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Perth Wildcats vs Brisbane Bullets NBL26 Round 5 Tips - Bullets tipped to frighten Wildcats

ryan-tucker
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Fact Checked by Jeremy Darke
Last updated: Tue 14 Oct 2025 10:59

In the NBL25 Round 5 matchup between the Perth Wildcats and Brisbane Bullets, Perth is heavily favored as the home team. However, experts predict that the Bullets will cover the spread as the underdog. Despite suffering a severe defeat recently, Brisbane's strong defensive rebounding and three-point defense could challenge Perth. Key matchups include rebounding and three-point shooting battles. Casey Prather's performance for Brisbane, with an expected contribution over 30.5 points, rebounds, and assists, will be crucial. With Perth's marginal victories and Brisbane's close losses, a tight game is anticipated.

Ryan Tucker 14 Oct 2025
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  • Perth Wildcats vs Brisbane Bullets expert predictions for Wednesday’s Round 5 NBL matchup
  • Tip-off is at 9:30 PM AEDT at RAC Arena
  • Perth Wildcats are favored but Brisbane is expected to cover the spread.
  • Key battles in rebounding and shooting; Casey Prather crucial for Brisbane.
  • Tight game likely with Perth's marginal wins and Brisbane's narrow losses.
Perth Wildcats vs Brisbane Bullets NBL26 Round 5 Tips

Perth Wildcats vs Brisbane Bullets NBL25 Round 5 Expert Tips


Perth are heavy favourites at home to take out the Ignite Cup matchup against Brisbane on Wednesday night and while they still might win, Brisbane will cover as the Underdog.
  • Perth Wildcats vs Brisbane Bullets NBL25 Round 5 Expert Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • NBL25 Season Series
  • Offensive & Defensive Rankings
  • Perth Wildcats Form & Team News
  • Brisbane Bullets Form & Team News

We shouldn’t read too much into the shellacking the Bullets received last weekend, Tyrell Harrison was quiet and the Hawks were sharp from deep. The likelihood of the Bullets again being that bad from the perimeter with the calibre of players they have is low.

Perth have two monsters on their team right now in Dylan Windler and Jo Lual-Acuil who are dominating scoring and rebounds. They have played the same opponents as Brisbane with a varying degree of outcomes but a poorer scoring average. 

The important battles here will be the rebounding and outside shooting, Perth won the last two games against Brisbane last season on the back of Bryce Cotton’s scoring. They don’t have that anymore and will need to gain second chance opportunities to get in front. 

With Brisbane the 5th ranked defensive rebounding team and 4th best 3pt defenders, even with the Hawks game included, they will go far to reduce the Wildcats ability to score.

Take Brisbane to cover the large line as underdogs and the Game Total to go Under. Casey Prather will be critical to the Bullets chances and will go over 30.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists combined.

  • 3 of Brisbane’s 4 losses have been by 7 or fewer points this season. 2 of 3 Perth victories have been by 8 or fewer points.
  • All 4 of Perth’s games and 3 of 5 Brisbane games have gone Under this Game Total. 
  • Casey Prather is averaging 23.3 pts per game (2nd in NBL) as well as 4.8 rebounds and 3.5 assists. 
  • Casey Prather has scored 30+ points in his last 2 games against Perth.

Head to Head 


NBL25 Season Series


DateHome TeamScoreLineTotal Points
15/01/2025BRIPER 112-85PER -8.0U 197.5
29/11/2024PERPER 117-89PER -6.0O 186.5
17/11/2024BRIBRI 105-84BRI +2.0O 184.5

Offensive & Defensive Rankings


PER OffRankStatRankBRI Def
83.39PPG893
44.32RPG641.8
43.4%8FG%1050.6%
22.9%103P%428.6%
12.36TOV214.4

PER DefRankStatRankBRI Off
78.51PPG787.4
43.58RPG1035.4
39.3%1FG%646.0%
28.3%33P%827.0%
11.58TOV712.8

Perth Wildcats Form & Team News


The Wildcats were extremely lucky to get away with a win in Cairns last start. They hit just 2 of 19 shots from deep, probably the worst number by them or any team in the NBL for a number of years.

The 80-77 victory pushed them up to 3rd on the ladder with a 3-1 record and now enter a 3 week period of double games which will test their stamina and roster. 

Dylan Windler and Jo Lual-Acuil continue to be the dominant players in this team with Kristian Doolittle not seeing the same volume of ball as in previous years. Perth are ranked 9th in scoring with 83.3 pts per game but are 1st in Defence with 78.5 pts per game, worth noting is that 3 of their 4 opponents are ranked 7th or lower on the ladder.

Brisbane Bullets Form & Team News


The Bullets were 1-3 heading into their round 4 matchup against the defending champion Hawks last weekend but could just have easily been 3-1 with two of those losses being by 2 or fewer points. 

Even the 3rd loss was only by 7 points to the undefeated Adelaide 36ers. But they were brought back down to Earth heavily in a 116-89 thrashing at the hands of Illawarra who scored 34 points in each of the first two quarters of the game. 

Brisbane allowed their opponent to dominate the boards 43-31 and the 3pt shooting with 11 made threes to Illawarra on 44% shooting compared to just 3 on 13.6% shooting for the Bullets. Tyrell Harrison had his quietest game of the season recording just 5pts and 4 rebounds in a season low 19:42 minutes of game time.

Verdict

Take Brisbane to cover the large line as underdogs and the Game Total to go Under. Casey Prather will be critical to the Bullets chances and will go over 30.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists combined.
Best Bet1: Brisbane +8.5 Line $1.90 at Playup - 2 Units
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Brisbane +8.5
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