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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers NBL26 Round 12 Tips - Phoenix bench lifts them past the streaking Breakers

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Thu 11 Dec 2025 14:33

South East Melbourne Phoenix are set to clash with New Zealand Breakers in a thrilling NBL25 Round 12 encounter. The Phoenix, despite recent setbacks, are anticipated to showcase their top-rated offense and capitalize on the Breakers' weaker bench. The game is expected to surpass a total score of 186.5. Angus Glover's potential performance from the bench could be pivotal, complemented by Izaiah Brockington's consistent scoring for the Breakers. Phoenix must leverage their tactical prowess to overcome their recent dip in form.

Jeremy Darke 11 Dec 2025
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  • South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 12 NBL matchup
  • Tip-off is at 8:00 PM AEDT at Gippsland Regional Indoor Sports Stadium
  • Phoenix aims to overcome recent losses with a strong home performance.
  • Expect a high-scoring game, surpassing 186.5 total points.
South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers NBL26 Round 12 Tips

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers NBL25 Round 12 Expert Tips


The points will flow in the Gippsland Regional Indoor Sports Stadium on Saturday night with the match total getting blown out and the Phoenix getting an important win to steady their season. 

Yes the Breakers are hot and well, South East Melbourne are not, but this matchup is a good one for the Phoenix with a shootout expected which bodes well for the league’s best offence. 

The Breakers come in on a three-game win streak, however, they are on a three-game losing streak to the Phoenix. S.E.M have lost 3 of their last four and are desperate to extend their winning record against the Breakers to get control of their season.

Both teams are best when they shooting and putting up 95+ scores and that is what is expected in this contest with the game total of 186.5 to be surpassed. With that expect Izaiah Brockington to continue his fine offensive form for the Breakers hitting his average of 20 points in his last three games.

The difference in this one will be the bench for the Phoenix, going up against a bottom three bench of the Breakers. Angus Glover has been a big reason why the Phoenix have the highest scoring bench in the NBL and he will drop 3+ threes against New Zealand. 

  • SEM have covered the line in their last 4 games against New Zealand, including 3 straight victories.
  • SEM’s bench outscores NZ’s by an average of 14 points per game.
  • Angus Glover is averaging 2.83 three pointers in his last 6 games.
  • Izaiah Brockington is averaging 20.33 points in his last 3 games.

Head to Head 


Last 5 Match Results

DateHome TeamScoreLineTotal Points
12/10/2025NZBSEM 87-81SEM -2.0U 186.0
18/01/2025SEMSEM 102-89SEM -6.5O 190.0
24/10/2024NZBSEM 88-62SEM +4.5U 174.5
29/09/2024NZBNZB 81-79SEM +3.0U 183.0
20/01/2024NZBNZB 106-75NZB -10.5U 182.5

Offensive & Defensive Rankings

SEM OffRankStatRankNZB Def
98.31PPG688.1
416RPG341.1
42.7%10FG%544.7%
37.1%13P%129.1%
10.73TOV411.9

SEM DefRankStatRankNZB Off
89.97PPG789.3
42.78RPG343.3
47.5%10FG%745.0%
35.3%93P%930.8%
18.91TOV712.5

South East Melbourne Phoenix Form & Team News


South East Melbourne let one get away from them on Wednesday night in their Ignite Cup match against the JackJumpers, bombing a 9-point first quarter lead getting swallowed up in the following term, scoring just 12 points to Tasmania’s 25. It didn’t get better after the break with quarters of 18 and 15 points, after dominating with 36 points in the opener. 

Tasmania rattled the Phoenix with physicality which slowed the offence, with Nathan Sobey scoring just 1 point in the second half and SEM shooting horribly at just 37.0% from the field in the match and 23.7 3P%, well under their league-best 36.2% from the perimeter. 

New Zealand Breakers Form & Team News


New Zealand are on a run that has kept their season well and truly alive, claiming victories in their last 3 matches with wins over Cairns, Sydney and Tasmania. 

The offence of the Breakers is clicking, averaging 98.66 points during their current winning run. New Zealand are top heavy with all of their five starters all hitting double digits in their last 3 games. Parker Jackson-Cartwright (avg. 20pts in last 3games), Sam Mennenga (avg. 17pts in last 3games) and import Izaiah Brockington (avg. 20.33pts in last 3games) are leading the revival of the offence for New Zealand.

The negative for the Breakers is that they are not getting a whole lot of production from the bottom 5 on their list with their bench averaging just 19.8 points and has a -4.1 plus/minus. 

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers Frequently Asked Questions

What time does South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers start?

Tip-off between South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers is at 8:00 PM AEDT, Saturday, December 13

What channel is South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers on?

You can watch South East Melbourne Phoenix vs New Zealand Breakers on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Verdict

This game will be a shootout with the Phoenix covering as home favourites and the match total of 186.5 being surpassed. Angus Glover will drop 3+ threes and Izaiah Brockington will score 15+ points in the match for NZ.
Best Bet1: S.E Melbourne -4.5 Handicap/Line $1.91 at Pandabet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 186.5 Game Total $1.91 at picklebet - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Angus Glover 3+ Three Pointers $2.00 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Isaiah Brockington 15+ Points $1.87 at dabble - 3 Units
S.E Melbourne -4.5
Handicap/Line
$1.91 - 2 Units
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South East Melbourne Phoenix v New Zealand Breakers