• Home
  • Basketball
  • NBL

Adelaide 36ers vs Sydney Kings NBL26 Championship Series Game 4 Tips - Sydney to Lift the Trophy

ryan-tucker
Editor
Last updated: Mon 30 Mar 2026 12:51

In the NBL25 Championship Series Game 4, the Sydney Kings are on track to secure their third championship in five years against the Adelaide 36ers. Despite Adelaide showing some shooting improvements, Sydney's consistent performance across various metrics gives them a competitive edge. Key player insights include Matthew Dellavedova expected to exceed 5.5 assists, while Zylan Cheatham may fall short of 24.5 PRA. Bet on Sydney to win and cover the short line, as they outperform Adelaide under the pressure.

Ryan Tucker 30 Mar 2026
Share this article
Or copy link
  • Sydney Kings poised for their 3rd championship in 5 years.
  • Adelaide 36ers show shooting improvement, but inconsistencies remain.
  • Key bets: Dellavedova over 5.5 assists, Cheatham under 24.5 PRA.
  • Tip-off is at 7:30 PM AEDT on Wednesday April 1st at Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Adelaide 36ers vs Sydney Kings

Adelaide 36ers vs Sydney Kings NBL25 Championship Series Game 4 Expert Tips


Sydney are tipped to take their 3rd Championship in 5 years this Wednesday night in Adelaide.

This game preview and prediction is almost purely based on statistics and trends because it is actually impossible to predict how these teams will play and what we are likely to see out on the court on Wednesday night.

Adelaide have been inconsistent shooting the ball over their finals campaign this season. Over their 6 played games they still rank 2nd best of any team but the variance just in the Championship Series has been large. 34.6% from the field and 24.3% from distance in Game 1, improvement in Game 2 and an above average performance in Game 3 with 53% from the floor and 46.7% from the perimeter where they still lost.

Sydney are more consistent across the board, through the finals they rank 1st in FG%, 3pt%, 2nd in Points and Rebounds and 3rd in Turnovers. Defensively they have performed better than Adelaide in all metrics and have forced their opponent into changing their game on the fly, hence the wild variations.

All this to say, Bryce Cotton could still pull out 40 pts and send this to a Game 5 in Sydney but numbers over time, don’t lie. Sydney are the better “TEAM” and across the 3 games already played Kendric Davis has been the best player on the court. It is more likely they lift the trophy on the back of a poor shooting night for Adelaide who will be under immense pressure to perform.

Take Sydney to win and cover the short line, crowning themselves as Champions of NBL26. Matthew Dellavedova to go over 5.5 Assists is the top player prop while Zylan Cheatham to go under his number of 24.5 PRA is a complimentary bet.  

  • Adelaide had their best shooting night of the series vs Sydney in Game 3 but still lost by 13 pts.
  • Sydney have an effective field goal percentage of 59.6% during this series.
  • Matthew Dellavedova has had 8 and 7 assists in his last 2 games and has averaged 6.5 assists vs Adelaide since returning to the NBL in 23-24.
  • Zylan Cheatham has scored in single digits in 7 of 9 games vs Sydney over his NBL career. 

Head to Head 


Last 5 Match Results


DateHome TeamScoreLineTotal Points
29/03/2026SYDSYD 106-93SYD -9.0O 189.0
27/03/2026ADEADE 91-89ADE +5.0U 190.5
21/03/2026SYDSYD 112-68SYD -7.5U 191.5
25/01/2026SYDSYD 106-101SYD -4.0O 180.5
02/01/2026ADEADE 85-79ADE -2.5U 180.5

NBL26 Finals Offensive & Defensive Rankings


ADE OffRankStatRankSYD Def
92.73PPG386.2
38.84RPG341.4
48.6%2FG%242.0%
37.6%23P%434.6%
135TOV311.6

ADE DefRankStatRankSYD Off
100.26PPG2100.2
41.54RPG242.4
46.7%4FG%149.2%
37.7%53P%140.4%
8.25TOV38.4

Adelaide 36ers Form & Team News


Adelaide were quick out of the gates in Game 3, putting 31 pts on the Kings in the first quarter. That feat happened just 3 times during the regular season for the Kings which shows how good the 36ers were playing. 

But they were unable to hold the tempo for the remaining 3 quarters with Bryce Cotton being heavily guarded, forcing other Adelaide players to make decisions. The 36ers attacked the inside through their bigs and had success but Sydney were just better.

Sydney Kings Form & Team News


Sydney have a very clear game plan in this series. Force anyone but Bryce Cotton to win the game for Adelaide. They double-teamed the league MVP on multiple occasions and Matthew Dellavedova was on his final breath more than once through the game after chasing Cotton all over the court.

The plan worked though with Cotton scoring just 15 pts and his teammates unable to carry the scoring volume. Kendric Davis got his revenge after Game 2 and put up 34 pts to lead the team to victory. He has played all but 22 seconds of the last 2 matchups and was the first person since 1995 to record 15 assists and 0 turnovers in a NBL match.

Adelaide 36ers vs Sydney Kings Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Adelaide 36ers vs Sydney Kings start?

Tip-off between Adelaide 36ers vs Sydney Kings is at 7:30 PM AEDT, Wednesday, April 1

What channel is Adelaide 36ers vs Sydney Kings on?

You can watch Adelaide 36ers vs Sydney Kings on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Where can I livestream Adelaide 36ers vs Sydney Kings?

If you are outside of Australia, the NBL allows you to stream live on YouTube via the official NBL channel

Verdict

Take Sydney to win and cover the short line, crowning themselves as Champions of NBL26. Matthew Dellavedova to go over 5.5 Assists is the top player prop while Zylan Cheatham to go under his number of 24.5 PRA is a complimentary bet.
Best Bet1: Sydney -4.5 Line $1.90 at Neds - 3 Units
Best Bet2: M Dellavedova over 5.5 Assists $2.10 at dabble - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Z Cheatham under 24.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists $1.87 at NextBet - 1 Unit
Sydney -4.5
Line
$1.90 - 3 Units
Take it to the Neds Level
Register with code BLACKBOOK

The Neds.com.au code is BLACKBOOK. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. CHANCES ARE YOU'RE ABOUT TO LOSE. Set a deposit limit.

Bet at Neds
M Dellavedova over 5.5
Assists
$2.10 - 3 Units
Download the dabble app
with referral code BETSAU

Download the dabble app, enter referral code BETSAU to enjoy Dabble, the betting app with a difference! Bet as normal with & also be part of Australia's betting community where you can follow punters and sports stars, copy their bets, have banter with your mates & watch Sky Racing channels. 18+. T&Cs apply. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at dabble
Z Cheatham under 24.5
Points, Rebounds & Assists
$1.87 - 1 Unit
Challenger 'NextBet' is here
register with referral code BETS

18+. T&Cs apply

Bet at NextBet

Top Betting Sites

Betting offers

Upcoming Events

Betting Slip | 01 Apr 2026

Adelaide 36ers v Sydney Kings

Hear more from bets.com.au