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Perth Wildcats vs Illawarra Hawks NBL26 Round 3 Tips - Hawks tough it out in Perth

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Tue 30 Sep 2025 14:23

The upcoming NBL25 Round 3 clash sees the Perth Wildcats hosting the Illawarra Hawks, with expert tips favoring Illawarra to cover the 4.5-point spread as underdogs. Both teams boast strong frontcourts, so the battle is expected in the backcourt and wing positions, with a high-scoring game likely (over 179.5 total points tipped). With Dylan Windler projected for a standout 15+ point performance for Perth, this matchup could go down to the wire. Key action points: consider Illawarra +4.5, Over 179.5, and Windler 15+ points.

Jeremy Darke 30 Sep 2025
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  • Perth Wildcats vs Illawarra Hawks expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 3 NBL matchup
  • Tip-off is at 9:30 PM AEST at RAC Arena
  • Expect over 179.5 total points – high scoring match likely.
  • Dylan Windler forecasted for 15+ points; backcourt battle key.
Perth Wildcats vs Illawarra Hawks NBL26 Round 3 Tips

Perth Wildcats vs Illawarra Hawks NBL25 Round 3 Expert Tips


Illawarra are tipped to cover as 4.5-point underdogs on the road against the Wildcats in Perth on Thursday night.
  • Perth Wildcats vs Illawarra Hawks NBL25 Round 3 Expert Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • Perth Wildcats Form & Team News
  • Illawarra Hawks Form & Team News
  • Perth Wildcats vs Illawarra Hawks Frequently Asked Questions

The Hawks title defence did not go as planned going down on banner raising night to the JackJumpers. A new team and a lot of travel due to the Intercontinental Cup is a good excuse for the Hawks, however they will be desperate to chalk up their first win of the season against the Wildcats in Round 3. 

Perth are living the life after Cotton and creating a new identity with their big men running the show. Jo Lual-Acuil and Kristian Doolittle have been dominant but they will have their handsful with JaVale Mcgee, who dominated for the Hawks in his first NBL match.

With both front courts negating each other, I’m expecting this one to be more about the small forwards and back court with the team that can hit the mid-rangers and threes getting up here.

That is why I like the Over 179.5 and am also expecting a big performance from Perth’s Dylan Windler. Windler will score 15+ but I do expect this one to go down to the wire which is why I am taking Illawarra with the start. 

  • Illawarra have won 5 of the last 6 matches vs Perth
  • The last 4 matches between Perth and Illawarra have hit the over on the game total
  • Perth’s final 10 matches of NBL25 at RAC Arena had a game total over 179.5 points.
  • Dylan Windler had 20 points in Perth’s last match against New Zealand. 

Head to Head 


NBL25 Match Results
DateHome TeamScoreLineTotal Points
22/12/2024ILLILL 120-88ILL -6.0O 205.0
06/12/2024PERILL 121-111ILL +2.0O 192.5
01/11/2024PERPER 113-105PER +2.5O 180.5

NBL25 Offensive & Defensive Rankings 
PER OffRankStatRankILL Def
80.58PPG991
46.53RPG543
40.4%8FG%542.5%
20.0%93P%730.6%
12.56TOV99

PER DefRankStatRankILL Off
76.51PPG586
42.54RPG743
39.2%1FG%446.7%
25.5%33P%627.3%
117TOV411

Perth Wildcats Form & Team News


Perth have started the new season with a 1-1 record in two very different performances. A loss to Tassie which felt like it was a shaky first game of the season performance, followed by a more encouraging showing in their 89-78 win over the breakers in New Zealand. 

Perth has been about the back court lately with MVP Bryce Cotton dictating the offence. With Cotton gone John Rillie has transformed the Wildcats into a more front court dominant team with Jo Lual-Acuil and Kristian Doolittle controlling the offence.

Dylan Windler also came alive in Game 2 for the Wildcats recording 20 points and 15 rebounds, complementing JLA who finished with 21 points and 8 rebounds. 

Illawarra Hawks Form & Team News


The Hawks banner night and Championship defence did not get off to the best start, going down at home 91-86 to the Tasmanian JackJumpers.

The hawks looked a little flustered without Trey Kell lll who has left the club and his replacement Will Hickey out with an eye injury for the next few weeks. Illawarra lacked direction and relied heavily on the production of JaVale McGee who was a real show-stopper in his first NBL match, collecting 32 points, 13 rebounds 2 assists, 2 steals and 3 blocks simply filling up the stats sheet.

Perth Wildcats vs Illawarra Hawks Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Perth Wildcats vs Illawarra Hawks start?

Tip-off between Perth Wildcats vs Illawarra Hawks is at 9:30 PM AEST, Thursday, October 2

What channel is Perth Wildcats vs Illawarra Hawks on?

You can watch Perth Wildcats vs Illawarra Hawks on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Verdict

Dylan Windler will score 15+ points and help push the game total over 179.5 points, however it won’t stop Illawarra from covering as the underdog.
Best Bet1: Illawarra +4.5 Handicap/Line $1.91 at Elitebet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 179.5 Game Total $1.92 at betr - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Dylan Windler 15+ Player Points $1.76 at dabble - 3 Units
Illawarra +4.5
Handicap/Line
$1.91 - 3 Units
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Over 179.5
Game Total
$1.92 - 2 Units
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