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USA vs Paraguay Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - USA to take down pragmatic Paraguay in Group D opener

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Thu 11 Jun 2026 02:46

USA face Paraguay in the opening Group D match at the 2026 World Cup in Los Angeles, with the co-hosts tipped for a strong start. The USA boasts a solid recent World Cup record and attacking talents such as Balogun and Pulisic, while Paraguay enters the clash with defensive tactics and question marks over star playmaker Enciso's fitness. Historical and recent form advantages lie with the USA. Prediction: USA to win, likely with a clean sheet and Balogun on the scoresheet. Live streaming is available on bet365 for eligible users.

Andrew Hendrie 1 hour ago
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  • USA vs Paraguay predictions for Friday's World Cup Group D game
  • USA backed for a clean sheet against cagey Paraguay
  • Balogun and Pulisic key for USA; Paraguay likely missing Enciso
  • The game is scheduled for kick off at 11.00am AEST on Saturday June 13
USA Paraguay
USA v Paraguay Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Soccer > World Cup 2026. T&Cs apply. Watch and bet To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Note, under Australian law, Live Streaming is exempt from Parts 3 and 4 of the Broadcasting Services (Online Content Service Provider Rules) 2018.


USA vs Paraguay Tips, Prediction & Live Stream


USA will be confident of securing all three points when the co-hosts welcome Paraguay to SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles on Friday night to open Group D action.

Having reached the knockout phase of the World Cup in their last three appearances, USA will be hopeful of emulating their last run to the quarter-finals, which occurred on home soil in 1994. Equipped with a strong side all over the field, USA have been battling the big guns in recent friendly fixtures - and while they didn't have much success, I believe that will hold the Stars & Stripes in good stead ahead of Group D showdowns with Paraguay, Turkiye and Australia.

Paraguay meanwhile tend to struggle on foreign soil and don't inspire much confidence going forward, especially with star playmaker Julio Enciso suffering a knee injury last week in a warm-up game. Paraguay averaged just 0.78 goals per game during qualifying, which is the lowest of any nation competing at the World Cup. They are a team that prefer to sit back and absorb pressure, relying on set pieces and counter attack opportunities.

This is simply a very winnable game for USA to launch their campaign and relieve any early pressure. I'm backing Mauricio Pochettino's side to produce a shut-out victory, with in-form Monaco striker Folarin Balogun finding the back of the net.
  • USA are unbeaten in eight of their last nine World Cup group games
  • USA only conceded one goal in their three group matches at the 2022 World Cup
  • Paraguay have failed to win seven of their last eight World Cup opening games
  • Paraguay averaged just 0.78 goals per game during qualifying
  • Paraguay have conceded exactly two goals in their last three defeats
  • USA have scored exactly two goals in three of their last five wins
  • Folarin Balogun scored 11 goals in his last 14 games for Monaco, along with five goals from 10 Champions League appearances
  • Balogun has also scored four goals in his last nine outings for USA, including one vs Paraguay late last year

USA vs Paraguay Head To Head

It's almost 100 years since the last time these nations met in a World Cup, with USA coming away with a 3-0 triumph in 1930.

USA have won the last three meetings, including a 2-1 friendly triumph in 2025.

USA Form Analysis

USA secured automatic qualification as one of the three host nations and will be looking to emulate their 1994 run to the quarter-finals on home soil.

With three straight knockout appearances, USA are currently ranked 16th in the world and will be targeting another good run here in their 12th World Cup.

The Stars & Stripes registered four solid wins over Australia, Japan, Paraguay and Uruguay to end 2025, showcasing their ability to beat those ranked around and below them.

However, USA remain a class above the elite nations, losing friendlies in 2026 against Belgium, Portugal and German - although they did manage a 3-2 victory over Senegal.

USA Team News

Chris Richards, Tyler Adams and Antonee Robinson are all battling fitness concerns, but could take their place in the side for this opening game.

Christian Pulisic remains a star player and made contributions to all three goals for the USA at the 2022 World Cup, along with the first two goals vs Senegal recently.

He will support Folarin Balogun up front, with the Monaco striker scoring 19 goals for his club in all competitions last term.

USA Squad

PositionPlayerAgeCapsGoalsClub
GKMatt Turner31540New England Revolution
GKMatt Freese27150New York City FC
GKChris Brady2210Chicago Fire
DFSergiño Dest25393PSV Eindhoven
DFChris Richards26363Crystal Palace
DFAntonee Robinson28545Fulham
DFAuston Trusty2780Celtic
DFMiles Robinson29403FC Cincinnati
DFTim Ream (Captain)38821Charlotte FC
DFAlex Freeman21172Villarreal
DFMax Arfsten25201Columbus Crew
DFMark McKenzie27290Toulouse
DFJoe Scally23260Borussia Mönchengladbach
MFTyler Adams27542Bournemouth
MFGiovanni Reyna23389Borussia Mönchengladbach
MFWeston McKennie276612Juventus
MFSebastian Berhalter25131Vancouver Whitecaps
MFCristian Roldan31470Seattle Sounders
MFMalik Tillman24303Bayer Leverkusen
FWRicardo Pepi233713PSV Eindhoven
FWChristian Pulisic278633Milan
FWBrenden Aaronson25589Leeds United
FWHaji Wright28207Coventry City
FWFolarin Balogun24279Monaco
FWTimothy Weah26517Marseille
FWAlejandro Zendejas28142América

Paraguay Form Analysis

Paraguay are making their ninth World Cup appearance after finishing sixth in South American qualifying, level on points with the likes of Brazil and Uruguay.

The clear high point of their qualifying campaign was a 2-1 win over reigning world champions Argentina, but that victory did come on home soil - like most of their wins.

Five of Paraguay's 14 goals during qualifying came from set pieces, showcasing their preference to sit back, absorb pressure and wait for their opportunities.

Gustavo Alfaro's side have since lost on foreign soil to the likes of USA, South Korea and Morocco, but did manage to beat Greece earlier this year, along with last-start 4-0 thumping of lowly Nicaragua.

Paraguay Team News

There was huge concerns over Strasbourg playmaker Julio Enciso, who was stretchered off in tears during the win over Nicaragua.

However, he's since been cleared of a serious knee injury and could still play a part in the tournament - but is likely to miss this clash.

Much of their attacking threat will come from Cremonese striker Antonio Sanabria, who was top scorer with four goals during qualifying.

Paraguay Squad

PositionPlayerAgeCapsGoalsClub
GKGatito Fernández38310Cerro Porteño
GKOrlando Gill2560San Lorenzo
GKGastón Olveira3310Olimpia
DFGustavo Velázquez35131Cerro Porteño
DFOmar Alderete29363Sunderland
DFJuan José Cáceres26170Dynamo Moscow
DFFabián Balbuena34482Grêmio
DFJúnior Alonso33713Atlético Mineiro
DFJosé Canale2920Lanús
DFGustavo Gómez33894Palmeiras
DFAlexandro Maidana2021Talleres
MFRamón Sosa26291Palmeiras
MFDiego Gómez23243Brighton & Hove Albion
MFMiguel Almirón327610Atlanta United
MFMaurício2430Palmeiras
MFAndrés Cubas30330Vancouver Whitecaps
MFDamián Bobadilla24191São Paulo
MFKaku31336Al Ain
MFBraian Ojeda25170Orlando City
MFMatías Galarza24153Atlanta United
MFGustavo Caballero2421Portsmouth
FWAntonio Sanabria30487Cremonese
FWÁlex Arce30151Independiente Rivadavia
FWJulio Enciso22324Strasbourg
FWGabriel Ávalos34232Independiente
FWIsidro Pitta2650Red Bull Bragantino

USA vs Paraguay Live Stream

Watch and bet on USA vs Paraguay live football from the World Cup.

You can watch and bet on the match live at bet365 > Soccer > World Cup 2026 with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access.

To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Note, under Australian law, Live Streaming on bet365 is exempt from Parts 3 and 4 of the Broadcasting Services (Online Content Service Provider Rules) 2018.

Verdict

USA should prove too strong for a defensive-minded Paraguayan outfit - backing Balogun to continue his red-hot goalscoring form.

Best Bet1: USA Win H2H $1.96 at Unibet Australia - 3 Units
Best Bet2: USA Win To Nil $3.00 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Folarin Balogun Anytime Goalscorer $3.10 at picklebet - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: USA 2-0 Correct Score $7.75 at Ladbrokes Australia - 1 Unit
USA Win
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