• Home
  • Basketball
  • NBL

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Illawarra Hawks NBL26 Round 5 Tips - Hawks finally rolling

jeremy-darke
Editor
Last updated: Fri 17 Oct 2025 10:36

The Illawarra Hawks are set to strengthen their position with a matchup against South East Melbourne Phoenix in NBL25 Round 5. After an emphatic win against the Bullets, the Hawks, driven by standout performances from Tyler Harvey and JaVale McGee, are poised to exploit Phoenix's current form and vulnerabilities, particularly in defence. The short turnaround for the Phoenix plays to the Hawks' advantage, as McGee targets overs on 22.5 points and 11.5 rebounds. This high-scoring game promises excitement with a likely Hawks win.

Jeremy Darke 17 Oct 2025
Share this article
Or copy link
  • South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Illawarra Hawks expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 5 NBL matchup
  • Tip-off is at 8:00 PM AEDT at John Cain Arena
  • JaVale McGee and Tyler Harvey in key roles to secure win.
  • Expect a high-scoring game with Hawks as 1.5-point favourites.
South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Illawarra Hawks NBL26 Round 5 Tips

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Illawarra Hawks NBL25 Round 5 Expert Tips


The Hawks will add to their single victory this season getting another against the Phoenix in Melbourne on Saturday taking advantage of the short turnaround for South East Melbourne.
  • South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Illawarra Hawks NBL25 Round 5 Expert Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • South East Melbourne Phoenix Form & Team News
  • Illawarra Hawks Form & Team News
  • South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Illawarra Hawks Frequently Asked Questions

The Hawks need momentum and they are coming up against a deflated Phoenix team that were put to bed in the first half against Adelaide on Thursday night. The Hawks did the same to Brisbane in their last showing and will want to start fast again against S.E.M and put doubt in their minds again. 

This is set to be a high scoring contest with the Hawks defensive chemistry not quite there to start the season, allowing the most points of any team this season. However, their offence is lit with Tyler Harvey playing some of his best basketball in NBL26 and feeding the monster that is JaVale McGee, who is set for a day out against Jordan Hunter and the bigs of the Phoenix.

S.E.M have given up a lot of stats to opposing forwards this season so I am all about the overs for McGee in Melbourne. His totals are high at 22.5 points and 11.5 rebounds but they are makeable figures for McGee against one of the smaller teams in the NBL.

  • Illawarra has won 2 of their last 3 matches against South East Melbourne last season.
  • The last 5 matches between the Phoenix and Hawks have gone over the 181.5 point game total.
  • Javale McGee averages 22.5 points per game in NBL26.
  • South East Melbourne gives up the most rebounds to their opponents (47.0/G).

Head to Head 


NBL25 Match Results
DateHome TeamScoreLineTotal Points
05/03/2025ILLILL 126-96ILL -6.5O 197.5
02/03/2025SEMSEM 101-94SEM +2.5U 196.5
28/02/2025ILLILL 101-94ILL -6.5U 197.0
31/12/2024ILLSEM 110-105SEM +7.5O 202.5
30/11/2024SEMSEM 103-100SEM +3.0O 178.5
26/10/2024SEMILL 88-82ILL -4.0U 181.0

Offensive & Defensive Rankings
SEM OffRankStatRankILL Def
94.72PPG1097.3
42.75RPG340.3
40.5%9FG%745.8%
35.0%23P%933.4%
9.72TOV513.3

SEM DefRankStatRankILL Off
875PPG393.5
44.39RPG742
44.4%6FG%248.6%
39.9%103P%432.7%
19.31TOV814.5

South East Melbourne Phoenix Form & Team News


To be honest, I am not sure yet what South East Melbourne are in 2025 opening their season with a 2-2 record, so maybe they don’t know either. 

Besides going big against the Taipans their offence has struggled and their figures are skewed because of the 114 points they put up in the opener. They average 88.5 points per game which is 5th-best in the NBL, however they haven’t reached that number in the last 3 games and only put up 71 against the 36ers in their 17-point loss last time they were out on the court. 

Despite the Phoenix being ranked third in the NBL with a 32.8 3P% they rank last in the league in field goal percentage dropping just 38.6% of their shots. 

Illawarra Hawks Form & Team News


The Champs sit on the bottom of the ladder heading into this matchup against the Phoenix after snagging their first win of the season just last game versus the Bullets taking them to 1-3 to start the year. 

The Hawks certainly did it in emphatic fashion though scoring 68 points in the first half, leading by 21 points, showing no signs of being winless prior to their trip to Brisbane. The question remains if that performance was a page turned or if it had more to do with the state of the Bullets at that time.

One thing the Hawks can count on though is their leader Tyler Harvey doing all he can to lift them out of their rut. Harvey has started the year as good as I have seen, averaging 20.5 points, 6 assists, 4.3 rebounds and 2 steals. JaVale McGee has also balled out in his first year in the NBL with 22.5 points and 10.5 rebounds. 

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Illawarra Hawks Frequently Asked Questions

What time does South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Illawarra Hawks start?

Tip-off between South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Illawarra Hawks is at 8:00 PM AEDT, Saturday, October 18

What channel is South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Illawarra Hawks on?

You can watch South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Illawarra Hawks on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Verdict

A huge game from JaVale McGee going over his 22.5-points total and 11.5 rebound total will aid in the Hawks covering as 1.5-point favourites and push this over the game total of 181.5.
Best Bet1: Illawarra -1.5 Handicap/Line $1.91 at Pandabet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 181.5 Game Total $1.91 at picklebet - 2 Units
Best Bet3: J. McGee Over 22.5 Player Points $1.92 at betr - 2 Units
Best Bet4: J.McGee Over 11.5 Player Rebounds $1.91 at dabble - 2 Units
Illawarra -1.5
Handicap/Line
$1.91 - 3 Units
Pandabet
It's Black & White

The Pandabet.com.au code is BETSAUS. 18+. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Pandabet
Over 181.5
Game Total
$1.91 - 2 Units
Same Game & Race Multis
Use affiliate code BETSAU

Exciting new betting app now live. Use code BETSAU on sign-up. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Imagine what you could be buying instead.

Bet at picklebet
J. McGee Over 22.5
Player Points
$1.92 - 2 Units
The GOAT.
Ahead of the Game.

Join Australia's newest online bookmaker with code BETSAU and enjoy exciting new ways to bet. The app is among the fastest in the market. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at betr
J.McGee Over 11.5
Player Rebounds
$1.91 - 2 Units
Download the dabble app
with referral code BETSAU

Download the dabble app, enter referral code BETSAU to enjoy Dabble, the betting app with a difference! Bet as normal with & also be part of Australia's betting community where you can follow punters and sports stars, copy their bets, have banter with your mates & watch Sky Racing channels. 18+. T&Cs apply. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at dabble

Top Betting Sites

Betting offers

Upcoming Events

Load More
Betting Slip | 18 Oct 2025

South East Melbourne Phoenix v Illawarra Hawks

Hear more from bets.com.au