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Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Taipans NBL26 Round 15 Tips - Hawks tipped to get the WIN at Home

ryan-tucker
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Fact Checked by Jeremy Darke
Last updated: Fri 02 Jan 2026 11:15

The Illawarra Hawks are anticipated to win the upcoming home game against Cairns Taipans in the NBL25 Round 15. Cairns, who previously won at WIN Entertainment Centre, face a formidable Illawarra, now reinforced with Sam Froling. Froling is expected to make a significant impact under the rim, enhancing Illawarra's scoring dynamics. Notably, Cairns struggle defensively, allowing high FG% to opponents. Despite both teams having high turnover rates, Illawarra's pace should ensure more scoring opportunities. Expect Illawarra to cover, exceed a team total of 94.5 points, and for Sam Froling to grab 10+ rebounds.

Ryan Tucker 02 Jan 2026
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  • Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Taipans expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 15 NBL matchup
  • Tip-off is at 5:30 PM AEDT at WIN Entertainment Centre
  • Illawarra tipped for victory at home against Cairns.
  • Sam Froling expected to impact with 10+ rebounds.
  • Both teams have high turnover rates, but Illawarra's pace favors them.
Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Taipans NBL26 Round 15 Tips

Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Taipans NBL25 Round 15 Expert Tips


Illawarra and Cairns have split the season series so far 1-1 with each team winning on the road. The Hawks are tipped to flip the script by winning this one as the favourite at home.

The most recent matchup was at WIN Entertainment centre on 6th December where Cairns won 93-76 despite not having Jack McVeigh or Sam Waardenburg on the court and playing only 8 players.

The Hawks shot just 38% from the field and 22.7% from deep in that game in comparison to the Taipans 43.7% from the field and 41.9% from the perimeter. Cairns have won 3 in a row at the WEC and Jack McVeigh is the highest average scorer in the league since Round 9.

But Illawarra just put away the JackJumpers and with Sam Froling back on the floor, are a more dynamic scoring outfit under the rim. Cairns allow the 2nd highest FG% to opponents this season and while both teams have high turnover rates, the pace of the Hawks should ensure they have more opportunity at the scoring end.

Take Illawarra to win and cover at home, their Team Total to go Over 94.5 pts and Sam Froling to take 10+ rebounds. 

  • Illawarra’s average winning margin is 11.4 pts and are the team with the highest pace this season.
  • Cairns’ average losing margin this season is 20.4 pts and they are the 9th ranked defensive team in the league. 
  • Sam Froling has had 10+ rebounds in both of his games since returning from injury.
  • Cairns are 9th in offensive rebounding and 10th in defensive rebounding.

Head to Head 


Last 5 Match Results


DateHome TeamScoreLineTotal Points
06/12/2025ILLCAI 93-76CAI +13.5U 185.5
07/11/2025CAIILL 107-90ILL -7.0O 182.0
23/01/2025CAICAI 100-94CAI +13.5U 198.5
03/01/2025ILLCAI 108-105CAI +19.0O 193.5
19/10/2024CAIILL 87-75ILL -7.0U 185.5

Offensive & Defensive Rankings


ILL OffRankStatRankCNS Def
88.55PPG995.6
45.11RPG1044
45.4%3FG%946.1%
31.2%83P%330.3%
14.79TOV107.9

ILL DefRankStatRankCNS Off
96.810PPG1081.6
42.98RPG1038.5
43.8%4FG%943.3%
34.2%93P%432.8%
10.29TOV813.1

Illawarra Hawks Form & Team News


Illawarra snapped a 3 game losing streak on New Years Eve with a 92-90 win over the visiting Tasmania JackJumpers. 

As has been the storyline all season long for the Hawks, they shot 50% from the field and 41.7% from distance leading to the victory. The Illawarra bench also outscored their opponent 37-27, reminding fans of how dominant their second unit was last season.

The Hawks currently rank 5th in scoring with 88.5 pts per game but are 10th in scoring defence, allowing opponents 96.8 pts per game. 

Cairns Taipans Form & Team News


Cairns slumped to their 3 straight defeat and 5-16 record on New Years Eve, getting outplayed by the South East Melbourne Phoenix 111-96. 

The Taipans actually won the first quarter 28-21 but then were outscored 63-44 in the 2nd half, allowing their opponent to shoot 64% from 2pt range during the match. Cairns rank 2nd last in the league in opponent FG%. 

Cairns were lead in scoring by Jack McVeigh with 26 pts while Sam Waardenburg added 22 pts, 6 boards and 3 assists. But turnovers hampered them, McVeigh having 5 to just 2 assists and Andrew Andrews committing 6 to his 9 assists. 

Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Taipans Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Taipans start?

Tip-off between Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Taipans is at 5:30 PM AEDT, Saturday, January 3

What channel is Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Taipans on?

You can watch Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Taipans on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Verdict

Take Illawarra to win and cover at home, their Team Total to go Over 94.5 pts and Sam Froling to take 10+ rebounds.
Best Bet1: Illawarra -6.5 Line $1.90 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Hawks over 94.5 Team Total $1.90 at Playup - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Sam Froling 10+ Rebounds $2.55 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Sam Froling 13+ Rebounds $7.25 at dabble - 1 Unit
Illawarra -6.5
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