Premier League Predictions & Tips for Round 7 - Best Value Bets, including Leeds vs Man United & Newcastle vs Aston Villa
Premier League Matchday 7 features enticing fixtures, including Leeds United vs Manchester United, Newcastle United vs Aston Villa, and Manchester City vs Ipswich Town. The article highlights value betting opportunities, notably backing Leeds' James Justin and Jayden Bogle for shots on target, Aston Villa to win against Newcastle, and Nicolas Jackson as an anytime scorer. For Man City vs Ipswich, Nico O'Reilly’s attacking potential is also recommended. The article concludes that targeting player shots on target and opposing out-of-form teams could yield strong returns for punters.
- Best value betting tips & predictions for Matchday 7 of the Premier League
- Value bets focus on Leeds vs Man United & Newcastle vs Aston Villa
- All selections backed up with stats & reasoning - including $20 2-leg SGM
The Premier League returns for Round 7 with another intriguing set of fixtures, including Leeds United hosting Manchester United at Elland Road, Newcastle United taking on Aston Villa and Manchester City facing newly-promoted Ipswich Town.
With several teams struggling for consistency and others beginning to find their rhythm, there are some attractive opportunities across the betting markets.
This week's value selections focus on players whose prices appear generous given their attacking involvement, alongside a couple of outright and goalscorer bets.
We're particularly keen to oppose Manchester United and Newcastle in their respective fixtures, while targeting some bigger-priced shots on target markets that could deliver strong returns.
Our best value bets for Matchday 7 can be found below, with reasoning behind each selection.
Premier League Matchday 7 - Best Value Bets
| Match | Best Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds vs Man United | James Justin 1+ Shots On Target | $4.40 @ Unibet |
| Leeds vs Man United | Jayden Bogle 1+ Shots On Target | $4.50 @ Unibet |
| Leeds vs Man United | Justin & Bogle 1+ Shots On Target: 2-leg SGM | $20 @ Unibet |
| Newcastle vs Aston Villa | Aston Villa Win | $2.90 @ Dabble |
| Newcastle vs Aston Villa | Nicolas Jackson Anytime Goalscorer | $2.90 @ Dabble |
| Man City vs Ipswich | Nico O'Reilly 1+ Shots On Target | $2.50 @ Unibet |
Leeds vs Man United Prediction & Tips
Manchester United head to Elland Road under enormous pressure following a disastrous start to the season - including a mid-week thumping away to Atletico in the Champions League - and this shapes as another uncomfortable assignment against a Leeds side that have shown they can compete with the Premier League's biggest clubs.
Leeds were particularly impressive against Arsenal last weekend, producing an encouraging performance that highlighted their intensity, physicality and willingness to take the game to stronger opposition. Elland Road is rarely an easy place to visit, and United's ongoing struggles make the hosts an appealing team to target in the individual player markets.
I wouldn't discourage anyone wanting to back Leeds in the H2H market, but we're focusing on two of their attacking defenders, James Justin and Jayden Bogle, who have both shown a willingness to get forward down the right flank and test opposition goalkeepers under Daniel Farke's adventurous setup.
Justin is one of our favourite value selections of the round at a generous $4.40.
The Leeds defender found the back of the net against Arsenal last weekend, continuing a productive start to the campaign in which he's registered seven shots across his opening appearances.
More importantly for this particular market, Justin has recorded at least one shot on target in three of his last five games, suggesting his attacking involvement is translating into genuine goalscoring opportunities.
Against a Red Devils side struggling for confidence, defensive consistency and generally looking slow, flat and lethargic all over the pitch, Justin should have opportunities to push forward like he did last weekend.
At $4.40, we're happy to take the chance that he forces the goalkeeper into at least one save.
Bogle is another Leeds defender whose attacking numbers make him an attractive proposition at a big price.
Like Justin, Bogle has registered seven shots this season, but it's his recent accuracy that really catches the eye.
The wing-back has produced five shots on target across his last four appearances, demonstrating his willingness to get into advanced positions and take opportunities when they arise.
Leeds' aggressive approach should suit Bogle, particularly if they can put United under pressure and force their visitors into prolonged defensive spells.
With his recent shooting numbers suggesting he should be considerably shorter than $4.50, this is another value opportunity worth exploring.
For those chasing a bigger return, you can combine Justin & Bogle to register at least one shot on target at $20.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction & Tips
Newcastle have been slugglish to start the season and their recent results suggest they could be vulnerable against an Aston Villa side building serious momentum.
The Magpies have suffered heavy 4-1 defeats against both Coventry and Leeds in recent weeks, with their defensive performances raising concerns heading into another difficult assignment.
Furthermore, Newcastle have conceded 73 shots on target in the league this season - the second-most in the competition, showcasing their fragile defence.
Villa, meanwhile, have begun to click with their new-look squad, winning four of their last five games and scoring an impressive 17 goals during that stretch.
That contrast in form makes the visitors an appealing betting proposition, particularly with Newcastle struggling to contain opposition attacks.
Villa have the form and firepower to take advantage, and we're backing them to continue their impressive run with an away victory.
Nicolas Jackson has been one of the major beneficiaries of Villa's improved attacking performances, rediscovering his goalscoring touch and establishing himself as a dangerous presence in the final third.
The striker has already scored five goals for Villa this season, while he's found the back of the net in four of his last five appearances for club and country.
That consistency is particularly encouraging heading into a matchup against a Newcastle defence that has conceded eight goals across its recent defeats to Coventry and Leeds.
With Villa creating chances regularly and Jackson enjoying a productive spell in front of goal, the $2.90 on offer for an anytime goal looks appealing.
Man City vs Ipswich Prediction & Tips
Manchester City will be expected to dominate possession and territory against newly-promoted Ipswich, making this an attractive fixture to target some of their more adventurous players in the shots on target markets. City are coming off their first defeat of the season in the Champions League mid-week against PSG and will be determined for an immediate response here.
While City's established attacking stars will naturally attract plenty of attention, we're looking further back on the pitch for a potentially overlooked selection.
Nico O'Reilly offers an interesting alternative to City's more obvious attacking options, with the left-back capable of contributing significantly in the final third.
He finished last season in impressive fashion, registering 11 shots on target across his final 10 Premier League appearances. Although he hasn't been quite as prolific to begin the new campaign, his attacking mindset at left back continues to provide opportunities.
O'Reilly's willingness to surge forward should be particularly valuable against an Ipswich side likely to spend considerable periods defending deep inside their own half.
He's also a genuine aerial threat from set pieces, with his height and physical presence making him dangerous when City deliver corners into the penalty area.
At $2.50, we're happy to back O'Reilly to produce at least one shot on target, whether through his overlapping runs or an opportunity from a dead-ball situation.
Verdict
Our four favourite value bets for Matchday 7 can be found below.
James Justin 1+ SOT
Leeds vs Man United
$4.40 - 1 Unit
Daily Racing Rewards
Log in to see offers
18+ only. T&Cs apply. What are you really gambling with? Call Gambling Help on 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au.
Jayden Bogle 1+ SOT
Leeds vs Man United
$4.50 - 1 Unit
Daily Racing Rewards
Log in to see offers
18+ only. T&Cs apply. What are you really gambling with? Call Gambling Help on 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au.
Villa Win
Newcastle vs Aston Villa
$2.90 - 1 Unit
Download the dabble app
with referral code BETSAU
Download the dabble app, enter referral code BETSAU to enjoy Dabble, the betting app with a difference! Bet as normal with & also be part of Australia's betting community where you can follow punters and sports stars, copy their bets, have banter with your mates & watch Sky Racing channels. 18+. T&Cs apply. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.
N. Jackson 1+ Goal
Newcastle vs Aston Villa
$2.90 - 1 Unit
Download the dabble app
with referral code BETSAU
Download the dabble app, enter referral code BETSAU to enjoy Dabble, the betting app with a difference! Bet as normal with & also be part of Australia's betting community where you can follow punters and sports stars, copy their bets, have banter with your mates & watch Sky Racing channels. 18+. T&Cs apply. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.
Top Betting Sites
Betting offers
Upcoming Events
16 October 2026
- Samoa vs France -
- Rugby League
- Sunshine Coast - October 16 -
- Horse Racing
- Launceston - October 16 -
- Horse Racing
- Tasmania JackJumpers vs Adelaide 36ers -
- Basketball
- Sydney FC v Western Sydney Wanderers -
- Soccer
- Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul -
- Tennis
17 October 2026
- Caulfield - October 17 -
- Horse Racing
- Randwick - October 17 -
- Horse Racing
- Doomben - October 17 -
- Horse Racing
- The Everest -
- Horse Racing
- Caulfield Cup -
- Horse Racing
- Thousand Guineas -
- Horse Racing
- Auckland FC v Melbourne City -
- Soccer
- Papua New Guinea vs Lebanon -
- Rugby League
- Wallabies vs All Blacks - Bledisloe Cup Game 2 -
- Rugby Union
- King Charles III Stakes -
- Horse Racing
- Macarthur FC v Perth Glory -
- Soccer
- Sydney Kings vs Perth Wildcats Tips -
- Basketball
- Central Coast Mariners v Newcastle Jets -
- Soccer
- England vs Tonga -
- Rugby League
18 October 2026
- Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory -
- Soccer
- Fiji vs Cook Islands -
- Rugby League
- English Premier League - Matchday 7 -
- Soccer
Load More
