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Cairns Taipans vs South East Melbourne Phoenix NBL26 Round 9 Tips - Taipans no match for Phoenix scoring

ryan-tucker
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Fact Checked by Jeremy Darke
Last updated: Tue 11 Nov 2025 12:39

In the NBL25 Round 9 clash, South East Melbourne Phoenix are anticipated to win decisively against Cairns Taipans. The Phoenix, boasting the league's best scoring team, face a Taipans team struggling with the lowest offensive output and a ninth-ranked defense. With players like Jordan Hunter excelling in three-point shooting and Hunter Maldonado thriving in assists, the Phoenix's potent offense is expected to surpass the Taipans' lackluster defense. Tips suggest backing SEM to cover the spread and aiming for player props involving Hunter's threes and Maldonado's assists.

Ryan Tucker 11 Nov 2025
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  • Cairns Taipans vs South East Melbourne Phoenix expert predictions for Friday’s Round 9 NBL matchup
  • Tip-off is at 7:30 PM AEDT at Cairns Convention Centre
  • South East Melbourne Phoenix expected to dominate Cairns Taipans in Round 9.
  • Phoenix's top-scoring offense faces Taipans' weak defense, ranked 9th.
  • Jordan Hunter's 3-point prowess and Maldonado's assists to play key roles.
Cairns Taipans vs South East Melbourne Phoenix NBL26 Round 9 Tips

Cairns Taipans vs South East Melbourne Phoenix NBL25 Round 9 Expert Tips


South East Melbourne will win and cover this Friday night in Cairns with the Taipans defence unable to contain the pace and scoring of the Phoenix.
  • Cairns Taipans vs South East Melbourne Phoenix NBL25 Round 9 Expert Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • Last 5 Match Results
  • Offensive & Defensive Rankings
  • Cairns Taipans Form & Team News
  • South East Melbourne Phoenix Form & Team News
  • Cairns Taipans vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Frequently Asked Questions

It is the league’s best scoring team against the league’s worst scoring team. Add to that, Cairns are also the 9th ranked defence, this game could get ugly. The Taipans have won just 1 game at home all season and have not really looked like the team that had so much promise heading into NBL26.

Cairns allowed the Hawks to shoot 59.5% from the field in their most recent matchup and in the first meeting of these two teams in round 1, SEM piled on 114 pts on 44.3% shooting. Their defence stinks and the only thing worse is probably their offence. They put up just 77.8 pts per game and have cracked 80 in just 4 of 12 games played this season.

The Phoenix are having one of their best seasons in recent memory. They occupy 2nd spot on the ladder, had won 5 straight before their hiccup last weekend against United and are scoring at an alarming rate, despite owning the 9th ranked FG%. Nathan Sobey is 4th in the league in scoring while Jordan Hunter is 1st in 3pt% for qualified players, given at a low volume.

Cairns have nothing to stand in the way of the scoring here, it’s unbelievable that the line is under 10 pts. Take SEM to cover and go Over their team total. Take Jordan Hunter for 2+ threes made as well as Hunter Maldonado to have 5+ assists.

  • SEM are the best scoring team in the league averaging 97 pts per game while Cairns are ranked 9th in defence. 
  • The Phoenix have scored 100+ pts in 50% of their games this season. Cairns have allowed 100+ on 5 occasions.
  • Jordan Hunter leads the league in 3pt% and hit 2-3 from deep in Round 1 vs Cairns.
  • Hunter Maldonado leads the league in Assist to Turnover ratio and averaged 5.8 assists per game in his 5 matches prior to round 8.  

Head to Head 


Last 5 Match Results


DateHome TeamScoreLineTotal Points
20/09/2025SEMSEM 114-77SEM -6.0O 187.0
14/01/2025CAISEM 113-102SEM -7.0O 192.5
07/12/2024SEMSEM 99-94CAI +5.5O 174.5
10/11/2024SEMSEM 97-74SEM -7.5U 173.5
22/12/2023CAICAI 94-75CAI -5.0U 180.0

Offensive & Defensive Rankings


CNS OffRankStatRankSEM Def
77.810PPG788.9
39.29RPG943
41.3%10FG%845.5%
30.0%83P%935.7%
12.67TOV118.8

CNS DefRankStatRankSEM Off
94.99PPG197
45.310RPG542.9
46.3%9FG%942.3%
29.3%23P%137.8%
7.710TOV311.5

Cairns Taipans Form & Team News


Cairns are anchored to the bottom of the ladder with a 3-9 record but below the Breakers on point percentage.

They managed a win over the Tassie JackJumpers in Round 7, snapping a 7 game losing streak but followed it up last weekend with a 107-90 loss to the defending champion Illawarra Hawks.

Mojave King scored a career high 32 pts in the loss out-scoring everyone on the court. Cairns played just 8 players in the match, 4 of the starters playing 33+ minutes. They rank last in scoring with 77.8 pts per game and 9th in opposition points allowing 94.9 pts per game.

South East Melbourne Phoenix Form & Team News


South East Melbourne sit pretty at 2nd on the NBL ladder after splitting their double game week in round 8. A 103-102 victory over the JackJumpers on the road last Thursday was followed by a 92-81 loss to Melbourne United on Saturday in the Throwdown 30.

The Phoenix were able to control much of the first half and led by as much as 5 pts but were down at the main break which then continued to extend in the 3rd quarter. Nathan Sobey top scored for his team with 15 pts but shot 5-15 from the field. 

Sobey is ranked 5th in the league for scoring this season, averaging 21.7 per game while the team is ranked number 1 in scoring with 97 pts per outing despite having the 9th ranked FG%. 

Cairns Taipans vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Cairns Taipans vs South East Melbourne Phoenix start?

Tip-off between Cairns Taipans vs South East Melbourne Phoenix is at 7:30 PM AEDT, Friday, November 14

What channel is Cairns Taipans vs South East Melbourne Phoenix on?

You can watch Cairns Taipans vs South East Melbourne Phoenix on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Verdict

Take SEM to cover and go Over their team total. Take Jordan Hunter for 2+ threes made as well as Hunter Maldonado to have 5+ assists.
Best Bet1: SEM -7.5 Line $1.90 at Playup - 3 Units
Best Bet2: SEM over 95.5 Team Total $1.85 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Best Bet3: J Hunter 2+ Threes made $3.30 at Playup - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: H Maldonado 5+ Assists $1.87 at dabble - 1 Unit
SEM -7.5
Line
$1.90 - 3 Units
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Bet at Playup
SEM over 95.5
Team Total
$1.85 - 2 Units
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J Hunter 2+
Threes made
$3.30 - 1 Unit
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Bet at Playup
H Maldonado 5+
Assists
$1.87 - 1 Unit
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Cairns Taipans v South East Melbourne Phoenix

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