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USA vs Belgium World Cup Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - USA to advance into quarter-finals

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Mon 06 Jul 2026 04:11

USA are set for a crucial World Cup R16 clash against Belgium at Lumen Field. The US team comes in with strong form, having comfortably dispatched Australia, Paraguay, and Bosnia, and are further strengthened by the return of striker Folarin Balogun. Belgium, despite a dramatic comeback against Senegal, have not shown consistent quality this tournament. The recommendation is for the USA to advance, especially with the Stars & Stripes’ improved attack and Belgium’s unconvincing run. Expect an open contest with over 25.5 total shots predicted.

Andrew Hendrie 2 hours ago
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  • USA vs Belgium predictions for Monday's World Cup R16 game
  • USA backed to qualify over a struggling Belgium side
  • Both teams firing off lots of shots - Over 25.5 backed for this one
  • The game is scheduled for kick off at 10.00am AEST on Tuesday July 7
USA Belgium
USA v Belgium Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Soccer > World Cup 2026. T&Cs apply. Watch and bet To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Note, under Australian law, Live Streaming is exempt from Parts 3 and 4 of the Broadcasting Services (Online Content Service Provider Rules) 2018.


USA vs Belgium World Cup Tips, Prediction & Live Stream


It's a fantastic chance for USA to reach the World Cup quarter-finals on home soil when they come up against Belgium at Lumen Field on Monday.

After R16 eliminations in their last three World Cup appearances, USA can snap that run and reach the last eight against a Belgian side that haven't impressed at this competition.

Belgium couldn't beat the likes of Egypt and Iran in the group stage, but a big win over minnows New Zealand meant they topped their group. The Red Devils were then on the brink of elimination against Senegal in the R32, trailing 2-0 with minutes remaining before somehow forcing extra-time and prevailing 3-2, with Youri Tielemans scoring the latest goal in World Cup history since records started in 1966 (125th minute).

USA meanwhile have been playing some high quality football, easing past Australia and Paraguay in the group stage and largely cruising against Bosnia in the R32. Not the trickiest of paths to the R16, but you can only play what's in front of you and for me, USA have been in much better form than their opponents at this competition.

The Stars & Stripes also receive a huge boost, with suspended striker Folarin Balogun controversially seeing his ban overturned for this clash, allowing him to take his place in the starting side.

Balogun has three goals for this tournament and remains USA's most likely, while I'm also liking Over 25.5 total shots for the match, with both nations demonstrating clear eye for goal. USA have been the better side and should advance, while veteran Kevin De Bruyne remains Belgium's most influential player.
  • USA have won three of their four games this World Cup
  • Belgium only have one win this World Cup inside 90 minutes (vs New Zealand)
  • Belgium are averaging a whopping 23 shots per game this World Cup
  • USA are averaging 13 shots per game this World Cup
  • Folarin Balogun has scored three goals in four appearances this World Cup
  • Kevin De Bruyne has registered 18 total shots this World Cup, with 1+ on target in three of four games

USA vs Belgium Head To Head

USA haven't beaten Belgium since finishing third at the 1930 World Cup, losing the last six meetings and conceding 15 goals in that period.

USA Form Analysis

It couldn't have been a better World Cup for USA so far.

Mauricio Pochettino's side topped the group after just two games, thumping Paraguay 4-1 before cruising past Australia 2-0, with Balogun on target in both games.

After fielding a rotated side in a 3-2 dead rubber defeat to Turkiye, USA got back to their winning ways in the R32, gradually breaking down a tough Bosnian side and prevailing by a 2-0 score.

USA are now the only non-UEFA or CONMEBOL side to score 2+ goals in four consecutive games at the World Cup.

USA Team News

Somehow, Balogun got his suspension overturned by FIFA and the striker will be available to start for USA here.

Sergino Dest, Christian Pulisic and Tyler Adams should all start, while Mark McKenzie (foot) and Cristian Roldan (muscle) are battling niggles.

USA Squad

PositionPlayerAgeCapsGoalsClub
GKMatt Turner32550New England Revolution
GKMatt Freese27180New York City FC
GKChris Brady2210Chicago Fire
DFSergiño Dest25433PSV
DFChris Richards26393Crystal Palace
DFAntonee Robinson28575Fulham
DFAuston Trusty27101Celtic
DFMiles Robinson29413FC Cincinnati
DFTim Ream (Captain)38851Charlotte FC
DFAlex Freeman21213Villarreal
DFMax Arfsten25201Columbus Crew
DFMark McKenzie27300Toulouse
DFJoe Scally23280Borussia Mönchengladbach
MFTyler Adams27572Bournemouth
MFGiovanni Reyna234210Borussia Mönchengladbach
MFWeston McKennie277012Juventus
MFSebastian Berhalter25172Vancouver Whitecaps
MFCristian Roldan31470Seattle Sounders
MFMalik Tillman24344Bayer Leverkusen
FWRicardo Pepi234113PSV
FWChristian Pulisic278933AC Milan
FWBrenden Aaronson25599Leeds United
FWHaji Wright28217Coventry City
FWFolarin Balogun253012Monaco
FWTimothy Weah26537Marseille
FWAlejandro Zendejas28152América

Belgium Form Analysis

After underwhelming performances at their last couple of major tournaments, Belgium arrived at this World Cup without much fanfare or expectation.

Rudi Garcia's side haven't really made much of an impact or caught the eye, drawing with Egypt and Iran in the group stage before a 5-1 thumping of New Zealand propelled them to the top of the group.

Belgium trailed Senegal 2-0 with five minutes remaining of normal time before staging a miraculous comeback, with Romelu Lukaku and Youri Tielemans scoring to force extra-time before the latter scored a penalty, which doubled as the latest ever goal recorded in World Cup history deep into stoppage time.

Belgium Team News

Zeno Debast (leg) remains in doubt as he tries to feature in this World Cup for the first time.

Lukaku should start off the bench once again, while Leandro Trossard should be fit after carrying a knock.

Belgium Squad

PositionPlayerAgeCapsGoalsClub
GKThibaut Courtois341130Real Madrid
GKSenne Lammens2320Manchester United
GKMike Penders2000Strasbourg
DFZeno Debast22261Sporting CP
DFArthur Theate26361Eintracht Frankfurt
DFBrandon Mechele33131Club Brugge
DFMaxim De Cuyper25234Brighton & Hove Albion
DFThomas Meunier348310Unattached
DFKoni De Winter2480Milan
DFJoaquin Seys2150Club Brugge
DFTimothy Castagne30672Fulham
DFNathan Ngoy2360Lille
MFAxel Witsel3713812Girona
MFKevin De Bruyne3512338Napoli
MFYouri Tielemans (Captain)298915Aston Villa
MFDiego Moreira2140Strasbourg
MFHans Vanaken33387Club Brugge
MFNicolas Raskin25172Rangers
MFAmadou Onana24321Aston Villa
FWRomelu Lukaku (Vice-Captain)3313092Napoli
FWLeandro Trossard315514Arsenal
FWJérémy Doku24467Manchester City
FWDodi Lukébakio28326Benfica
FWCharles De Ketelaere25336Atalanta
FWAlexis Saelemaekers27263Milan
FWMatias Fernandez-Pardo2150Lille

USA vs Belgium Live Stream

Watch and bet on USA vs Belgium live football from the World Cup.

You can watch and bet on the match live at bet365 > Soccer > World Cup 2026 with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access.

To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Note, under Australian law, Live Streaming on bet365 is exempt from Parts 3 and 4 of the Broadcasting Services (Online Content Service Provider Rules) 2018.

Verdict

USA are backed to advance in a game that sees 26+ total shots.

Best Bet1: USA To Qualify $1.92 at dabble - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 25.5 Total Shots $1.80 at Unibet Australia - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Kevin De Bruyne 1+ Shots On Target $1.70 at picklebet - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Folarin Balogun Anytime Goalscorer $2.63 at Teambet - 1 Unit
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