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Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears NFL Divisional Round Tips & Predictions - Down to the wire

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Fri 16 Jan 2026 11:08

The upcoming divisional round clash between the Los Angeles Rams and Chicago Bears is expected to be an exciting encounter at Soldier Field. With challenging weather conditions predicted, the playing field is leveled, giving the Bears an advantage with a 3.5-point start. Caleb Williams, instrumental in Chicago's one-score thrillers all season, could lead yet another game-winning drive. Key players like Luther Burden III, with his strong yards after the catch, and Colby Parkinson, expected to have increased receptions for the Rams, are set to make significant contributions in this game.

Jeremy Darke 16 Jan 2026
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  • Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears Expert NFL Tips for Divisional Round
  • Kick Off is at 07:00 AM AEDT at Soldier Field
  • Wild weather expected to level playing field in Rams vs Bears matchup.
  • Bears favored with a 3.5-point start; Caleb Williams could lead crucial drive.
Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears NFL Divisional Round Tips

Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears NFL Divisional Round Tips & Predictions


Wild weather is predicted at Soldier Field, leveling out the playing field for the divisional matchup between the Rams vs Bears so I am taking the home team with a 3.5-point start.

Chicago matches have been one-score thrillers all season and no matter the weather the odds would point to this one going down to the wire and Caleb Williams getting an opportunity to lead the Bears to their eighth game-winning fourth quarter drive. 

The cold is giving modest reception and receiving yard overs and unders for practically everyone besides Puka Nacua, so there is an opportunity if you hit on the guys with the hottest hands (pun intended).

Luther Burden lll has become an important piece for Chicago and his yards after catch of 7.7 per reception is what interests me in these conditions. The rookie receiver has the confidence of Williams and is also used on screen plays and short situations with the ability to break free. His 37.5 receiving total has the potential to be eaten up in just a couple of catches.

Colby Parkinson won it for the Rams and has been used heavily in short passing plays for the Rams which is expected in the freezing weather on Sunday. 3+ receptions is right on his season average as well and his usage is likely going to be higher if conditions are poor.

Colston Loveland is Williams' go-to guy and although heavily covered there will be a couple of chances for the Bears TE to be the game breaker and win it for the Bears.

  • Chicago have played in twelve 1-score games this season
  • Luther Burden lll has had over 37.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 8 matches.
  • Colby Parkinson has had 3+ receptions in 7 of his last 10 matches.
  • Colston Loveland has been targeted an average of 2 times in the red zone in his last 5 matches.

Head to Head Record


All Time Record
Chicago Bears lead all-time series 55-39-3.

Most Recent Matchup
DateResult
Sep 29, 2024
LAR 18 @ CHI 24

Statistical Rankings
StatLARCHI
Points Scored/Game30.5 (1st)25.9 (9th)
Points Allowed/Game20.4 (10th)24.4 (23rd)
Pass Yds/Game268 (1st)225 (10th)
Rush Yds/Game126 (7th)144 (3rd)
Def. Pass Yds/Game216 (19th)227 (22nd)
Def. Rush Yds/Game110 (12th)134 (27th)

Los Angeles Rams Form


The Rams came into their Wild Card match against the Panthers as 10.5- point away favourites, but things didn’t play out the way the bookies thought they would with Matt Stafford needing to execute a 2-minute drill to keep their season alive with Colby Parkinson pulling of one of the plays of the year to catch and pirouette into the endzone to lead the Rams to a  34-31 victory in Carolina.

Cracks have started to appear in the run of Sean McVay and the Rams in the final phase of the season. Interceptions have come at inopportune times after Stafford’s record breaking touchdown run without a pick earlier in the season. The secondary of the Rams have also given up big plays to opposing wide receivers, forcing their offence into a shootout.

Lucky for the Rams that they have the likely MVP at quarterback and Puca Nacua and Devante Adams who are unrecoverable.


eam Table
TeamRecordATSO/UAwayHome
L.A. Rams logo LAR13-5-012-6-011-7-06-4-07-1-0

Chicago Bears Form


Caleb Williams’ stocks continue to rise after ANOTHER incredible comeback victory in the Wild Card Round against the Packers, erasing a 21-3 deficit, 14 of those points in the fourth quarter to lead the Bears to their first playoff victory in 11 seasons. 

Williams threw for a franchise playoff record of 361 passing yards to lift Chicago to a 31-27 win, outscoring Green Bay 28-6 in the second half.  It was the 2024 No. 1 pick’s seventh game-winning fourth quarter drive of the season.

Credit also has to go to Ben Johnson and the defensive side of the ball that forced 4 consecutive punts after half time. The Bears blitzed 17 times during the match, putting Jordan Love under pressure while shutting down the run game of Josh Jacobs who managed just 55 yards from 19 runs. 


TeamRecordATSO/UAwayHome
Chicago logo CHI12-6-012-5-19-9-05-4-07-2-0

Verdict

The Bears will keep this one close so getting 3.5 points is the way to look at this one. Colton Loveland will score a TD while Luther Burden lll will go over his 37.5 receiving yards as Colby Parkinson makes 3+ catches for the Rams.
Best Bet1: Chicago +3.5 Handicap/Line $1.95 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: L. Burden lll Over 37. Receiving Yards $1.90 at Playup - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Colby Parkinson 3+ Receptions $2.22 at Playup - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Colton Loveland Anytime Touchdown $3.00 at dabble - 1 Unit
Chicago +3.5
Handicap/Line
$1.95 - 2 Units
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L. Burden lll Over 37.
Receiving Yards
$1.90 - 3 Units
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Bet at Playup
Colby Parkinson
3+ Receptions
$2.22 - 2 Units
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Colton Loveland
Anytime Touchdown
$3.00 - 1 Unit
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