Daria Kasatkina vs Madison Keys Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Keys targets 10th win over Kasatkina

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Wed. 08 Jan. 2025 23:18

Andrew Hendrie 08 Jan. 2025

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Daria Kasatkina vs Madison Keys predictions for Thursday's WTA Adelaide quarter-final
Keys has won nine of the 11 previous meetings between the pair
The match is scheduled to start around 6.00pm AEDT on Thursday January 9

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Madison Keys (Photo by Getty Images)

Daria Kasatkina vs Madison Keys Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

Third seed Daria Kasatkina has a tough hurdle to overcome if she wants to keep her Adelaide title quest alive when she comes up against Madison Keys on Thursday in the quarter-finals.

Daria Kasatkina vs Madison Keys Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Head To Head
Daria Kasatkina Form
Madison Keys Form
Live Stream

Keys won the Adelaide title back in 2022 and remains one of the most powerful ball-strikers on tour, while Kasatkina has unfinished business at this tournament after finishing runner-up in each of the last two editions.

Head To Head

Keys has absolutely dominated this H2H, winning nine of the 11 previous meetings - although the pair have split the last four encounters at two victories apiece.

Daria Kasatkina Form

Kasatkina hasn't looked at her best so far in Adelaide, but she's got the job done to advance into another quarter-final.

The Russian has overcome a pair of Australian wildcards to reach the last eight, easing past Olivia Gadecki 6-2 6-3 in the opening round, but she had a much tougher match on Wednesday night against World Junior No. 1 Emerson Jones.

Jones raced out of the blocks to win the opening 10 points of the match, but Kasatkina managed to weather the storm, subduing her inexperienced opponent and registering a 7-5 6-3 win.

In her opening tournament of the year, Kasatkina was stopped in her tracks by eventual runner-up Polina Kudermetova in Brisbane. The 27-year-old made a habit of peaking at WTA 500 tournaments in 2024, reaching an astonishing six finals and winning two titles in Eastbourne and Ningbo.

Madison Keys Form

Key has played a fairly limited schedule over the last few years, but she remains one of the most destructive players on tour when fit and firing.

Still ranked inside the top 20, Keys can beat anyone on her day if that trademark serve and forehand combo are working.

The former US Open runner-up has been firing on all cylinders so far in Adelaide this week, demolishing Beatriz Hadda Maia 6-2 6-1 before taking out eighth seed Jelena Ostapenko in three sets.

Keys made the quarter-finals of Auckland last week and will be hoping to go deeper in Adelaide, where she picked up the title back in 2022.

Live Stream

Watch and bet on Daria Kasatkina vs Madison Keys live tennis from Adelaide.

You can watch and bet on the match live at bet365 > Tennis > WTA Adelaide with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Daria Kasatkina v Madison Keys

Keys has won nine of the 11 previous meetings between the pair and providing she's fit, the American deserves to be considered the favourite here.

Not convinced by Kasatkina's form so far in Adelaide and this is a big step up in opponent from her previous two matches. Backing Keys to cover a -2.5 games line, but it shouldn't be a blowout.

Keys -2.5

Games Line

$1.68 - 2 Units

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Over 20.5

Total Games

$1.85 - 1 Unit

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