I'm A Celebrity Australia 2026 Power Rankings - Which contestant is likely to win I'm A Celeb?
- Latest I'm A Celebrity Australia 2026 power rankings
- Power Rankings updated weekly
- Concetta Caristo the predicted favourite to win
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You can check out the latest Power Rankings as of 23/2/26 in the table below. The Power Rankings are based on several factors, including public appeal (popularity across social media) and camp dynamics.
The final three celebrities remaining in the jungle ahead of the Grand Finale are Concetta Caristo, Gary Sweet and Luke Bateman.
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Win % reflects relative probability to win the series, not likelihood of reaching the finale.
| Rank | Celebrity | Win % | Public Appeal | Camp Dynamics | Trials & Toughness | Edit / Story Momentum | Key Risks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Concetta Caristo | 52% | High | Strong | Medium-High | Strong | Late momentum surge from rival |
| 2 | Gary Sweet | 28% | Medium-High | Steady | Medium | Medium-Strong | Perceived low drama / quiet edit |
| 3 | Luke Bateman | 20% | Medium | Solid | Medium-High | Improving | Limited long-term narrative build |
Power Ranking Notes & Reasoning
Updated 23/2/26.
Concetta Caristo
With her closest narrative threats gone, she now holds clear front-runner status. She has consistently featured in emotionally resonant segments while avoiding major camp conflict. Importantly, her edit has remained positive and humanising rather than chaotic. At this stage of the competition, that balance is typically decisive.
Gary Sweet
Gary’s path to victory is steadiness. He has avoided implosions and remains well-liked, but his storyline has not dominated episodes in the same way. If the final edit leans into “respected elder statesman,” his equity increases. If it prioritises growth arcs, he likely falls short.
Luke Bateman
Luke remains competitive due to resilience and challenge performances, but his narrative depth lags behind Concetta. To win, he would need a strong final-week surge — either a standout trial performance or a defining emotional moment that reframes his journey.
At this stage, the title appears to be Concetta’s to lose.
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