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I'm A Celebrity Australia 2026 Power Rankings - Which contestant is likely to win I'm A Celeb?

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Last updated: Mon 23 Feb 2026 02:02
Bets.com.au Staff 23 Feb 2026
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  • Latest I'm A Celebrity Australia 2026 power rankings
  • Power Rankings updated weekly
  • Concetta Caristo the predicted favourite to win
  • Bet on Reality TV with Ladbrokes
I'm A Celebrity Australia Power Rankings

I'm A Celebrity Australia is currently airing its 12th season on Channel 10 and we've got the latest Power Rankings for who will be the last contestant standing in the jungle.

You can check out the latest Power Rankings as of 23/2/26 in the table below. The Power Rankings are based on several factors, including public appeal (popularity across social media) and camp dynamics. 

The final three celebrities remaining in the jungle ahead of the Grand Finale are Concetta Caristo, Gary Sweet and Luke Bateman.

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Win % reflects relative probability to win the series, not likelihood of reaching the finale.

RankCelebrityWin %Public AppealCamp DynamicsTrials & ToughnessEdit / Story MomentumKey Risks
1Concetta Caristo52%HighStrongMedium-HighStrongLate momentum surge from rival
2Gary Sweet28%Medium-HighSteadyMediumMedium-StrongPerceived low drama / quiet edit
3Luke Bateman20%MediumSolidMedium-HighImprovingLimited long-term narrative build

Power Ranking Notes & Reasoning


Updated 23/2/26.

Concetta Caristo

With her closest narrative threats gone, she now holds clear front-runner status. She has consistently featured in emotionally resonant segments while avoiding major camp conflict. Importantly, her edit has remained positive and humanising rather than chaotic. At this stage of the competition, that balance is typically decisive.

Gary Sweet

Gary’s path to victory is steadiness. He has avoided implosions and remains well-liked, but his storyline has not dominated episodes in the same way. If the final edit leans into “respected elder statesman,” his equity increases. If it prioritises growth arcs, he likely falls short.

Luke Bateman

Luke remains competitive due to resilience and challenge performances, but his narrative depth lags behind Concetta. To win, he would need a strong final-week surge — either a standout trial performance or a defining emotional moment that reframes his journey.

At this stage, the title appears to be Concetta’s to lose.

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