return to the World Cup knockout phase for the first time since 2014, taking on Paraguay, who reached this stage as a third-placed group team. While Germany are considered clear favorites, defensive frailties remain, with their attack led by Florian Wirtz and Kai Havertz. Paraguay can frustrate opponents but struggle for goals, with Enciso a key attacking threat. Expect a match with over 2.5 goals, likely showcasing Germany's attacking prowess, but Paraguay may also get on the score-sheet. Match streaming is available via bet365 for eligible users.
- Germany vs Paraguay predictions for Monday's World Cup R32 game
- Germany should prove too strong, but are fragile at the back - Over 2.5 goals tipped
- Enciso & Wirtz backed in player prop markets, along with Correct Score combo value
- The game is scheduled for kick off at 6.30am AEST on Tuesday June 30
Germany v Paraguay Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Soccer > World Cup 2026. T&Cs apply.
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Germany vs Paraguay World Cup Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Germany are playing their first World Cup knockout phase match since winning their fourth trophy in 2014 when they come up against Paraguay at Gillette Stadium on Monday.
After crashing out in the group stage of the 2018 and 2022 World Cups, Germany are back in the knockout phase and will be determined to set up what could be a blockbuster R16 showdown with France.
DFB-Team are heavily favoured to get the better of a Paraguay team that don't offer much going forward and progressed to the knockout phase of the World Cup for the first time since 2010 as one of the eight-best third-ranked nations in the group phase.
However, Germany still aren't anywhere near convincing - they've only kept one clean sheet in 2016 and have conceded 1+ goal in every World Cup game since the 2014 final. They are also coming off a 2-1 defeat to another South American nation in Ecuador in their final group game, although they were already assured of top spot.
Paraguay were content to draw with Australia in their final group game to qualify, but they can be a tough side to crack and frustrated Turkiye with 10 men. Julio Enciso is the main man and the playmaker is backed for 2+ shots, which he racked up against Australia & USA.
But the best bet is Over 2.5 goals, which should cover a dominant German victory and also Paraguay getting on the scoresheet, which they've done exactly once in six of their last eight defeats. Florian Wirtz remains in the thick of the action for Germany and is tipped for a goal or assist.
Germany vs Paraguay Stats & Trends
- Germany have seen Over 2.5 goals in their last eight games
- Paraguay have seen Over 2.5 goals in five of their last eight games
- Germany have won 11 of their last 12 games
- Paraguay have only three wins vs European nations this century
- Paraguay have scored exactly one goal in six of their last eight defeats
- Paraguay have conceded exactly two goals in four of the last six games they failed to win
- Germany have conceded 1+ goal in six of their last seven games
- Julio Enciso registered 2+ shots vs Australia & USA in the group phase
- Enciso registered 3+ shots in four of his last five World Cup qualifying games
- Florian Wirtz has scored or assisted in seven of his last seven games for Germany
Germany vs Paraguay Head To Head
Germany beat Paraguay 1-0 in the R16 of the 2022 World Cup, while the last meeting was a thrilling 3-3 draw in a 2013 friendly.
Germany Form Analysis
Germany have fallen from their lofty heights over the last decade or so and as such, haven't really been talked up as genuine tournament winners here.
Defence remains an issue for Germany - they've only kept one clean sheet in 2026 and have conceded in every World Cup game since beating Argentina in the 2014 final.
However, Die Mannschaft have won 12 of their last 13 games coming into this contest and traditionally peak at the World Cup - but again, their last two tournaments have been disappointing, going out in the group stage.
Julian Nagelsmann's side have broken that barrier in North America, but it wasn't entirely convincing. After bullying Curacao 7-1, Germany needed an extra-time winner to see off Ivory Coast 2-1 before going down by that scoreline to Ecuador.
Defence remains an issue for Germany - they've only kept one clean sheet in 2026 and have conceded in every World Cup game since beating Argentina in the 2014 final.
Germany Team News
Nico Schlotterbeck is out for the rest of the tournament after picking up an injury against Ivory Coast, meaning Antonio Rudiger should feature again in the centre of defence.
Nathaniel Brown missed the loss to Ecuador, but is expected to return here, with Kai Havertz, Florian Wirtz and Jamal Musiala continuing as a front three.
Deniz Undav should remain as the 'super sub' after scoring three goals and registering two assists off the bench in the group phase.
Germany Squad
| Pos | Player | Age | Caps | Goals | Club |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Manuel Neuer | 40 | 127 | 0 | Bayern Munich |
| GK | Oliver Baumann | 36 | 13 | 0 | TSG Hoffenheim |
| GK | Alexander Nübel | 29 | 3 | 0 | VfB Stuttgart |
| DF | Antonio Rüdiger | 33 | 85 | 3 | Real Madrid |
| DF | Waldemar Anton | 29 | 14 | 0 | Borussia Dortmund |
| DF | Jonathan Tah | 30 | 50 | 1 | Bayern Munich |
| DF | Pascal Groß | 35 | 19 | 1 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| DF | Nico Schlotterbeck (INJ) | 26 | 29 | 1 | Borussia Dortmund |
| DF | Nathaniel Brown | 23 | 7 | 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| DF | David Raum | 28 | 39 | 1 | RB Leipzig |
| DF | Malick Thiaw | 24 | 6 | 0 | Newcastle United |
| MF | Aleksandar Pavlović | 22 | 14 | 1 | Bayern Munich |
| MF | Joshua Kimmich (Captain) | 31 | 113 | 10 | Bayern Munich |
| MF | Leon Goretzka | 31 | 72 | 15 | Bayern Munich |
| MF | Jamie Leweling | 25 | 6 | 1 | VfB Stuttgart |
| MF | Jamal Musiala | 23 | 45 | 10 | Bayern Munich |
| MF | Angelo Stiller | 25 | 9 | 0 | VfB Stuttgart |
| MF | Florian Wirtz | 23 | 44 | 11 | Liverpool |
| MF | Leroy Sané | 30 | 79 | 18 | Galatasaray |
| MF | Nadiem Amiri | 29 | 12 | 1 | Mainz 05 |
| MF | Felix Nmecha | 25 | 11 | 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
| MF | Assan Ouédraogo | 20 | 1 | 1 | RB Leipzig |
| FW | Kai Havertz | 27 | 61 | 24 | Arsenal |
| FW | Nick Woltemade | 24 | 11 | 4 | Newcastle United |
| FW | Maximilian Beier | 23 | 10 | 0 | Borussia Dortmund |
| FW | Deniz Undav | 29 | 12 | 9 | VfB Stuttgart |
Paraguay Form Analysis
Defence was the cornerstone of Paraguay qualifying for the World Cup, where they notched up wins over the likes of Argentina and Brazil.
However, their normal game plan went out the window following an early own goal against USA before suffering a crushing 4-1 defeat.
Paraguay responded superbly, defying the odds to conquer Turkiye 1-0 with 10 men, withstanding 32 shots in the process.
Gustavo Alfaro's team was happy to sit back and claim a point against Australia in their final group game, which ensured their first appearance in the World Cup knockout phase since 2010.
Paraguay Team News
Omar Alderete is in some doubt and Diego Gómez is suspended for Paraguay after picking up a second yellow card against the Socceroos.
Miguel Almiron returns after his red card against Turkiye and will be Paraguay's impact player alongside Enciso.
Paraguay Squad
| Pos | Player | Age | Caps | Goals | Club |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Gatito Fernández | 38 | 31 | 0 | Cerro Porteño |
| GK | Orlando Gill | 26 | 9 | 0 | San Lorenzo |
| GK | Gastón Olveira | 33 | 1 | 0 | Olimpia |
| DF | Gustavo Velázquez | 35 | 16 | 1 | Cerro Porteño |
| DF | Omar Alderete | 29 | 39 | 3 | Sunderland |
| DF | Juan José Cáceres | 26 | 20 | 0 | Dynamo Moscow |
| DF | Fabián Balbuena | 34 | 48 | 2 | Grêmio |
| DF | Júnior Alonso | 33 | 74 | 3 | Atlético Mineiro |
| DF | José Canale | 29 | 4 | 0 | Lanús |
| DF | Gustavo Gómez | 33 | 92 | 4 | Palmeiras |
| DF | Alexandro Maidana | 20 | 4 | 1 | Talleres |
| MF | Ramón Sosa | 26 | 30 | 1 | Palmeiras |
| MF | Diego Gómez | 23 | 27 | 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| MF | Miguel Almirón | 32 | 78 | 10 | Atlanta United |
| MF | Maurício | 25 | 5 | 1 | Palmeiras |
| MF | Andrés Cubas | 30 | 36 | 0 | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| MF | Damián Bobadilla | 24 | 22 | 1 | São Paulo |
| MF | Kaku | 31 | 34 | 6 | Al Ain |
| MF | Braian Ojeda | 25 | 17 | 0 | Orlando City |
| MF | Matías Galarza | 24 | 17 | 4 | Atlanta United |
| MF | Gustavo Caballero | 24 | 2 | 1 | Portsmouth |
| FW | Antonio Sanabria | 30 | 49 | 7 | Cremonese |
| FW | Álex Arce | 31 | 17 | 1 | Independiente Rivadavia |
| FW | Julio Enciso | 22 | 35 | 4 | Strasbourg |
| FW | Gabriel Ávalos | 34 | 25 | 2 | Independiente |
| FW | Isidro Pitta | 26 | 6 | 0 | Red Bull Bragantino |
Germany vs Paraguay Live Stream
Watch and bet on Germany vs Paraguay live football from the World Cup.
You can watch and bet on the match live at bet365 > Soccer > World Cup 2026 with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access.
To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Note, under Australian law, Live Streaming on bet365 is exempt from Parts 3 and 4 of the Broadcasting Services (Online Content Service Provider Rules) 2018.
Verdict
Over 2.5 goals is backed, with Germany holding off Paraguay to reach the R16.
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