NBL26 Round 12

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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL26 Round 12 Tips - Phoenix light a fire in Ignite Cup debut

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Mon 08 Dec 2025 10:57

Jeremy Darke 08 Dec 2025

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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers expert predictions for Wednesday’s Round 12 NBL matchup
Tip-off is at 7:30 PM AEDT at Gippsland Regional Indoor Sports Stadium
Nathan Sobey and Bryce Hamilton predicted to score 20+ points each.
Home advantage at Gippsland Regional Indoor Stadium boosts Phoenix's chances.

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL26 Round 12 Tips

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL25 Round 12 Expert Tips

It should be a routine victory for the Phoenix in Gippsland as they open up their Ignite Cup account in electric fashion against a struggling JackJumpers outfit.

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL25 Round 12 Expert Tips
Head to Head
South East Melbourne Phoenix Form & Team News
Tasmania JackJumpers Form & Team News
South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers Frequently Asked Questions

Look, it has been a tough run of late in the NBL with results falling each and every way, so it is time to play it safe and pick on individual form and play on the safer side of the lines.

South East Melbourne have a heavy advantage training at Gippsland Regional Indoor Stadium at a very unique venue that is compact with the fans sitting right on top of the players. I expect the Phoenix to cover the 6.5, but I am going to bring it down to 3.5.

Sobey is an MVP contender and is leading the Phoenix on a genuine championship run. The bookies want closer to 25 points for Sobes’ so lets take 20 points which he is hitting much more often. Same With John Brown rebounds at 5+.

For the Jackies, it is all about the production of Bryce Hamilton that will keep them in this game. The Phoenix rank in the bottom two in field goal and three-point percentage, so I also expect the Tassie import to drop 20+.

The Phoenix won their only game at Gippsland Regional Sports Stadium in NBL25 (vs. Brisbane 105-86).
Bryce Hamilton has had 20+ points in 5 of his last 8 games.
Nathan Sobey has had 20+ points in 7 of his last 10 games.
John Brown has had 5+ rebounds in 7 of his last 8 games.

Head to Head

Last 5 Match Results

Date	Home Team	Score	Line	Total Points
06/11/2025	TAS	SEM 103-102	TAS +2.5	O 177.0
25/01/2025	SEM	SEM 116-80	SEM -8.5	O 185.5
05/01/2025	TAS	SEM 105-91	SEM +3.0	O 184.5
01/11/2024	TAS	SEM 79-77	SEM +5.0	U 164.5
10/02/2024	SEM	TAS 94-67	TAS -15.0	U 181.0

Offensive & Defensive Rankings

SEM Off	Rank	Stat	Rank	TAS Def
98.3	1	PPG	4	87.6
41	6	RPG	3	41.1
42.7%	10	FG%	6	45.1%
37.1%	1	3P%	6	33.6%
10.7	3	TOV	7	10.9

SEM Def	Rank	Stat	Rank	TAS Off
89.9	7	PPG	9	85.7
42.7	8	RPG	8	40
47.5%	10	FG%	4	45.4%
35.3%	9	3P%	5	32.6%
18.9	1	TOV	4	11.4

South East Melbourne Phoenix Form & Team News

Mixed results for the Phoenix in Round 11, going down cheaply to the Hawks 113-109 but bouncing back emphatically in the Throwdown to crush former league leaders United 11-86.

Two contrasting first quarter performances dictated the results for South East Melbourne. Against Illawarra they fell behind by 18 points and went into panic mode, taking 58 threes in the match, hitting at just 27.6%, well below their league leading 37.1 3P%. Against Melbourne the Phoenix led by 10 at the first break and 15 at the half finishing the match with 16 three pointers from 31 attempts and a 53.0FG%.

The biggest positive for the Phoenix in Round 11 was the response, a poor performance that was rectified just three days later.

Tasmania JackJumpers Form & Team News

I don’t know how to take the JackJumpers this season, They a 3-0 against Sydney but haven’t had much to talk about besides that since the middle of October. I was under the impression that things were about to change with the return fo David Johnson, but another tough trip to New Zealand and Spark arena proved me wrong.

Despite having plenty of rest and the Breakers playing just two days prior, the JackJumpers were slow out of the box facing a 14-point deficit that they never got back in the match, falling 99-86 to New Zealand.

The concern is pace, the Breakers went at them through the middle of the court, driving quick and hard to the basket in the first half and Scott Roth and the Jackies were too slow to respond. Defensively they had no answer and then couldn’t hit a basket and the game was lost in the first 10 minutes.

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers Frequently Asked Questions

What time does South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers start?

Tip-off between South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers is at 7:30 PM AEDT, Wednesday, December 10

What channel is South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers on?

You can watch South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Verdict

South East Melbourne Phoenix v Tasmania JackJumpers

Nathan Sobey and Bryce Hamilton will go for 20+ for their respective teams while John Brown will collect 5+ rebounds as the Phoenix cover the alternative 3.5-point line as the favourite.

S.E Melvourne -3.5

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Nathan Sobey

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