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Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix NBL26 Semi-Final Tips - Phoenix To Start Strong
The upcoming NBL25 Semi-Final between the Adelaide 36ers and South East Melbourne Phoenix is shaping up to be an engaging battle, with the Phoenix positioned to potentially cause an upset. Known for their dynamic team play, SEM averaged over 100 points per game and pose strong competition against Adelaide. The 36ers, led by Bryce Cotton, struggle when key players are off their game. Experts recommend betting on the Phoenix to win and surpass their 91.5-point total, noting Ian Clark's consistent scoring against Adelaide.
- Tip-off is at 7:30 PM AEDT at Adelaide Entertainment Centre
- Phoenix expected to upset Adelaide in a high-scoring game.
- Phoenix excels in team dynamics, boasting the league's highest scoring average.
- Adelaide relies heavily on Bryce Cotton and has tight player rotations.
Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix
Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix NBL25 Semi-Final Expert Tips
South East Melbourne are tipped to cause an upset in Adelaide on Tuesday night in a game that is expected to be a good old fashioned shootout.
- Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix NBL25 Semi-Final Expert Tips
- Head to Head
- Last 5 Match Results
- Offensive & Defensive Rankings
- Adelaide 36ers Form & Team News
- South East Melbourne Phoenix Form & Team News
- Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Frequently Asked Questions
The Phoenix finished the season as the top scoring team in the league with 100+ pts per outing. Adelaide have the best scorer in the league in Bryce Cotton who averaged 25.7 pts per game but had to play 37.9 mins per game to get there.
SEM’s strength is in their team dynamic and it is there they have the advantage over Adelaide. Cotton scored 26 and 30 in the two most recent games against the Phoenix but still could not get his team the win. Adelaide have very tight rotations and if any or a number of their top 7-8 players are having an off night, they fail to score enough points to win.
The expectation here is that Mike Wells will have his team ready to go with a long rest advantage, but South East Melbourne have more firepower across the board and when they start playing downhill, it has been proved difficult for teams to keep up.
Take the Phoenix on the moneyline and to go Over their 91.5 team total. Ian Clark has had success against Adelaide, take him to go Over 13.5 pts and Jordan Hunter to have over 5.5 rebounds.
- SEM won both the recent matchups in Adelaide and have won 5 of the last 7 head to head.
- The Phoenix finished the regular season as the top point scoring team with an average of 100.7 pts per game. Last year they averaged 96.2 pts across their 5 finals games.
- Ian Clark has passed this number in 4 of his last 5 games and scored 12 and 27 pts v Adelaide in his two matchups against them earlier this season.
- Jordan Hunter averages 6.8 rebounds in his career v Adelaide and has surpassed this number in 11 straight games against them.
Head to Head
Last 5 Match Results
| Date | Home Team | Score | Line | Total Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2026 | ADE | SEM 97-77 | SEM +1.0 | U 193.0 |
| 18/01/2026 | ADE | SEM 108-89 | SEM +6.0 | O 185.0 |
| 22/11/2025 | SEM | ADE 94-81 | ADE +2.0 | U 186.5 |
| 16/10/2025 | ADE | ADE 88-71 | ADE -5.5 | U 187.5 |
| 16/02/2025 | SEM | SEM 85-75 | SEM -3.0 | U 195.0 |
Offensive & Defensive Rankings
| ADE Off | Rank | Stat | Rank | SEM Def |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92.2 | 4 | PPG | 7 | 92.8 |
| 41.2 | 7 | RPG | 9 | 42.4 |
| 46.6% | 3 | FG% | 9 | 47.8% |
| 36.1% | 1 | 3P% | 9 | 34.5% |
| 11.1 | 5 | TOV | 1 | 16.8 |
| ADE Def | Rank | Stat | Rank | SEM Off |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87.6 | 4 | PPG | 1 | 100.7 |
| 40.1 | 1 | RPG | 5 | 41.8 |
| 44.6% | 5 | FG% | 8 | 44.1% |
| 31.6% | 2 | 3P% | 3 | 35.1% |
| 10.6 | 7 | TOV | 2 | 10.1 |
Adelaide 36ers Form & Team News
Adelaide secured 2nd spot on the ladder at the end of the regular season and have been able to rest up while watching the Play-In tournament.
Their form over the last few rounds was wildly inconsistent, they lost the Ignite Cup Final and 3 of their last 5 regular season matchups. Bryce Cotton was pulling 40 minute games in what is trending as too big a reliance on the league’s top scorer.
The 36ers depth has been a problem all season. If their main stars are having an off night, there aren’t many people to turn to that can deliver a bucket to get them out of trouble.
Adelaide finished the season 4th in Scoring and 4th in Defence.
South East Melbourne Phoenix Form & Team News
South East Melbourne took care of the Perth Wildcats in their Play-In Qualifier winning 111-94. They shot out to an early lead and held serve the whole match, Perth delivered a barrage of points late but couldn’t bring the score closer.
The thing that has been most impressive with this team over the course of the season is how the work is spread around. They are the definition of a team. No one player is logging massive minutes and on any given night its Nathan Sobey, Owen Foxwell, Jordan Hunter or Angus Glover that is delivering on the scoresheet.
They were the only team to finish the regular season with a scoring average of 100+ pts and while they still allow 92.8 pts per game to their opponents, its the pace of the game that is the main contributor there.
Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix start?
Tip-off between Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix is at 7:30 PM AEDT, Tuesday, March 10
What channel is Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix on?
You can watch Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.
Where can I livestream Adelaide 36ers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix?
If you are outside of Australia, the NBL allows you to stream live on YouTube via the official NBL channel
Verdict
Take the Phoenix on the moneyline and to go Over their 91.5 team total. Ian Clark has had success against Adelaide, take him to go Over 13.5 pts and Jordan Hunter to have over 5.5 rebounds.
SEM Phoenix
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