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Elena Rybakina vs Paula Badosa Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Badosa good value in Dubai R16 showdown

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Tue 18 Feb 2025 22:52

Elena Rybakina faces Paula Badosa in a highly anticipated match at the Dubai Tennis Championships R16. The match promises to be thrilling, given the players' head-to-head record, where Badosa leads 4-3. Both players have shown fluctuating forms; Rybakina has struggled despite an 11-4 season record, while Badosa is on top form, reaching the Australian Open semi-finals. The betting tips favor a match with over 21.5 total games and Badosa edging out Rybakina. Fans can catch the action live streamed on Unibet.

Andrew Hendrie 18 Feb 2025
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  • Elena Rybakina vs Paula Badosa predictions for Wednesday's WTA Dubai R16
  • Badosa leads the H2H 4-3
  • Three of the last four meetings have seen a deciding set
  • Six of the last seven meetings have seen a tiebreak or deciding set (or both)
  • The match is scheduled to start around 7.30pm AEDT on Wednesday February 19
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Paula Badosa
Paula Badosa (Photo by Getty Images)


Elena Rybakina vs Paula Badosa Tips, Prediction & Live Stream


Arguably the pick of the Dubai Tennis Championships R16 matches sees Elena Rybakina come up against Paula Badosa on Wednesday.

  • Elena Rybakina vs Paula Badosa Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
  • Head To Head
  • Elena Rybakina Form
  • Paula Badosa Form
  • Live Stream
It's a top 10 showdown for a place in the quarter-finals and I think this could be a closely fought contest. Six of the seven meetings between these two players have featured either a tiebreak or deciding set (or both), so there's nothing really separating the pair, with Badosa leading the H2H 4-3. The Spaniard has recaptured her best tennis over the last few months and is coming off a maiden Grand Slam semi-final at the Australian Open, while Rybakina continues to deal with the fallout of her controversial coach's ban. Backing Over 21.5 total games and Badosa to edge it.

Head To Head


As mentioned, Badosa leads 4-3, although the pair haven't faced off since 2023. Rybakina has won the last two meetings on hardcourt, with three of the last four going to a deciding set.

Elena Rybakina Form


Rybakina comes into this contest with an 11-4 record on the season, improving from a torrid end to last year, where she managed just three victories after Wimbledon.

After beginning her year at the United Cup, Rybakina made the fourth round of the Australian Open, losing to eventual champion Madison Keys in three sets, before going on to reach the semi-finals in Abu Dhabi and quarter-finals in Doha.

The Kazakh improved to 5-0 in opening matches at the Dubai Tennis Champions after easing past qualifier Moyuka Uchijima 6-3 6-2.

Paula Badosa Form


After dealing with various injury problems over the last couple of years, Badosa has clawed her way back into the top 10 and is once again present amongst the game's elite.

Badosa put together a 21-5 record between Washington and Ningbo last year and has continue her winning momentum to start 2025, reaching her first Grand Slam semi-final at the Australian Open, defeating Coco Gauff along the way.

The Spaniard went out early to eventual champion Amanda Anisimova in Doha last week, but she's regrouped in Dubai, registering two convincing victories over Lulu Sun (6-3 6-4) and Elise Mertens (6-1 6-2) to make the R16.

Live Stream


Watch and bet on Elena Rybakina vs Paula Badosa live tennis from Dubai.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > WTA Dubai with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Rybakina has won 11 of her 15 matches this season, but she's without a title and hasn't been at her best it's fair to say.

Badosa meanwhile is back to her best and looks the value bet as the underdog, leading the H2H 4-3. The best bet is Over 21.5 total games, with three of the last four meetings deciding in a third set.

Best Bet1: Over 21.5 Total Games $1.78 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Badosa Win H2H $2.48 at Elitebet - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Badosa 2-1 Set Betting $5.40 at picklebet - 1 Unit
Over 21.5
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Badosa Win
H2H
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Badosa 2-1
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Betting Slip | 19 Feb 2025

Elena Rybakina v Paula Badosa