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Cairns Taipans vs Brisbane Bullets NBL26 Round 16 Tips - Snake eyes for the Taipans

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Thu 08 Jan 2026 14:13

In the compelling NBL25 Round 16 face-off between the Cairns Taipans and Brisbane Bullets, the Taipans are poised as 3.5-point favorites, aiming to build on their recent one-point victory over Melbourne. Sam Waardenburg and Andrew Andrews are key figures, expected to play pivotal roles by scoring 20+ points and achieving 8+ assists, respectively. Despite being two of the league's weakest offenses, both teams possess defenses that might contribute to a higher score total, surpassing the 177.5 benchmark, making for an intriguing Queensland derby.

Jeremy Darke 08 Jan 2026
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  • Cairns Taipans vs Brisbane Bullets expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 16 NBL matchup
  • Tip-off is at 5:30 PM AEDT at Cairns Convention Centre
  • Sam Waardenburg expected to score 20+ points; Andrew Andrews to have 8+ assists.
  • Despite struggling offences, over 177.5 total points predicted due to weak defences.
Cairns Taipans vs Brisbane Bullets NBL26 Round 16 Tips

Cairns Taipans vs Brisbane Bullets NBL25 Round 16 Expert Tips


The Wooden Spoon is potentially on the line in this clash between Queensland rivals Cairns and Brisbane and the little brother Taipans are predicted to get the jump on the Bullets and put a two point gap on them at the bottom of the ladder.

Cairns finally found some consistency in their game, getting a shocking 1-point victory over Melbourne on Wednesday and will now ride their momentum into the Queensland derby at home against the Bullets, who are trying to avoid thier 12th loss in thirteen games.

The key betting figure for me here is the game total of just 177.5, which I like the over on. I understand that it is the two worst offences in the league going head-to-head, but it is also the eight and ninth worst defences as well. 

Brisbane showed some early life in their latest loss to Adelaide and Cairns have an offence that can fire, especially with the home form of Jack McVeigh (avg. 33 pts in his last 4 at home)  and also the continued growth of Sam Waardenburg since returning from injury. 

With no genuine big due to the injury of Tyrell Harrison, I like Waardenburg to have a day and score another 20+ points. Andrew Andrews will find his man in the paint and rack up 8+ dimes in the process.

Cairns will pull away enough to cover the 3.5 points as the home favourite.

  • Cairns have won 5 of their last 8 home games against Brisbane. 
  • The over has hit in 6 of the last 8 games between Cairns and Brisbane.
  • Sam Waardenburg is averaging 19.66 points in his last 3 games.
  • Andrew Andrews has had 8+ assists in 9 of his last 12 matches.

Head to Head 


Last 5 Match Results
DateHome TeamScoreLineTotal Points
30/10/2025BRIBRI 113-85BRI -5.5O 178.5
26/09/2025CAICAI 83-82CAI +5.0U 187.0
06/02/2025CAICAI 100-88CAI -1.5U 190.0
17/01/2025BRICAI 111-80CAI +1.0O 190.0
20/12/2024BRIBRI 107-104CAI +8.5O 192.0

Offensive & Defensive Rankings
CNS OffRankStatRankBRI Def
8210PPG895.4
38.510RPG642.1
43.4%9FG%1046.8%
33.2%43P%431.4%
13.58TOV511.6

CNS DefRankStatRankBRI Off
96.310PPG984.9
43.510RPG939.1
46.5%8FG%444.9%
30.5%23P%1029.1%
7.610TOV1014.6

Cairns Taipans Form & Team News


Cairns pulled off one of the upsets of the season, beating Melbourne United 93-92 in their Ignite Cup matchup on Wednesday night in Bendigo. It was a back and forth battle with United all night, however the difference came at the halftime break with the Taipans down by 2, Jack McVeigh stepped up in the third quarter finishing the night with 20 points and 9 rebounds, along with 4 assists while Sam Waardenburg continues to build, also finishing with 20 points and 9 rebounds.

Coach Adam Forde wanted 4 quarters from the Taipans and he got three at least, with Cairns leading by 7 into the first break, but they threw away the lead in the second quarter. The second half was much better, going blow for blow with Melbourne putting themselves in the position for a Marcus Lee free throw to win them the match. 

From quarter consistency now to game consistency, the Taipans will be chasing consecutive wins for just the second time this season.

Brisbane Bullets Form & Team News


Brisbane will be trying to avoid 5 straight losses on Saturday after dropping their last 4 matches and 11 of their last 12.

The Bullets had their super hero outfits on in the first half of their latest match against Adelaide, leading by 7 points at halftime, however a 20-30 third quarter saw that lead diminish quickly once the 36ers started taking their chances. 

Brisbane’s three-point shooting woes continued, hitting just 20% of their shots from the perimeter, ranking last in the NBL with a 29.1 3P% on the season.

Cairns Taipans vs Brisbane Bullets Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Cairns Taipans vs Brisbane Bullets start?

Tip-off between Cairns Taipans vs Brisbane Bullets is at 5:30 PM AEDT, Saturday, January 10

What channel is Cairns Taipans vs Brisbane Bullets on?

You can watch Cairns Taipans vs Brisbane Bullets on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Verdict

Cairns will cover as 3.5-point favourites with Sam Waardenburg scoring 20+ and Andrew Andrews tallying 8+ assists. This game will see enough scoring to hit the 177.5 game total.
Best Bet1: Cairns Taipans -3.5 Handicap/Line $1.91 at betr - 2 Units
Best Bet2: S. Waardenbug 20+ Points $2.85 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Andrew Andrews 8+ Assists $1.78 at Playup - 3 Units
Best Bet4: Over 177.5 Game Total $1.91 at picklebet - 3 Units
Cairns Taipans -3.5
Handicap/Line
$1.91 - 2 Units
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