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Southland vs Tasman Tips - Visitors backed for wide-margin win in NPC

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: Tue 23 Sep 2025 23:55

Tasman and Southland both enter the match on three straight losses, but Tasman’s superior record—having won their last 10 games against Southland—suggests a turnaround is likely. Southland's defense has faltered, conceding 50+ points in recent matches, while Tasman is aiming to recapture earlier momentum and secure their playoff spot. The article recommends betting on Tasman to win comfortably and cover the -22 handicap, given Southland’s struggles. This is a key clash for Tasman's postseason hopes.

Ralph Staniforth 23 Sep 2025
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  • Both teams lost last 3 matches
  • Tasman has won last 10 vs Southland
  • Southland conceded 50+ points in each of last 3 games
  • Tasman tipped to cover -22 handicap
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Southland vs Tasman
Tasman have won their last 10 matches against Southland. (Getty Images)

Southland vs Tasman Tips


Both sides have lost three in a row, but Tasman should get back to winning ways with value in the handicap market. Southland have conceded 50+ points in each of their three losses and the struggle can continue.
  • Southland vs Tasman Tips
  • Head to Head
  • Southland Form
  • Tasman Form

  • Southland have lost their last 3 matches.
  • Southland have conceded 54, 64 & 75 points in their last 3 matches.
  • Tasman have lost their last 3 matches.
  • Tasman have won their last 10 matches against Southland.

Head to Head


Tasman lead 10-0 in their last 10 games against Southland.

Southland Form


Southland have had a decent season but still find themselves second from bottom. They have won three of their eight games which has included some impressive results

Southland lost their opening two games but bounced back with three wins in a row against Manawatu at home, away to Bay of Plenty and away to Waikato.

That string of results put them on course for a playoff spot, but the last three weeks have been a humiliation to say the least. It started with a 54-14 home loss to Canterbury before losing 64-10 at home to Counties Manukau. Last week it got worse as Wellington humiliated them 75-19.

Tasman Form


Tasman came into the 2025 NPC as the favourites to win the title, but the season has not gone according to plan. They are still in the playoff spots in seventh with four wins and four defeats, and just two points off fourth.

On the opening day Tasman were well beaten by Bay of Plenty, but they ran in four successive wins thereafter against Manawatu, Northland, North Harbour and Otago.

That put them on an upward curve but since beating Otago, Tasman have lost three on the bounce. 

A 29-21 loss at home to Auckland began the rut before an impressive performance saw them go down 31-25 to the then unbeaten Canterbury away. In their last game, Tasman were beaten 29-24 at home by Waikato.

Verdict

I am backing Tasman to get back to winning ways by covering the -22 handicap.

Best Bet1: Tasman -22.5 Handicap $2.90 at Ladbrokes Australia - 3 Units
Tasman -22.5
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