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Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos NFL Divisional Round Tips & Predictions - Buffalo end it again for Denver

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Thu 15 Jan 2026 12:53

In an exciting NFL Divisional Round match, the Buffalo Bills visit the Denver Broncos, arriving as 1.5-point underdogs. Despite Denver's strong defensive stats and the illustrious first seed position, the prediction favors a Bills win, driven by Josh Allen's play and strategic receiver use amidst injuries. Allen is expected to reprise his heroics from the previous rounds, leveraging Buffalo's offensive potential. On the ground game, Denver's R.J Harvey is predicted to surpass 56.5 yards, but ultimately Buffalo's dynamic offense will maintain their Super Bowl aspirations.

Jeremy Darke 15 Jan 2026
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  • Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos Expert NFL Tips for Divisional Round
  • Kick Off is at 08:30 AM AEDT at Empower Field at Mile High
  • Buffalo Bills enter as 1.5-point underdogs against Denver Broncos.
  • Josh Allen expected to lead Buffalo to another playoff victory.
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Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos NFL Divisional Round Tips

Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos NFL Divisional Round Tips & Predictions


The Bills come into Denver as the away-underdog by 1.5 points, but will fly out of Mile High Stadium back to Buffalo with their Super Bowl dream still alive and for the second year in succession ending the Broncos playoff run. 

This season has been stunning for Sean Payton and the Broncos, wrapping up the No.1 seed for the first time in 10 years, when Peyton Manning led them to Super Bowl victory. Unfortunately, Bo Nix is not quite at the Manning level and the offence of Denver will not be able to score enough to stay with Buffalo, even if they have the number one defence in the NFL. 

R.J Harvey will have a day on the ground attacking Buffalo’s weakness on defence, but Josh Allen will play the hero once again and repeat the mastery of the Wild Card Round last year and get the job done on the Broncos.

Khalil Shakir is the clear number one receiver for Buffalo with his 12 receptions against Jacksonville, but it will be Brandon Cooks who will see some extra targets with both Tyrell Shavers and Gabe Davis injured in the match against the Jaguars.

  • Buffalo have beaten Denver in 4 of their last 5 matches and both playoff match ups.
  • Brandon Cooks has had 3 receptions in his last 2 matches
  • The Bills rank 30th in yards per rush (5.2yds)
  • Josh Allen averages 1.3 rushing touchdowns per playoff game.

Head to Head Record


All Time Record
Buffalo Bills lead all-time series 24-17-1.

Most Recent Matchup
DateResult
Jan 12, 2025
DEN 7, @BUF 31

Statistical Rankings
StatBUFDEN
Points Scored/Game28.3 (4th)23.6 (14th)
Points Allowed/Game21.5 (12th)18.3 (3rd)
Pass Yds/Game216 (15th)223 (11th)
Rush Yds/Game159 (1st)118 (16th)
Def. Pass Yds/Game156 (1st)187 (7th)
Def. Rush Yds/Game136 (28th)91 (2nd)

Buffalo Bills Form


Coming up against the league’s best run defence in Jacksonville, Buffalo’s number one rush offence was crippled in the Wild Card Round with James Cook unable to break for more than 46 yards from 15 attempts.

So who stepped up, Josh Allen of course. The Bill QB threw for 273 yards completing at 80% on 35 passing attempts and throwing a TD to Kincaid, rushed for 33 yards and scored two touchdowns himself on the ground leading Buffalo to a 27-24 victory after running in his second with 1:04 left on the clock.

Superman did it all but some of the credit has to go to Khalil Shakir who also showed up big time with 12 catches from 12 targets and 82 receiving yards.

The Bills defence did what was expected of them and even picked up a couple of picks from Trevor Lawrence.


Team Table
TeamRecordATSO/UAwayHome
Buffalo logo BUF13-5-08-10-08-10-06-3-07-2-0

Denver Broncos Form


Denver finished the regular season as the AFC No.1 seed with a 14-3 record and arguably the best defence in the NFL.

The Broncos defensive resume heading into the playoffs is scary for any opponent, ranked third in opposition points (18.3/G) second in opposition total yards (278.2/G) second in opposition rushing yards (91.1/G) and first in sacks, averaging 4 per game. A real nightmare.

Offensively it is a different story though, ranked outside the top ten in most categories besides total yardage (342.6/G). At quarterback Bo Nix ranks 11th in passing yards and 20th in completion percentage, while the run game of R.J Harvey and Jaleel McLaughlin has had its days but ranks 16 in yards and 15th in yards per rush. 


TeamRecordATSO/UAwayHome
Denver logo DEN14-3-08-9-07-10-06-2-08-1-0

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos start?

Kickoff between Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos is at 08:30 AM AEDT, Sunday

What channel is Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos on?

You can watch Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos on DAZN

Verdict

The Denver run game will see R.J Harvey go over 56.5 yards but it will once again be the Josh Allen show, rushing for a TD and finding satellite receivers like Brandin Cooks for 3+ receptions in another Buffalo playoff win over the Broncos.
Best Bet1: Buffalo Bills Money Line $1.95 at picklebet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: B. Cooks Over 2.5 Receptions $1.87 at betr - 2 Units
Best Bet3: R.J Harvey Over 56.5 Rushing Yards Total $1.87 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Josh Allen Anytime Touchdown $1.90 at Elitebet - 3 Units
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