NBL26 Round 15

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Sydney Kings vs South East Melbourne Phoenix NBL26 Round 15 Tips - Phoenix to Consolidate Top 2 Ladder Spot

Ryan Tucker

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Fact Checked by Jeremy Darke

Last updated: Sun 04 Jan 2026 11:47

Ryan Tucker 04 Jan 2026

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Sydney Kings vs South East Melbourne Phoenix expert predictions for Monday’s Round 15 NBL matchup
Tip-off is at 7:30 PM AEDT at Qudos Bank Arena
Sydney Kings host South East Melbourne Phoenix in crucial Round 15 matchup.
Nathan Sobey, top scorer, is key for SE Melbourne's success against Sydney.
Experts tip another win for SE Melbourne, predicting Sobey to shine.

Sydney Kings vs South East Melbourne Phoenix NBL26 Round 15 Tips

Sydney Kings vs South East Melbourne Phoenix NBL25 Round 15 Expert Tips

The number 1 ranked defensive team hosts the number 1 ranked scoring team on Monday night closing out Round 15 with Sydney the -3.5 pt favourites at home.

Sydney Kings vs South East Melbourne Phoenix NBL25 Round 15 Expert Tips
Head to Head
Last 5 Match Results
Offensive & Defensive Rankings
Sydney Kings Form & Team News
South East Melbourne Phoenix Form & Team News
Sydney Kings vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Frequently Asked Questions

This game holds a lot of power with Sydney in 4th spot in the standings 1 win and 1 loss behind the Phoenix. A win would allow them to leapfrog both Melbourne teams into 2nd spot due to a superior percentage.

Sydney are 7-3 at home this season but are 6-6 against current top 6 teams in the league not quite bucking the trend of flat track bullies that they had from last season. The earlier meeting this season with the Phoenix ended with a 112-95 victory to SE Melbourne.

Nathan Sobey scored 33 pts in that game, going 6 from 11 from distance, extremely similar to his most recent game against the Taipans. Sobey is 3rd ranked scorer in the league and attempts the most 3pt shots of any player with 9.1 per game.

This game will be decided by two things, how Sydney’s defence can shut down Nathan Sobey and if the Phoenix can shoot over 30% from 3pt range. If Sydney are able to contain those two things, they will win the game. The expectation here though is that they can’t and SE Melbourne put another game between them.

Take South East Melbourne to chalk up another win against Sydney, bucking their trend as road underdog. Take Nathan Sobey for 25+ pts and 4+ threes and SE Melbourne to go Over their Team Total of 89.5 pts.

SE Melbourne beat Sydney by 17 pts earlier in the season and are the top scoring team in the league.
Nathan Sobey is the 3rd best scorer in the NBL, had 33 pts in his latest game against Sydney and is averaging 26 pts in his last 5 outings.
Nathan Sobey leads the league in 3 pt attempts this season and has had 11+ in 3 of his last 5 games.
SE Melbourne have surpassed this Team Total in 3 straight games this season and are averaging a league best 96.5 pts per game.

Head to Head

Last 5 Match Results

Date	Home Team	Score	Line	Total Points
23/10/2025	SEM	SEM 112-95	SEM -1.0	O 184.0
22/01/2025	SEM	SYD 103-92	SYD +1.0	O 193.5
02/01/2025	SYD	SYD 110-101	SYD -5.0	O 194.5
08/11/2024	SYD	SYD 74-69	SEM +6.5	U 177.5
17/02/2024	SEM	SYD 122-67	SYD -9.0	U 189.5

Offensive & Defensive Rankings

SYD Off	Rank	Stat	Rank	SEM Def
93.9	2	PPG	5	88.3
42.3	5	RPG	10	43.6
46.0%	1	FG%	8	45.9%
33.4%	3	3P%	8	33.5%
9.1	1	TOV	1	18

SYD Def	Rank	Stat	Rank	SEM Off
85	1	PPG	1	96.5
42.5	8	RPG	8	41.2
43.4%	2	FG%	10	42.8%
32.6%	5	3P%	2	34.5%
13.6	3	TOV	3	10.4

Sydney Kings Form & Team News

Sydney had their 6 game win streak snapped last outing with a 85-79 defeat at the hands of the Adelaide 36ers on the road. Sydney burst out the gates but couldn’t contain the 36ers scorers in the 2nd half as they were outscored 50-38.

Kendric Davis had 26 pts, 5 rebounds and 6 assists with just 1 turnover in the game, he sits 2nd in the league in scoring with 23.2 per game. The Kings shot just 25% from 3pt range, a big difference from their 33.4% season average from deep.

Sydney are the number 1 ranked scoring defence, restricting opponents to just 85 pts per game while posting 93.9 pts per game, the 2nd most in the NBL.

South East Melbourne Phoenix Form & Team News

South East Melbourne returned to the winners circle on New Year’s Eve with a 111-96 victory over Cairns Taipans, Nathan Sobey leading the way with 31 points and 10 assists.

The team shot 51.9% from the field and 32.3% from 3pt range with Sobey sinking 5 of his 11 attempts from deep. Once again the Phoenix bench was emptied with 11 players seeing court time and 10 all posting points.

SE Melbourne forced 22 turnovers while committing just 5 themselves which helped them to have 25 more field goal attempts in the game. They have reclaimed the number 1 scoring ranking in the league with 96.5 pts per game.

Sydney Kings vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Sydney Kings vs South East Melbourne Phoenix start?

Tip-off between Sydney Kings vs South East Melbourne Phoenix is at 7:30 PM AEDT, Monday, January 5

What channel is Sydney Kings vs South East Melbourne Phoenix on?

You can watch Sydney Kings vs South East Melbourne Phoenix on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Verdict

Sydney Kings v South East Melbourne Phoenix

SE Melbourne

Moneyline

$2.35 - 2 Units

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SE Melbourne over 89.5

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N Sobey 25+

Points

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N Sobey 4+

Threes made

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