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Sydney Kings vs New Zealand Breakers NBL26 Round 3 Tips - Kings to notch up first win

josh-higgins
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Fact Checked by Ryan Tucker
Last updated: Wed 01 Oct 2025 14:15

The Sydney Kings face the struggling New Zealand Breakers in NBL25 Round 3, with both teams looking for their first win of the season. The Kings come in at full strength and are favoured due to superior depth and recent form, while the Breakers continue to struggle defensively. Expert tips suggest the Kings to win by 11+ points, Kendric Davis to bounce back with a big scoring game, and Matthew Dellavedova likely to exceed eight assists thanks to his playmaking abilities. Expect the Kings to dominate and the Breakers to look for improved consistency.

Josh Higgins 01 Oct 2025
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  • Sydney Kings vs New Zealand Breakers expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 3 NBL matchup
  • Tip-off is at 5:30 PM AEST at Qudos Bank Arena
  • Sydney Kings favoured to win by 11+ points over New Zealand Breakers.
  • Kendric Davis and Matthew Dellavedova expected to deliver standout performances.
  • Breakers need defensive improvement; Kings push for first season win.
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Sydney Kings vs New Zealand Breakers
Sydney Kings vs New Zealand Breakers NBL26 Round 3 Tips

Sydney Kings vs New Zealand Breakers NBL25 Round 3 Expert Tips


The Brisbane Bullets and Sydney Kings clash in a matchup full of storylines. The injury-riddled Bullets will be tested against a Kings side desperate to claim their first win of the season after a disappointing opener. 
  • Sydney Kings vs New Zealand Breakers NBL25 Round 3 Expert Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • NBL25 Season Series
  • Offensive & Defensive Rankings
  • Sydney Kings Form & Team News
  • New Zealand Breakers Form & Team News
  • Sydney Kings vs New Zealand Breakers Frequently Asked Questions

All eyes will be on Kendric Davis as he looks to respond after an uncharacteristic performance in which he attempted a career-high twenty-seven field goals. Despite the volume, Davis managed to finish with 21 points, but well below the efficiency expected of him. Given his impressive average of twenty-five points per game last season, the dynamic guard will be determined to rediscover his rhythm and set the tone in this crucial matchup.

The New Zealand Breakers have endured a tough start to the season, opening with an 0-3 record. Defensive struggles have been a major issue, with the Breakers conceding an average of 102 points per game while managing just 85 on the offensive end. Up against a Sydney Kings side boasting superior depth, class, and a clear hunger to bounce back, the challenge only intensifies. Given the contrasting form and momentum, the Kings appear well-placed to take control of this contest, with a winning margin of 11+ shaping as the smart tip.

Matthew Dellavedova has long been a key barometer in the NBL when it comes to playmaking. After averaging seven assists per game last season and recording five in his season opener, he once again looms as the primary facilitator for the Sydney Kings. In what shapes as a comfortable victory, Dellavedova’s vision and passing ability should see him surpass eight assists with relative ease.

  • Kendric Davis averaged 25 points per game last season and had a career high 27 field goal attempts against the Cairns Taipans. 
  • The New Zealand Breakers are allowing 102 points per game to start the season with a points differential of 17 points.
  • Matthew Dellavedova averaged 7 assists per game last season and had 5 assists against the Cairns Taipans. 

Head to Head 


NBL25 Season Series


DateHome TeamScoreLineTotal Points
20/12/2024NZBSYD 92-84SYD -7.5U 177.0
07/12/2024NZBSYD 98-83SYD -5.0O 170.5
27/10/2024SYDNZB 93-89NZB +9.0O 171.5

Offensive & Defensive Rankings


SYD OffRankStatRankNZB Def
7410PPG10102.3
521RPG844
36.8%10FG%1048.2%
14.3%103P%426.1%
61TOV810

SYD DefRankStatRankNZB Off
772PPG685
435RPG643.7
43.1%6FG%642.5%
32.4%83P%824.8%
143TOV1015

Sydney Kings Form & Team News


The Sydney Kings enter this contest looking to rebound from a narrow 77–74 defeat to the Cairns Taipans, a game they largely controlled on the stat sheet but ultimately let slip away in the closing stages. 

Despite dominating key areas such as rebounding and shot creation, costly lapses down the stretch proved decisive. With that setback behind them, the Kings now turn their focus to securing their first win of the season. Importantly, they head into this matchup at full strength, free of injury concerns, and motivated to translate their statistical dominance into a complete performance on the scoreboard. 

This game presents an opportunity for the Kings to reset, assert their class, and make an early-season statement.

New Zealand Breakers Form & Team News


The New Zealand Breakers enter this clash desperate to turn their season around after opening with three straight losses. While the pressure is mounting to secure their first win, the task doesn’t get any easier against one of the NBL’s stronger outfits. 

Victory may prove elusive, but what the Breakers will be searching for is a more competitive and consistent performance, particularly from their new import signings who are still finding their footing in the league. A positive showing from that group could provide the spark the Breakers need to build momentum, restore confidence, and lay the groundwork for improved results as the season unfolds.

Sydney Kings vs New Zealand Breakers Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Sydney Kings vs New Zealand Breakers start?

Tip-off between Sydney Kings vs New Zealand Breakers is at 5:30 PM AEST, Saturday, October 4

What channel is Sydney Kings vs New Zealand Breakers on?

You can watch Sydney Kings vs New Zealand Breakers on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Verdict

Take Sydney to win by 11+ points with Kendric Davis to score well and Matthew Dellavedova to go Over this Assists total.
Best Bet1: Sydney Kings 11+ Winning Margin $2.10 at Playup - 2 Units
Best Bet2: K Davis 25+ Points Scored $2.00 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet3: M Dellavedova 8+ Assists $1.80 at dabble - 1 Unit
Sydney Kings 11+
Winning Margin
$2.10 - 2 Units
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K Davis 25+
Points Scored
$2.00 - 2 Units
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with referral code BETSAU

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Bet at dabble
M Dellavedova 8+
Assists
$1.80 - 1 Unit
Download the dabble app
with referral code BETSAU

Download the dabble app, enter referral code BETSAU to enjoy Dabble, the betting app with a difference! Bet as normal with & also be part of Australia's betting community where you can follow punters and sports stars, copy their bets, have banter with your mates & watch Sky Racing channels. 18+. T&Cs apply. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

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