- Monday 3
- Tuesday 4
- Wednesday 5
- Thursday 6
- Friday 7
- Saturday 8
- Sunday 9
- Monday 10
- Tuesday 11
- Wednesday 12
- Thursday 13
Houston Texans at New England Patriots NFL Divisional Round Tips & Predictions - Texans Defence to Get Them Home
The Houston Texans face the New England Patriots in the NFL Divisional Round with the Texans' defense spotlighted as the key to their potential victory. With 10 straight wins and a formidable defense, they are poised for an upset. The Patriots face challenges due to the Texans' ability to control the game through their defense and running game. Expect a low-scoring match with crucial plays dictated by Houston's defensive maneuvers and New England's struggle to maintain offensive consistency under pressure.
- Houston Texans at New England Patriots Expert NFL Tips for Divisional Round
- Kick Off is at 10:30 AM AEDT at Gillette Stadium
- Texans: 10 straight wins and a formidable defense.
- Houston's defense constrained Pittsburgh to 6 points and dominated Aaron Rodgers.
- Patriots struggle with elite defenses; Houston aims to capitalize on this.
Houston Texans at New England Patriots
Houston Texans at New England Patriots NFL Divisional Round Tips & Predictions
Houston to win as the road dog in a game that feels like it was built for punts, field position, and one or two defensive haymakers. This is two elite units colliding, but the difference is Houston’s defence consistently drags games into their world and that’s exactly where New England’s schedule hasn’t prepared them.
- Houston Texans at New England Patriots NFL Divisional Round Tips & Predictions
- Head to Head Record
- All Time Record
- Most Recent Matchup
- Statistical Rankings
- Houston Texans Form
- Houston Texans Betting Trends
- New England Patriots Form
- New England Patriots Betting Trends
- Houston Texans vs New England Patriots Frequently Asked Questions
The Texans are on a heater with 10 straight wins, and it’s the defence doing the heavy lifting. They just went to work on Pittsburgh, holding them to six points while scoring twice themselves, and they turned Aaron Rodgers into a non-factor: 146 yards, 4.4 yards per attempt, with Houston pressuring him all night (34 pass attempts, 12 QB hits). That same heat is coming for Drake Maye after he took five sacks last week, and the matchup screams disruption.
New England’s offence is more powerful on paper, but the wildcard performance showed what happens when they face a top-shelf defence: 16 points, 4-for-11 on third down, 0-for-3 in the red zone, plus an interception and a sub-90 passer rating. Maye still moved the ball (268 yards, 9+ yards per attempt), but Houston don’t let you live five yards at a time, they suffocate, force mistakes then cash them in.
That’s why the total sits under 41 and why the first score being a field goal fits the script. Every drive matters, and both teams will take points whenever they’re offered. Houston’s path to the upset is defence and run game control and when New England falls behind the chains, Will Anderson Jr is in the perfect spot to land at least one sack.
Houston to win as the road underdog. The Game Total to go Under 41, Will Anderson Jr 1+ sack, Field Goal first score.
- Texans: 10 straight wins
- Houston held Pittsburgh to 6 points and scored twice on defence in the Wild Card
- Patriots scored 16 points, went 4-for-11 on 3rd down, and 0-for-3 in the red zone vs Chargers
- Drake May took 5 sacks last week; Texans just generated 12 QB hits and 4 sacks vs Rodgers
Head to Head Record
All Time Record
New England Patriots lead all-time series 11-4.
Most Recent Matchup
| Date | Result |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2024 |
Statistical Rankings
| Stat | HOU | NWE |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored/Game | 23.8 (13th) | 28.8 (2nd) |
| Points Allowed/Game | 17.4 (2nd) | 18.8 (4th) |
| Pass Yds/Game | 218 (14th) | 250 (4th) |
| Rush Yds/Game | 108 (22nd) | 128 (6th) |
| Def. Pass Yds/Game | 183 (6th) | 193 (9th) |
| Def. Rush Yds/Game | 93 (4th) | 101 (6th) |
Houston Texans Form
Houston’s defence is not just good, it’s game-shaping. They’ve been elite across the board all season, and it’s translating directly into scoreboard control.
Last week they held the Steelers to six while scoring twice themselves, and they’ve repeatedly turned quarterbacks into passengers. Rodgers managed only 146 yards at 4.4 per attempt with Houston living in the backfield, and the pass rush production was spread across the front with Anderson (1 sack, 3 QB hits) leading the way. That pressure also pairs with a run defence that ranked second-best against running backs in 2025, squeezing efficiency and forcing opponents into obvious passing downs.
If Houston get any kind of lead, they can lean on a rushing attack that just produced a breakout performance and play the game entirely on their terms.
Houston Texans Betting Trends
| Team | Record | ATS | O/U | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HOU | 13-5-0 | 10-8-0 | 6-12-0 | 6-3-0 | 7-2-0 |
New England Patriots Form
New England are rolling too with 14 wins in their last 15, but the wildcard game hinted at the danger when they’re forced to operate against elite speed and structure. They beat the Chargers, yet managed only 16 points and completely stalled in the money areas with 0-for-3 in the red zone and a shaky third-down profile.
Maye still flashed high-end ability with 268 yards and over nine per attempt, and his legs remain part of the equation after 10 runs for 66 yards. But the protection cracks are real, and he absorbed five sacks last week.
If New England can’t get to the edge in the run game consistently and they’re forced into longer downs, Houston’s rush is built to tilt the field, which is exactly why this sets up as a tight, low-scoring fight where the underdog has a very live path to win.
New England Patriots Betting Trends
| Team | Record | ATS | O/U | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NE | 15-3-0 | 13-5-0 | 11-7-0 | 8-0-0 | 7-3-0 |
Houston Texans vs New England Patriots Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Houston Texans vs New England Patriots start?
Kickoff between Houston Texans vs New England Patriots is at 10:30 AM AEDT, Monday
What channel is Houston Texans vs New England Patriots on?
You can watch Houston Texans vs New England Patriots on DAZN
Verdict
Houston to win as the road underdog. The Game Total to go Under 41, Will Anderson Jr 1+ sack, Field Goal first score.
Houston Texans
Moneyline
$2.50 - 2 Units
Pandabet
It's Black & White
The Pandabet.com.au code is BETSAUS. 18+. T&Cs apply.
Under 41
Game Total
$1.90 - 2 Units
Lightning fast betting
Join with code BETSAU
18+. T&Cs apply
W Anderson Jr 1+
Sack
$1.55 - 3 Units
Use Easyform
The Ultimate Form Guide
18+ only. Gamble Responsibly. T&Cs apply
Field Goal
First Score
$2.05 - 1 Unit
Download the dabble app
with referral code BETSAU
Download the dabble app, enter referral code BETSAU to enjoy Dabble, the betting app with a difference! Bet as normal with & also be part of Australia's betting community where you can follow punters and sports stars, copy their bets, have banter with your mates & watch Sky Racing channels. 18+. T&Cs apply. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.
Related
Top Betting Sites
Betting offers
Upcoming Events
04 August 2026
- Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Martin Damm -
- Tennis
- Bairnsdale- August 4 -
- Horse Racing
- Quirindi - August 4 -
- Horse Racing
22 August 2026
- Winx Stakes -
- Horse Racing
29 August 2026
- Memsie Stakes -
- Horse Racing
Load More
