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Norway vs Denmark UEFA Nations League Tips & Prediction - Norway to make winning start

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Thu 24 Sep 2026 03:19

Norway are strong favorites to secure a breakthrough home win against Denmark in their UEFA Nations League opener, backed by top form and star strikers Erling Haaland and Antonio Nusa. Having reached the recent World Cup quarter-finals, Norway’s squad looks stronger than a Denmark side struggling for consistency and form. Key props include Haaland to score and Nusa to have 1+ shots on target. The recommendation is a small-stakes bet on Norway, but both teams are likely to score.

Andrew Hendrie 15 minutes ago
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  • Norway vs Denmark predictions for Thursday's Nations League game
  • Norway in strong form, while Denmark coming off shocking collapse in World Cup qualifiers
  • Haaland & Nusa backed in player props; Norway tipped for home win
  • The game is scheduled for kick off at 4.45am AEST on Friday September 25
Norway Denmark


Norway vs Denmark UEFA Nations League Tips & Prediction


Norway are tipped for a first home win over Denmark since 1994, with star attackers Erling Haaland and Antonio Nusa backed in player props when the two sides meet in the Nations League in Oslo on Thursday.

Norway are coming off an excellent World Cup, where they conquered Brazil before going out in extra-time to England in the quarter-finals.

With just two defeats - against France and Netherlands - in normal time since November 2024, Stale Solbakken’s side will be hopeful of upstaging their Scandinavian rivals in this Nations League opener.

Denmark are in poor form, absolutely blowing their chance to feature at the World Cup by drawing with Belarus at home and losing 4-2 to Scotland away before bowing out in the playoff qualifiers to Czechia.

This looks like the perfect time for Norway to grab a rare win over Denmark, but they haven't kept a clean sheet in their last seven wins, so the Danes can get on the scoresheet in defeat.

Small stakes as you never know who's starting in these types of games, but Haaland to score at $1.62 with CrownBet is great odds for the big man, while Nusa to have 1+ shots on target is great value at the same price on Ladbrokes - compared to $1.30 at most other bookies.
  • Norway have won four of their last six games
  • Norway have conceded 1+ goal in their last seven wins
  • Denmark are winless in four of their last six games
  • Denmark have scored in eight of their last nine games
  • Norway are unbeaten in their last 13 games in Oslo, winning 10
  • Erling Haaland has scored 23 goals in his last 15 games for Norway
  • Antonio Nusa has registered 1+ shots on target in four of his last five games for Leipzig & two of his last three appearances for Norway

Norway vs Denmark Head To Head

This will be the 90th meeting between the nations, with Denmark holding the upper hand with 55 victories to Norway's 20, alongside 14 draws.

Denmark are unbeaten in the last six meetings, winning four - including a most-recent 3-1 triumph in a 2024 friendly.

Norway Form Analysis

Norway have emerged as a genuine football force over the last few years.

After steamrolling all opposition to qualify for their first World Cup since 1998, Norway made their mark on the competition, advancing to the quarter-finals.

The highlight for the Norwegians was a brilliant 2-1 victory over Brazil in the R16, but they ultimately just fell short in the quarter-finals against England, going out in extra-time after Jude Bellingham struck for the Three Lions.

Norway Team News

Haaland scored seven goals in five games at his maiden World Cup and has a ridiculous strike rate for Norway, netting 62 times in 55 appearances for the national team.

Haaland should be joined up front by Leipzig's Nusa, while Fulham's Oscar Bobb could start in the absence of Alexander Sorloth.

Henrik Falchener, Morten Thorsby and Jens Petter Hauge have been left out of this squad, while their could be debuts for Fredrik Sjovold and Ole Didrik Blomberg.

Norway Possible Starting XI (4-3-3): Orjan Nyland; Julian Ryerson, Kristoffer Ajer, Torbjorn Heggem, Moller Wolfe; Martin Odegaard, Sander Berge, Patrick Berg; Oscar Bobb, Erling Haaland, Andreas Schjelderup

Denmark Form Analysis

It's been a tough recent period for Denmark.

As mentioned, they woefully squandered what looked like a certain spot at the World Cup by drawing at home to Belarus before an away defeat to Scotland forced them into the playoffs.

Denmark were then edged out by Czechia to miss out on the expanded 48-team competition.

The Danes have since played two friendlies, drawing 0-0 with Congo DR before beating Ukraine 2-1.

Denmark Team News

Rasmus Hojlund scored five goals in World Cup qualifying, but hasn't started the season too brightly for Napoli and was dragged off early in last weekend's draw with Fiorentina. That being said, he should still start up front for this one.

Victor Froholdt scored for Porto in their recent win over Benfica and is reportedly on the radar of Manchester City - he will be one to watch in midfield.

Denmark Possible Starting XI (4-2-3-1): Mads Hermansen; Alexander Bah, Andreas Christensen, Joachim Andersen, Joakim Maehle; Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Morten Hjulmand; Victor Froholdt, Mikkel Damsgaard, Patrick Dorgu; Rasmus Hojlund

Verdict

Norway are the superior team at the moment and should be able to secure all three points in Oslo.

Best Bet1: Norway Win H2H $1.75 at CrownBet - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Norway & Yes H2H/Both Teams To Score $3.10 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Erling Haaland Anytime Goalscorer $1.62 at CrownBet - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Antonia Nusa 1+ Shots On Target $1.62 at Ladbrokes - 1 Unit
Norway Win
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